Support for Emily Middlemas is unjustified, writes Jack Houghton, who thinks that Four of Diamonds will be eliminated this week...
"You can't constantly ignore the democratic demands of a well-informed public. Especially those who have five free votes on a phone app. Now hang on, there's an idea..."
What Happened Last Week?
Gifty Louise got booted out. Social media is up in arms. How dare an unelected judicial elite interfere in what should be purely democratic decisions about who should exit the X-Factor? The X-it debate (as it isn't being called) raises fundamental constitutional questions about popular sovereignty and the rule of law and we are unlikely to hear the end of it. Nigel Farage will have something to say about it. Gifty may even appeal to the Supreme Court.
When she gets to the Supreme Court, though, she'll be disappointed. The facts speak for themselves: she sang first, which we know is a disadvantage; she sang a song no-one knows; she didn't sing it very well; and, as she has showed with her stroppy reaction to the decision, she just isn't very likeable.
Who Are The Likely Winners?
Quite why Five After Midnight have drifted so markedly in the betting is beyond me. At the time of writing they are available at 14.50. There are rumours of tensions behind the scenes, but their performances remain among the best we are seeing. I'll be going in again at those odds.
Some of that drift has been caused by the hyperbolic reaction to Emily Middlemas' performance to close last Saturday's show. It was an interesting version of a good song, but again she showed very little vocal range. It's important not to write-off any contestant - the golden rules say you must stay nimble and respond to their performances week-by-week - but I struggle to understand why she's as short as 4.10 at this stage.
Matt Terry remains a solid odds-on shot.
What Will Happen This Week?
It's Girlband versus Boyband week, which you would expect to suit the resident girlband and boyband. It will, but it also won't especially hinder anyone else, who will just sing whatever they want (as long as - somewhere in the annals of history - it has been covered by a band with some girls and boys in it). Hopefully Honey G will do a G4 song.
Who's For The Chop?
Four of Diamonds are terrible. They are constantly out of tune and look awkward on stage. Despite having prime billing three weeks in a row, they have been in the Bottom Two twice, and have perhaps been fortunate to win the sing-off. If they find themselves there again they are unlikely to be reprieved a third time. After all, you can't constantly ignore the democratic demands of a well-informed public. Especially those who have five free votes on a phone app. Now hang on, there's an idea...
2-point back 5 After Midnight at 14.50 in Winner market
3-point back Four of Diamonds at 3.505/2 in 5th Elimination market
5-point back 5 After Midnight at 6.205/1 in Winner market - OPEN
5-point back Matt Terry at 3.505/2 in Winner market - OPEN
3-point back Samantha Lavery at 12.50 in Winner market - OPEN
1-point back Relley C at 3.259/4 in 1st Elimination market - LOST
1-point back Saara Alto at 7.006/1 in 1st Elimination market - LOST
1-point back Freddy Parker at 3.2011/5 in 2nd Elimination market - WON
1-point back Ryan Lawrie at 5.609/2 in 3rd Elimination market - LOST
1-point back Saara Aalto at 2.9015/8 in 4th Elimination market - LOST