US Open Men's Betting: Murray to start with four set win over Rosol

Murray is yet to win an opening set against Rosol
Murray is yet to win an opening set against Rosol

Andy Murray is among those in action on day two of the 2016 US Open on Tuesday and Sean Calvert expects the Scot to face a bit of a challenge from Lukas Rosol...


"Rosol loves nothing more than getting in the face of the top players and winding them up, as he's shown against Murray in both of their career clashes when he's won the opening set."

Back Murray to beat Rosol 3-1 at 6.05/1

We got off to a perfect start on day one of the US Open, with one of the easiest underdog winners of this or any season, as Mikhail Youzhny crushed Martin Klizan 6-2, 6-1, 6-1.

And our second wager was really unlucky when Jordan Thompson had match points to win his match with Steve Darcis 6-3 and 6-4 in set three and thus land the 'no tie break' wager, but failed with both opportunities and went to a breaker.

In the end Thompson lost in five, having been matched at 1.011/100, while the other one I fancued for 'no tie breaks' featured none in a four set win for Andreas Seppi.

On to Tuesday and according to Greg Rusedski, Andy Murray is the favourite for the US Open this year and as I've said in the past I'd love to be betting with some of these pundits with the odds they must be offering.

Rusedski is right about one thing though at least and that's the fine draw that Murray does have to land a second US Open crown by the end of this fortnight and he should have a winning start against Lukas Rosol.

How much Murray has in his legs is another matter in the long term, but disposing of Rosol in what will probably be another bad tempered affair between these two may not be as straightforward as his price of 1.021/50 implies.

Rosol loves nothing more than getting in the face of the top players and winding them up, as he's shown against Murray in both of their career clashes when he's won the opening set.

Other than the famous win over Rafa Nadal at Wimbledon back in 2012 the Czech in the last 12 months has beaten Jo-Wilfried Tsonga twice; lost in a final set breaker to Nadal; and twice taken Stan Wawrinka to a final set.

He has the kind of high-risk game that usually ends up faltering against defenders like Murray, but he certainly has it in him to zone for long enough to take this one past the overs mark of 29.5 total games.

It's hard to see him winning, but the 3-1 to Murray at 6.05/1 is tempting, as well as the overs.

I also like the chances of Feliciano Lopez to justify favouritism over Borna Coric, whose price looks a tad short and probably based on a virtual walkover win over Nadal in Cincy.

But Coric himself retired in the very next match at the Western & Southern Open after showing up against Marin Cilic covered in tape and in any case his hard court stats aren't up to much.

This season on outdoor hard courts Coric has only held serve 77.7% of the time and broken his opponents 19.9% of the time and away from clay the Croat's record in Grand Slams in 2-6.

Considering that Lopez's numbers are 86.6% service holds and 18.7% breaks and he hasn't been beaten in the opening round of a hard court major since Taylor Dent defeated him here in 2009 I'm happy to go with Lopez today.

The Spanish lefty's current form is good too, with a title in Gstaad and a final in Los Cabos in the last month or so and the quick conditions will surely favour the big server over the grinder here.

Elsewhere, we've got four 'potential upsets' playing today, so plenty of betting options on day two in New York.


Recommended Bets

Back Murray to beat Rosol 3-1 at 6.05/1
Back Lopez to beat Coric at 1.625/8


Tennis 2016 season P&L

Profit based on £10 stake per bet = £664.60

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