At the moment it is simply impossible to see Ella not winning this thing, having come on late at the weekend, and absolutely obliterating everything that had come before. She's like an atomic Leona Lewis bomb, far better than the X Factor's biggest success story to-date. Where has she been hiding all these years? Bar something ridiculous, she's got the show sown up. We'd love to recommend a lay at [1.87], but we just can't.
So if the betting won't be too lively on the winners market, it is time to turn attention to the Groups, where it is all going off between the badly-named District 3 ([2.68]) and the even-worse-named Union J ([1.26]). The pendulum swings fully one way then the other each week, in this battle for underage girls' hearts. It should ultimately boil down to which band is hotter, where as we pointed out last week, Union J have a slight advantage on account of recruiting a pretty little thing who looks like the human embodiment of an Andrex puppy. His hairstyle alone could take them to the final, despite District 3's stronger harmonies.
As for Top Boy, this one looks set to be even tighter. James Arthur has the ink-work and gruff inner pain to thrill this audience, whilst Jahmene Douglas is nervous, meek and enormously soulful. They are equally hard to divide when you listen to their challenging backstories too. It's all poverty, drugs, violence and crime - something for everyone. At the moment the betting is dead level at [1.53] each to win their category. Our instincts are that Jahmene may have a couple of gears still to go up, and if he can nail a big performance in the next couple of weeks, his price will drop considerably.
The acts without too much time left are Rylan, the blubbering Essex thing, and Christopher, the blubbering Liverpool thing. Both have a strong future at G-A-Y, but we're approaching the stage of the competition when the jokes wear thin, and the novelty acts get dumped. You can get a decent [10.5] on those two being the bottom combination this weekend, and [4.7] on Christopher getting the boot.
Simply too vanilla. Won't go this week, but has no chance of making the final. Needs putting out of her misery.
Kye won't be lasting too much longer in this contest either, which leaves Barlow in deep sewage, seeing that Kye and Christopher are now all he's got left. I agree with Mike Norman, he should comfortably be the first judge eliminated from the competition, and [1.35] is a fair price on that score.