Australian Open Women's Singles Day Four: Young prospect Vondrousova can shock the market as well as Garcia

2016 champion Angelique Kerber looks short against Donna Vekic...
2016 champion Angelique Kerber looks short against Donna Vekic...
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After a clean sweep on day three, our tennis columnist, Dan Weston, looks to build on this success with some more winners in the women's singles on day four of the Australian Open...

"The young 18 year old, Vondrousova, has had an excellent start to her main tour career, winning ten of her 18 matches in the last 12 months, holding serve 68.7% and breaking opponents 38.4% (combined 107.1%) and such a level shows that her current ranking of 66 is completely false."

Clean sweep on day two in a day of drama


We had some pleasing results on day three of the Australian Open with both Magda Linette and Ying-Ying Duan both taking the required set from more illustrious opponents, and indeed, Linette prevailed to knock Daria Kasatkina out of the event.

In some other superb matches, we saw tournament favourite Elina Svitolina battle back from a set down to Katerina Siniakova, while Venus Williams' conqueror Belinda Bencic suffered from an 'after the lord mayor's show' performance as she succumbed in straight sets to Luksika Kumkhum.

Our outright pick, Caroline Wozniacki, also fought back from the brink to progress past Jana Fett, while Elise Mertens prevailed in an extraordinary fightback, coming back from 0-5 down in the opening set to defeat Daria Gavrilova, 7-5 6-3.

If we get such drama in Thursday's matches, it will be more than acceptable for the neutral, and there's a couple of matches worthy of further analysis.


Vondrousova insulted by market prices against Garcia


In the first, I'm very surprised indeed to see Marketa Vondrousova at a huge [3.35] to get past Caroline Garcia. No doubt, the Frenchwoman has been over-rated by the market numerous times in recent years, but being [1.42] against one of the best prospects on the WTA Tour is an insult to Vondrousova.

The young 18 year old, Vondrousova, has had an excellent start to her main tour career, winning ten of her 18 matches in the last 12 months, holding serve 68.7% and breaking opponents 38.4% (combined 107.1%) and such a level shows that her current ranking of 66 is completely false.

When I see a price like this, it's easy to think that it's too good to be true, and of course, a good value loser is very possible, but we have to take our chances at this line.


Bogdan and Barty look under-rated by the market


In other matches, Ana Bogdan was almost picked out on Tuesday as a recommendation, and she duly worsened Kristina Mladenovic's losing run, and she's again a value slight underdog at [2.22] against Yulia Putintseva.

In addition, Ash Barty looks a bit big at [1.67] against flavour of the month, Camila Giorgi, a player who has flattered to deceive for her entire career, while Angelique Kerber is short at [1.17] against Donna Vekic, who is starting to show glimpses of realising her massive potential when she broke onto the main tour as a 16 year old a few years ago.

We also see Simona Halep as a heavy favourite against Eugenie Bouchard, while Madison Keys is similarly priced against Ekaterina Alexandrova, and Johanna Konta likewise, as she faces the mediocre Bernarda Pera.

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Follow Dan on Twitter @TennisRatings

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