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X Factor Week 5 Tips - 4th Impact to go?

Now act-less, we'll get a sense of Cowell's real favourites in this year's show
Now act-less, we'll get a sense of Cowell's real favourites in this year's show

In a week that sees another contrived theme, Jack Houghton thinks 4th Impact may be vulnerable, but that Che Chesterman will recover from last week's scare...

"The complex contrivances continue this week with the theme being Jukebox and Judges Choices. The latter speaks for itself, and the former involved something to do with Twitter and hash-tags..."

What Happened Last Week?

Mason Noise had been in the bottom two in Week Two, so it was no surprise to see him eliminated last week, especially after a lacklustre rendition of a poor song. Neither was it a shock to see Anton Stephans given the boot: his behaviour had become increasingly ridiculous, reaching its apotheosis in an unseemly spat between himself and Nick Grimshaw. So irrational was Stephans' reaction to what seemed relatively anodyne comments that he effectively guaranteed his departure.

More surprising was the presence of Che Chesterman in the sing-off. He has been one of the best performers in the early weeks, and whilst his version of Yesterday was a bit esoteric, it should still have been good enough to see him safe. It shouldn't be forgotten, though, that he sang first, which is always a disadvantage, and I haven't lost faith in him as a possible winner.


Who Are The Likely Winners?

Louisa Johnson (2/5) is now the overwhelming favourite. I'd rather be a layer than a backer at the odds, though, and think that a case can be made for any of the remaining five. It's more of an equal contest now, with all contestants singing twice in each show, minimising the impact of performing order, and with only one act going each week, the dynamic of the show is about to change.


What Will Happen This Week?

The complex contrivances continue this week with the theme being Jukebox and Judges Choices. The latter speaks for itself, and the former involved something to do with Twitter and hash-tags. I'm not going to try and unravel the point of it all, but expect Che Chesterman to recover from last week's blip as he is slated to sing a couple of classics that will suit his voice.

For all the latest price movements on the X-Factor, head over to Betfair Predicts.



Who's For The Chop?

Somewhat unbelievably, Lauren Murray is the second-favourite to face elimination this weekend at 2/1. That she is such a short price to go is presumably in response to reports that social media has turned against her after she "shoved" 4th Impact. Methinks, though, that social media is a fickle bedfellow, and she will soon be forgiven when X-Factor producers construct a VT to repair her reputation before she goes on to be the best singer on the night.

4th Impact are most likely to go, but at the odds they don't offer much value. It's no bet for me this week.


Recommended Bets:
No Bet

Profit / Loss on Settled Bets: -9pts


Previously Recommended Bets:

5 points Che Chesterman at 7/2 in Outright Winner Market - OPEN
5 points Lauren Murray at 3/1 in Outright Winner Market - OPEN
1 point 4th Impact at 11/2 in Outright Winner Market - OPEN
1 point Che Chesterman at 11/2 in Outright Winner Market - OPEN
1 point Alien Uncovered at 8/1 in Next Elimination Market - LOST
1 point Monica Michael at 9/1 in Third Elimination Market - LOST
1 point Mason Noise at 6/1 in Third Elimination Market - LOST
2 points Monica Michael at 15/8 in Third Elimination Market - LOST
2 points Anton Stephans at 8/1 in Outright Winner Market - LOST
2 points Reggie N Bollie at 7/2 in Seventh Elimination Market - LOST


Jack Houghton,

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