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Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers: Away side offer value on the handicap

Isaiah Thomas will be missing for the Celtics but they still offer value on the handicap
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The Boston Celtics produced a huge shock in Game 3 but they'll have to produce an even bigger shock to get the better of the Cleveland Cavaliers in Game 4 say the team at AccuScore, though the away side do offer value on the handicap...


"AccuScore's simulations model calculated significant value on the Celtics +14.5 handicap offering [2.0], as 65.5% of simulations resulted in Boston losing by 14 or fewer points."

Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Game 4, Wednesday 01:30 (UK Time)
Live on BT Sport & Betfair Live Video


The Boston Celtics shocked the world by pulling off the greatest single game upset in NBA Playoffs history in Game 3, but winning in Game 4 would require an even bigger miracle. Boston's second half comeback served as a reminder that the Celtics can play some of the prettiest team basketball in the NBA and that winning the Eastern Conference wasn't a fluke.

Unfortunately, the Game 3 victory arose from a perfect storm. LeBron James had a rare awful night, Marcus Smart caught fire from three-point land and the Cavs blew a 20-point lead on their home court. After all, Cleveland did lead by 20 points in Game 3 after blowing out Boston in both Games 1 and 2, so expecting an Isaiah Thomas-less Celtics team to win Game 4 is asking a lot.


Betfair Odds


Boston is a heavy, heavy underdog at [15.0] on the Moneyline, while Cleveland is listed at [1.07]. The Handicap market is offering Celtics +14.5 at [2.0]. Finally, the Total Points line is set at 215.5.


AccuScore Odds Value Analysis


AccuScore's simulations model calculated significant value on the Celtics +14.5 handicap offering [2.0], as 65.5% of simulations resulted in Boston losing by 14 or fewer points. As a reminder, the Celtics won Game 3 in Cleveland. According to the model, the Celtics should be +10 in the handicap market, but either way, the Cavaliers are heavy favourites with a 76.9% chance of winning.


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