Rogers Cup Betting: Time to oppose tired Andy

Andy Murray has had an exhausting few weeks

Andy Murray is still in it over in Toronto but motivation and fatigue may well play a significant part in proceedings whne he faces local favourite Milos Raonic at midnight, says Sean Calvert

"This tournament represents a fine chance for Raonic to maybe even win a Masters 1000 with Murray and Djokovic the last of the recognized big names left and playing at home will give him even more motivation."

It was a bit of a favourite's graveyard at the Rogers Cup on Wednesday.

Those on multiples were probably thwarted by either Juan Martin Del Potro's defeat to Radek Stepanek or Jo-Wilfried Tsonga's shock loss to Jeremy Chardy, who at one point in the previous round had made Donald Young look in good form.

Fortunately, I had foreseen this and as I said in my tournament preview I fancied Delpo to struggle here after a long week at Wimbledon.

What I couldn't foresee though was Kei Nishikori failing to convert any of his nine break point chances against Sam Querrey and losing in straight sets in a match situation that was perfectly set up for him.

Kei had seven of those break point opportunities in the first two service games of Querrey in the match and you can't spurn those kind of chances at this level.

On the plus side, Andy Murray did beat Flavio Cipolla by over the 5.5 game handicap, so good news for anyone that was on that bet.

It may not be such a good day for the Scot today though, as he appeared to really struggle physically against the powder puff hitting of Cipolla and despite being jacked up with sugar after being made to eat a celebratory Olympic cake post match, he may be on his way out tonight.

Murray hobbled his way out of the complex afterwards and I really don't see him having much motivation with no points to defend from 12 months ago and with a tough match in prospect against the home favourite Milos Raonic at midnight UK time tonight.

The layers are not sure what to do in this one, with Murray a 1.574/7 shot at the moment and confidence clearly isn't high in this one given his likelihood of doing a Delpo/Tsonga and the fact that Raonic beat him comfortably in their only completed meeting.

This tournament represents a fine chance for Raonic to maybe even win a Masters 1000 with Murray and Djokovic the last of the recognized big names left and playing at home will give him even more motivation.

This is the kind of game that Murray likes to win just to make a point, but it's questionable whether he'll be at it today and even if he is, Raonic will be a tough ask for a player struggling physically.

It's well worth taking a chance on the Canadian today at a price of around 2.727/4

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