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Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics: Back Boston on the handicap

The Cavaliers play the Celtics in Game 5 first thing on Friday morning
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AccuScore are back and previewing Game 5 of this playoff encounter between the Cavaliers and the Celtics...

"Game 5 is back in Boston, and if the Cavs win this one, the team will enjoy a full week off before the start of the NBA Finals."

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics
Game 5, Friday 01:25
Live on BT Sport & Betfair Live Video


Game 5 of the Eastern Conference Finals should be an interesting event. The Boston Celtics have simply not folded in the absence of their star player, Isaiah Thomas, who was lost for the reminder of the playoffs with a hip injury. Boston won Game 3 in Cleveland and led by double-digits in Game 4, before Kyrie Irving put together a near-perfect third quarter to lead the Cavs to a comeback victory and a 3-1 series lead.

Game 5 is back in Boston, and if the Cavs win this one, the team will enjoy a full week off before the start of the NBA Finals. However, if Boston comes up with another surprise win, rest could become a factor for Cleveland, as the Golden State Warriors are comfortably sitting at home waiting for the winner of this series.


Betfair odds

On the moneyline, Betfair is offering returns of [5.4] on the Celtics and [1.19] on the Cavaliers. In the handicap market, Boston is +9.5 at [2.08], while Cleveland is -9.5 at [1.83]. The total points line is 214.5 with the Under offering [2.04] and the Over offering [1.8].


AccuScore Model Odds Analysis

As was the case in both Games 3 and 4, AccuScore believes there is significant value on Boston based on the current moneyline odds. However, the computer is still picking the Cavs to win with 59.4% confidence, so the handicap market again provides the best path to victory. Boston +9.5 doesn't add up for the model, especially in an elimination game at home. AccuScore believes this line should be Boston +4, so Boston +9.5 at [2.08] is the top value pick for this game.

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