It's close between Emily Middlemas and the last surviving group, writes Jack Houghton, but he thinks Louis' boys may just survive...
"While 5 After Midnight are Motowning out a bit of Stevie Wonder, Matt Terry will be technically fabulous and just generally a bit serious..."
What Happened Last Week?
Even with a stage invasion by internet "prank ensemble" TrollStation (I have no idea what that means), an horrific interpretation of MC Hammer sealed Honey G's fate. And up against 5 After Midnight, who up-to-now have had the public-vote confidence of a pro-European Liberal Democrat in Richmond, Honey G stood little chance of surviving.
Quite why 5 After Midnight faced the sing-off is beyond me. They seemed to have their best week yet - especially their version of Uptown Funk - and should have been comfortable.
Who Are The Likely Winners?
I've written before that the key to winning money on the X-Factor is to be prepared to re-evaluate your view of acts: performances matter and the voting public can change their opinions on the basis of improved showings (think Little Mix). And Saara Alto has certainly changed a few minds. Looking like a certainty for early eviction at the start of the series and matched at a high of 270.0269/1, she is now trading around 3.4012/5 and is a viable contender to Matt Terry (1.705/7).
Personally, I struggle to see her winning, but I was wrong with Little Mix and could be wrong again.
What Will Happen This Week?
X Factor rolls out the Christmas numbers this week and leaves the acts to choose their own second song. Emily Middlemas is slated to be singing Happy Xmas (War is Over). Quite what she'll do with a John Lennon song I'm not sure, but I expect it to be a car crash. Saara Alto has the popular All I Want For Christmas Is You to kick her evening off, which will be the most well-received song of the night. And while 5 After Midnight are Motowning out a bit of Stevie Wonder, Matt Terry will be technically fabulous and just generally a bit serious.
Who's For The Chop?
I don't understand why, but Saara Alto is now looking the most likely finalist to line-up against Matt Terry next week. It seems a toss-up as to who will join them. At the odds, I fancy Emily Middlemas to be the one to miss out.
2-point back Emily Middlemas at 2.9015/8 in 9th Elimination Market
Profit / Loss: -1.54 points
2-point back 5 After Midnight at 14.50 in Winner market - OPEN
5-point back 5 After Midnight at 6.205/1 in Winner market - OPEN
5-point back Matt Terry at 3.505/2 in Winner market - OPEN
5-point back Honey G at 8.4015/2 in Winner market - OPEN
3-point back Samantha Lavery at 12.50 in Winner market - LOST
1-point back Relley C at 3.259/4 in 1st Elimination market - LOST
1-point back Saara Alto at 7.006/1 in 1st Elimination market - LOST
1-point back Freddy Parker at 3.2011/5 in 2nd Elimination market - WON
1-point back Ryan Lawrie at 5.609/2 in 3rd Elimination market - LOST
1-point back Saara Aalto at 2.9015/8 in 4th Elimination market - LOST
3-point back Four of Diamonds at 3.505/2 in 5th Elimination market - WON
2-point back Emily Middlemas at 16.0015/1 in 6th Elimination Bottom Three market - VOID
2-point back Saara Alto at 3.505/2 in 6th Elimination market - LOST
1-point back Emily Middlemas at 2.305/4 to be in Bottom Two - LOST
2-point lay Honey G at 1.625/8 in 8th Elimination Market - LOST