The world's top players have made their way to London for the final event of the 2013 season the ATP World Tour Finals and Sean Calvert likes the chances of Tomas Berdych in the opening match...
"Berdych has won all four of their indoor meetings, including the two on indoor hard and his power game should be well suited to conditions here at the O2."
Novak Djokovic and David Ferrer have a day off after facing each other in the Bercy final yesterday, in which my overs bet was a winner and my Cash Out recommendation of backing Ferrer to win set one 6-3 at a big 17.016/1 was close too.
Ferrer held a 5-3 lead in that set and was plenty shorter than 17.016/1 at the time. He actually served for both sets and failed each time, but the match was tough as I had expected.
Today's opening clash in the tournament may also be tough, with Tomas Berdych facing first time O2 debutant Stan Wawrinka.
Conditions here in London are set to be slower than Bercy according to Roger Federer, although how much credence one can give to the opinion of a man who thought Bercy was quick is another matter.
The surface and balls are the same as those in Basel and Bercy, but conditions inside the arena make a bit of a difference and to no one's shock it would seem to have made it even slower.
It's got to the stage where we may as well play on wet clay and have done with it if the ATP continues to instigate this moneymaking policy of stretching top players to their physical limit in the quest for cash.
At least Berdych will be confident of having the power to hit through a pudding of a surface and he looks a solid wager to get his campaign off to a great start at 2pm today.
The Czech is much more comfortable in the limelight these days after formerly being in the position that Wawrinka occupies today, which is the role of the shy lad who has crept into the elite level and doesn't believe he really belongs there.
Stan's atrocious performances at home in Switzerland show how badly the guy suffers from nerves and all the ridiculous razzmatazz that goes with this event is not going to help him one bit.
Favourites have a very good record in this event, as I mentioned in my tournament preview yesterday and although Stan has won five of the last six matches between the pair I don't like the Swiss's chances one bit in this atmosphere - especially early on.
The 1.784/5 about Berdych looks good to me here, but there is one big priced punt that may be worthy of consideration.
Berdych to win the first set 6-3 at around 7.06/1 while Wawrinka gets used to conditions and rids himself of nerves is a distinct possibility.
Their career series is full of sets that haven't been particularly close, with only five tiebreaks in the 35 sets that they've contested in the past and 6-3 has been the score in their last four opening sets. I'm also tempted by the 6-2 Berdych at a tasty 21.020/1 here.
There isn't a great deal between these two, as you would expect in this tournament, but Berdych's greater experience here is vital for me and after choking away their match in Madrid this year the Czech is due a win.
Berdych has also won all four of their indoor meetings, including the two on indoor hard and his power game should be well suited to conditions here at the O2.
Back Berdych to beat Wawrinka at 1.784/5
Best Cash Out Opportunity
Back Berdych to win set one 6-3 at 7.06/1