ATP World Tour Finals Betting: Murray value to beat Djokovic

Sean is hoping to see more of this from Murray today

Andy Murray is back at the O2 in London today to take on world number one Novak Djokovic at the ATP World Tour Finals. Sean Calvert has assessed the options and is backing the Scot to prevail..

"This match is Murray’s for the taking and at a tempting 2.166/5 the Scot is the bet today."

Back Murray to beat Djokovic at 2.166/5

Tuesday was not the best of days at the O2, as a decent performance from Roger Federer and a pretty poor one from Janko Tipsarevic made it a losing day.

Tipsarevic will probably blame the virus that he's been suffering with, but it was a pretty insipid effort from the Serb, who looked like he didn't really believe he could win from the word go.

Wednesday sees Andy Murray return to the O2 for arguably the most eagerly anticipated of the round robin matches against Novak Djokovic

On a slow indoor court like this one, this afternoon's match could well take a while as Murray and Djokovic are very closely matched at the moment, as their clashes in New York and Shanghai illustrated. 

Neither player was particularly convincing in their opening matches on Monday and I think the value in this one is to side with Murray - either outright at around 2.166/5 or for a more expansive wager 2-1 at around 4.84/1.

The two are so similar these days that, unless one of them has a really bad day at the office, it's always going to be close and I think that Murray has the edge this week with the motivation of playing at home. 

Djokovic also has personal problems to deal with and having secured the number one ranking for the year-end he will probably be just slightly below par today and that should give Murray the advantage.

He should also be pretty keen to make amends for failing to capitalise on the match points he held against Djokovic in Shanghai a few weeks back, which should also give him motivation. 

His improved forehand, when he chooses to hit it, has also helped him win a higher percentage of his battles with the likes of Djokovic and Federer lately and that will be key again today.

This will be their 17th career meeting of a series that Djokovic leads 9-7 currently, but their first at the year-end championships and their first indoors for six years.

Indoor conditions haven't tended to suit Djokovic and he hasn't won an indoor title since Paris back in 2009, only reaching one more final, which he lost to Federer in Basel two years ago. 

This match is Murray's for the taking and at a tempting 2.166/5 the Scot is the bet today.

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Back Murray to beat Djokovic at 2.166/5

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