Second round action at the French Open begins on Wednesday, and with 16 men's singles matches on the agenda, our tennis columnist, Dan Weston, previews the schedule...
"Looking at some value spots, I quite like Marco Trungelliti, against Marco Cecchinato. I mentioned the other day that Cecchinato looked short against Marius Copil, even though the conditions rather suited Cecchinato, and the Italian laboured to a 10-8 final set victory in a match that lasted almost four hours."
Djokovic and Zverev among heavy favourites on day four
After a truncated three-day round one, we have already lost half the field at Roland Garros, with 64 players to fight things out over the next two days to make it into round three.
A number of big names are in action today, with Novak Djokovic one of these. With a justified starting price of [1.06] against the Spanish youngster, Jaume Munar, it's extremely likely that the Serb will progress. Other big-name heavy favourites who look correctly priced include Alexander Zverev, at [1.10], against Dusan Lajovic, David Goffin, who is [1.09] to get past Corentin Moutet, and Grigor Dimitrov, priced at [1.17] to defeat Jared Donaldson. There is likely to be a time and place to oppose Dimitrov in the coming days, but today against Donaldson isn't it.
Tsitsipas very capable of giving Thiem a tough match
We also see Dominic Thiem in action in a fascinating clash against the Greek youngster, Stefanos Tsitsipas. It may surprise some people that Tsitsipas' data this year isn't hugely dissimilar to Thiem's on clay, and it wouldn't be a shock at all if Tsitsipas was able to give a very good account of himself at the [1.28] current price.
Trungelliti value against fatigued Cecchinato
Looking at some value spots, I quite like Marco Trungelliti, against Marco Cecchinato. I mentioned the other day that Cecchinato looked short against Marius Copil, even though the conditions rather suited Cecchinato, and the Italian laboured to a 10-8 final set victory in a match that lasted almost four hours.
Trungelliti's story to be here has been well documented by the media in recent days, and he took advantage of a short notice lucky loser spot to defeat Bernard Tomic in four sets. Statistically, there doesn't seem a great deal to split the duo, and with this potential fatigue for Cecchinato also in mind, I'm quite happy to recommend Trungelliti at [2.70] to get the win.
Verdasco line 'trappy' against Andreozzi
My model also picked out several other players of noteworthy pre-match value, but some of them appear a little 'trappy'. Fernando Verdasco possibly isn't fully fit, otherwise his [1.91] line against Guido Andreozzi would look very generous indeed, while I also like Matteo Berrettini as a slight [2.30] underdog against Ernests Gulbis. My concern here is that Gulbis, although he hasn't often demonstrated it often in the last couple of years, has a very high potential level on clay - if this was on hard court, it might be a different story.
Delbonis with head to head lead over Carreno-Busta
Federico Delbonis was another option, with the Argentine taking on Pablo Carreno-Busta, and being a [3.15] underdog into the bargain. Of course, Carreno-Busta is the better player on all surfaces, but not by a huge amount on clay, where Delbonis is at his most competent. Indeed, Delbonis has won four of their previous five meetings, and a fifth win today isn't out of the question.
Norrie capable of pushing Pouille
Finally, from a small sample of data, the Brit, Cameron Norrie, looks to have some ability on clay, although he's still not yet at top 50 level. Having said this, market prices on Lucas Pouille, with the Frenchman at [1.23], look a little short and it wouldn't amaze me if Norrie was able to keep matters close, at the very least.
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