ATP World Tour Finals Betting: Murray too much for Tsonga

Sean is hoping for a Murray win and a nicer kit than this one today

Tennis expert Sean Calvert takes a look at tonight's vital Group A match between Andy Murray and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga at the ATP World Tour Finals and is no doubt who to back.

"If Murray serves reasonably well he'll win this one in two.."

Back Murray to beat Tsonga 2-0 at 1.635/8

Thursday proved to be a winning one at the O2 Arena in London, as David Ferrer did enough in the first set to land my bet

The Spaniard should really have won that first set against Roger Federer, who served at just 40% of first serves in and had to face eight break points from Ferrer before taking it 6-4. 

That was enough for the over 9.5 games bet, but surely it was a choke from Ferrer, who will never have a better chance to finally beat the Swiss than he did on Thursday against what was a below par Federer.

So, the world number two has qualified for the semi-finals with a match to spare, but Friday is all about Group A.

Andy Murray needs a win against Jo-Wilfried Tsonga in the evening match after his loss to Novak Djokovic on Wednesday and I'm confident that he'll achieve that aim fairly comfortably. 

Realistically, Tsonga doesn't have a lot to play for. By my calculations he'd have to give Murray a severe thrashing in straight sets to qualify and hope the other match between Djokovic and Tomas Berdych goes his way too. 

That aside, Tsonga is in no sort of form at the moment and I can't see him taking a set from the Scot tonight. 

The pair haven't played each others indoors since Metz in 2007, which Murray won 2-0 and as irrelevant as that is I can see a similar result tonight, with this slowish surface aiding Murray rather than his opponent.

The Frenchman hasn't taken a set off Murray on a hard court since blitzing him out of the 2008 Australian Open, with three of their most recent four meetings taking place on grass.

Murray should qualify for the semi finals here with a 2-0 win, as Tsonga has looked all at sea and will hopefully benefit from the input of Roger Rasheed, but his game needs work, particularly on the return of serve, which is still poor. 

If Murray serves reasonably well he'll win this one in two, the only worry being consistency with Andy, as he showed when faltering against Djokovic from a position of dominance.

I'm tempted by the 2.186/5 on offer about Murray winning this one with a handicap of -4.5 games, but the safer bet in this looks to be a 2-0 win for the Brit at around 1.635/8.

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Back Murray to beat Tsonga 2-0 at 1.635/8

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