WTA Australian Open Day 3: Underdogs the value

Jelena Jankovic's return game can test Julia Goerges
Jelena Jankovic's return game can test Julia Goerges

The women's event at the Australian Open moves into the second round, and our tennis columnist, Dan Weston, has found several underdogs who are value overnight...

"There certainly is little wrong with Jankovic’s return game currently, with her win over Siegemund in the opening round seeing her create 24 break point chances."

Tuesday night was a tough evening, with Heather Watson getting us a solid win against Sam Stosur, but Yanina Wickmayer wasting NINE match points against Lucie Safarova in defeat.

According to my model, our options aren't quite as plentiful as I'd have liked in the WTA this evening, but two underdogs do stand out as selections with value.


Jankovic under-rated by the market

Jelena Jankovic is the first player that my model suggested that we put focus on, with the Serbian veteran facing the inconsistent German, Julia Goerges.

My model indicated Jankovic was huge value at around 1.608/13 against the clay-loving Laura Siegemund, and I must admit that I thought the price almost too good to be true.

However, with tomorrow's pricing as further evidence, it is clear that the market is under-rating Jankovic, with an absurd price of 2.3211/8 currently available to back her on the Exchange.

There certainly is little wrong with Jankovic's return game currently, with her win over Siegemund in the opening round seeing her create 24 break point chances, and even half of that amount would be extremely likely to help her cruise past the big-serving but erratic Goerges, a player who can go from the sublime to ridiculous on a weekly basis.


Vikhlyantseva can take All-Russian clash

Bigger priced underdog hunters may well be interested in the all-Russian match between Natalia Vikhlyantseva and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, with the younger Russian, Vikhlyantseva, priced at 3.002/1 at the time of writing.

Vikhlyantseva's numbers indicate that she is a huge prospect, as Vania King will testify from her opening round drubbing, whilst Pavlyuchenkova hasn't hugely impressed for a number of months.

The more seasoned Russian, Pavlyuchenkova, is only running at around 100% combined hold/break percentage over the last 12 months on hard court, and she has had issues winning easily when expected to do so - winning in straight sets in just four of twelve matches with a starting price between 1.201/5 and 1.501/2 on the surface in the last 24 months.

Backing Vikhlyantseva on a handicap, or outright, can be considered, for a small stake.

Recommended Bets
Back Jelena Jankovic to beat Julia Goerges at 2.3211/8
Back Natalia Vikhlyantseva to beat Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova at 3.002/1

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