Boston Celtics are the outsiders despite having home court in Game 2 against the Cleveland Cavaliers, and the team at AccuScore believe there is some value in backing the hosts on the handicap...
"The Celtics should be charged up and motivated to defend with greater desperation, so the Under 220.5 Total Points shows value in the computer's determination."
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics
Game 2, Saturday 01:30 (UK Time)
Live on BT Sport & Betfair Live Video
Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Finals already seems like a must-win for the Boston Celtics. Going down 2-0 to the defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers before heading to Ohio for two games could see a fully healthy no.1 seed in the East conceivably swept by LeBron James and company.
In order to turn the tide, the Celtics need to pick up their defense. Boston allowed over 30 points in each of the first three quarters and lost Game 1 in the first half. James may be unstoppable, but Boston can still play strong team defense and rush guys like Kevin Love off the three-point line. Game 2 will quickly determine whether the Eastern Conference Finals will be a competition or a funeral.
Betfair Betting Odds
After the blowout victory in Game 1, the Betfair is offering odds of [3.0] for the Celtics in Game 2 on the Moneyline, while the Cavaliers continue to be favourites at [1.46].
In the handicap market, the Celtics are +5.5 at [1.97], while the Cavaliers are -5.5 at [1.95]. The Total Points line is 220.5 with alternative lines available at 210.5 and 230.5.
AccuScore Simulation Betting Analysis
AccuScore is projecting a close game between Cleveland and Boston in Game 2, and so the handicap of Boston +5.5 is attractive when considering 64.7% of AccuScore's 10,000 simulated games resulted in Boston either winning outright or losing by 5 or fewer points.
Also, the Celtics should be charged up and motivated to defend with greater desperation, so the Under 220.5 Total Points shows value in the computer's determination.