BNP Paribas Masters Betting: Ferrer to end Llodra dream

Sean fancies David Ferrer to prove too strong today

It's been a week of shocks and surprises at the BNP Paribas Masters, which has left Sean Calvert lamenting what might have been. It's semi-finals day in Bercy and Sean fancies David Ferrer to restore some order..

"Ferrer is surely going to disappoint the crowd again today by beating Llodra."

Back Ferrer 2-0 at 2.1211/10

Friday's play at the Palais Omnisports left me totally incredulous after seeing my portfolio reduced to tatters.

Unbelievably, or perhaps predictably the way this tournament has panned out, all four quarter-finals favourites were beaten - and I had three of them at big prices outright.

I said in my pre-event column that these were the perfect conditions for a big-priced winner and as predicted the event will be won by a player matched at between 46.045/1 and 1000.0.

It's particularly galling that it won't be one from my portfolio now, but there'll be a bumper payout for someone this Sunday.

It's not beyond the realms of possibility that the final will be between two 1000.0 shots and Jerzy Janowicz would be an amazing story if he pulled it off, but Michael Llodra's chances look slim today.

The Frenchman takes on David Ferrer at 4pm today and I like the look of the Spaniard to win this one and reach his first Masters final since Shanghai 2011. Ferrer will surely see this as a unique chance to gain a Masters crown and his game should match up pretty perfectly with that of Llodra.

They've met twice in the past and Ferrer has won both - each one taking place on a hard court and these slowish conditions should suit the Spaniard more than the home hope.

Ferrer showed that he's not going to be affected by this Paris crowd when defeating Tsonga last night and he's surely going to disappoint them again today by beating Llodra, whose cat and mouse serve/volley game won't outwit Ferrer.

This looks like either one for the unders or a 2-0 Ferrer win and I'm going with the latter at a price of 2.1211/10.

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Back Ferrer 2-0 at 2.1211/10

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