WWE SummerSlam: Exclusive betting preview for the big event

John Cena takes on Seth Rollins at SummerSlam
John Cena takes on Seth Rollins at SummerSlam

It's the biggest wrestling event of the summer this weekend as WWE rolls into New York City for its 28th annual SummerSlam. Read our resident wresting aficionado Paul Robinson's best bets for the action...

"Cena is priced up as the 6/4 outsider and I have to believe that there is some value in that. The storyline could be that he pulls off the win only for Sheamus to cash in his Money in the Bank briefcase immediately after - which you can back at 13/8 in the Money in the Bank to be cashed in on the night market."

WWE SummerSlam
Midnight Sunday BST
Live on Sky Box Office and the WWE Network

First up, a little secret. I was in attendance for SummerSlam 1992 at Wembley Stadium for the British Bulldog's epic Intercontinental title victory over Bret 'Hitman' Hart. And 23 years later, I'm still as big a fan as ever. We should be in for a cracking show that's been extended to a whopping four hours.

Brock Lesnar v The Undertaker

'I'm gonna kill you' 'You'll have to'

It doesn't get much bigger than this folks. The Deadman returned at Battleground last month and cost Brockkkkkkkk Lesnar the WWE World Heavyweight Championship. On the following Monday Night Raw, Taker explained his motives - he was sick of Lesnar's advocate, Paul Heyman, bragging about his client ending his long-standing Wrestlemania winning streak in 2014.

So that's the storyline in play, but in reality it seems to me that this match was thrown together a month or so ago when Vince McMahon realised that he didn't have an 'epic' main event to sell his second biggest pay per view of the year, and in turn, increase subscriptions to his network.

Under normal circumstances, I would assume that Undertaker has been promised a victory back after doing the job (losing) at Wrestlemania 30, but that makes little sense to me.

Lesnar has been built up as an unstoppable force for around a year now and if he gets beaten by a 50-year-old man, he will surely lose a bit of credibility with the fans - and that's despite The Undertaker being the most respected wrestler in the company.

Then we need to take a look at the build-up to this match as Taker has had the upper hand when they've appeared on screen together, even as recently as this Monday when he displayed 'heelish' (bad guy) tactics in giving Lesnar a low blow and then a Tombstone Piledriver.

I see this match being used as a set-up for something bigger in the future at Wrestlemania next year when McMahon has to sell 100,000 tickets at the Cowboys Stadium. That makes me lean towards a 'no bet' in the match-odds market where Undertaker is 1/2 and Brock the 6/4 underdog.

I would be more inclined to take an interest in Over 3.5 German Suplexes at 5/6 in the Total German Suplexes delivered on the night by Lesnar market.

Obviously the former UFC champ isn't going to throw a 50-year-old man around like he did to the likes of Cena and Rollins recently, but he should still get four in as they are his trademark.

If you do fancy a punt in the match-odds market then I would take the value on Lesnar, but for me it's all about the Germans as I think we will hear a bit of 'Welcome to Suplex City, B***h'.

Seth Rollins v John Cena
WWE World Heavyweight Title v United States Title

It's champion versus champion in this one with the added spice of Rollins recently putting Cena out of action for three weeks by legitimately breaking his nose in a previous match.

A stiff knee to the head plastered Cena's nose all over his face - Google it if you aren't squeamish - but 'Big Match John' carried on after a brief bit of medical treatment and he won the bout to set up this match.

This is another tough outcome to call as Seth Rollins' title reign has been plagued by weak looking performances. He hasn't really won any of his major matches without some form of shenanigans and if he drops the title here, he won't look very credible to the fans and would risk becoming a wasted investment by the company.

That being said, it is rumoured that Cena was thrust back into the main event spotlight after TV ratings started to slide and his merchandise sales began to fall. He is WWE's cash cow and despite polarising fans, there's no doubt that he draws a huge amount of money.

He is priced up as the 6/4 outsider and I have to believe that there is some value in that. The storyline could be that he pulls off the win only for Sheamus to cash in his Money in the Bank briefcase immediately after - which you can back at 13/8 in the Money in the Bank to be cashed in on the night market.

Other Markets

Kevin Owens looks like a solid investment at 8/13 to get a win over Cesaro as he's involved in the NXT Takeover event the night before in the main event against Finn Balor. There is no way that Balor is dropping the NXT title so soon after winning it and I can't imagine that WWE will have Owens lost two big matches back to back.

Rusev versus Ziggler is a toss-up - as the odds suggest at 4/5 and 10/11 respectively - and Sheamus looks certain to beat Orton given Orton's recent wins over him - WWE like to even things up to keep wrestler's looking as strong as they can - but at 2/7 I can't get excited.

There is a market available for a special live in-house appearance on the night and Ric Flair at 6/1 interests me.

'Naitch' has been mentioned in the build up to the Rollins/Cena match so there could be a possible angle for him to appear there, or he could appear on camera during the Women's match as his daughter Charlotte is involved. It has also been confirmed that Flair is in New York for the weekend to be with his daughter.

The only other market that interests me is the Tag-Team bout between The Wyatt family and Roman Reigns and Dean Ambrose. The former Shield members are 4/5 to pick up the victory in this one and if Vince McMahon and co still have big plans for Roman, he needs to earn a decisive win on a big stage.

Recommended Bets
Back Brock Lesnar to deliver Over 3.5 German Suplexes at 5/6
Back John Cena @ 6/4
Back a Money in the Bank cash in @ 13/8
Back Ric Flair to make a live in-house appearance @ 6/1
Back Roman Reigns and Dean Ambrose @ 4/5

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