An 8/1 near-miss for Jack Houghton in Week One, but he expects to hit the target this weekend with Mason Noise and Monica Michael looking weak...
"In Reinvention week, Kiera Weathers (9/4 to be the third act eliminated), Mason Noise (6/1), Monica Michael (9/1) and Seann Miley Moore (16/1) might be likely candidates to depart..."
What Happened Last Week?
It's a measure of how bad Bupsi's performance on last week's show was that, despite getting a strong billing towards the end of proceedings, she still managed to be booted off with the fewest votes. Unfortunately, her woeful rendition of a poor song also meant that our 8/1 tip on Alien Uncovered to go first was a near miss. As predicted, the dance-focused six-piece put on an inaccessible performance, and it was no surprise to see them in the sing-off, losing out to Kiera Weathers.
The 5/1 available on Kiera when betting first opened was always a ridiculous price, and even the 12/1 on offer just before the show started looked on the short-side. She seems nice enough, but her voice is technically weaker than the others, and given that Lauren and Louisa do a similar thing to her - only much better - she will be vulnerable again.
Who Are The Likely Winners?
With one show down, I'm happy with my selections so far and certainly won't be lumping on the now ludicrously short-odds Louisa Johnson (11/10). She is, admittedly, probably the most-likely winner, but only marginally - and there's still a long way to go. What's more, I'm not sure her rendition of God Only Knows was as good as the judges made out, and she could still be vulnerable if singing first one week and putting in a poor performance.
What Will Happen This Week?
Assuming the plan is for the final to consist of three acts - as it has done in the past - then there is still a requirement to bin eight of the remaining contestants in five weeks, so it will be no surprise if there is another double elimination on Sunday night. And who knows: following my advice to expect the unexpected we might even see more than two depart... The excitement is palpable.
Who's For The Chop?
In Reinvention week, Kiera Weathers (9/4 to be the third act eliminated), Mason Noise (6/1), Monica Michael (9/1) and Seann Miley Moore (16/1) might be likely candidates to depart, but at the prices, I'll be having small bets on Mason Noise and Monica Michael.
Profit / Loss on Settled Bets: -1pt
Previously Recommended Bets:
2-points Anton Stephans at 8/1 in Outright Winner Market - OPEN.
1-point 4th Impact at 11/2 in Outright Winner Market - OPEN.
1-point Che Chesterman at 11/2 in Outright Winner Market - OPEN.
1-point Alien Uncovered at 8/1 in Next Elimination Market - LOST.