There's 32 round one matches on day one of the ladies singles event at Wimbledon. Dan Weston thinks theres value on Venus...
"While grass data on Gauff is in short supply, her level this year suggests that even a veteran Williams in decline would be a huge gulf in level to the opponents that she has faced."
Big names in action on day one
As with the men's tournament, there are 32 ladies singles matches taking place today on a busy opening day at Wimbledon, although unlike the men's event, today's action comes from the bottom half of the draw.
This includes a number of big names, including the likes of Elina Svitolina, Karolina Pliskova, Simona Halep, Victoria Azarenka, Madison Keys, Venus Williams, Caroline Wozniacki and Naomi Osaka.
Venus likely to be too good for qualifier Gauff
By and large, these big names don't represent any positive or negative value today, although I'm interested in the Venus Williams versus Cori Gauff match. There's an incredible 24 year age gap between the two players here, with Williams now 39 - qualifier Gauff has got into the main draw at just 15 years of age following several underdog victories.
While grass data on Gauff is in short supply, her level this year suggests that even a veteran Williams in decline would be a huge gulf in level to the opponents that she has faced. In addition, we also have the intangible about whether nerves will beset her on the big stage.
Williams is not at her best these days but retains ability on grass - I make it her best surface - and I think that the 1.351/3 about Venus is very generous indeed.
The match is on later this afternoon (not before 1630 UK time) and the Exchange game handicap markets are still forming, but I anticipate on it settling on around the current 1.9010/11 on Williams -4.5 games, which to me, looks excellent value.
Buzarnescu potential favourite value over Pegula
Other matches which catch my eye a little on day one include Victoria Kuzmova against Polona Hercog, with the 21 year old Slovakian, Kuzmova, surprisingly the underdog at 2.6813/8.
I also think that Mihaela Buzarnescu might be under-rated at 1.784/5 against Jessica Pegula, with the market being defensive on her chances following a four-match losing streak. However, these losses were against strong players - Naomi Osaka, Karolina Pliskova and Jelena Ostapenko were three of them - and against Ostapenko in Birmingham she actually created more break chances in defeat.
Pegula's record on grass is nothing special and I think Buzarnescu should be priced considerably shorter than the 1.784/5 currently available on the Exchange.
Vondrousova with much to prove on grass
Hunting for massive priced underdogs is always a tough job on day one of Slams, but several players could be a little vulnerable. Marketa Vondrousova, from a fairly small sample, has struggled on grass so far in her career, but is just 1.182/11 to get past the limited Madison Brengle, while Madison Keys hasn't been consistently fit this year but is 1.081/12 against Luksika Kumkhum.
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Back Venus Williams -4.5 games at 1.9010/11 to beat Cori Gauff