Strictly Come Dancing Week Three Betting: Chef looks ready for exit door

Who is set for the ballroom chop this week?
Who is set for the ballroom chop this week?
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Alan Dudman successfully tipped Chizzy Akudolu's exit last week at [7.20], and he looks to TV chef Simon Rimmer to cook up another winner in the Bottom Two market for this Saturday and Sunday...

"He only earned 18 points last week, and his Quickstep planned for Saturday is to Toy Story and You've Got A Friend In Me. It doesn't sound the most dynamic, and he clearly hasn't got the "funnies" that Coles and Calman possess."

Back Simon Rimmer in Bottom Two @ around [2.0]

What Happened Last Week

First revelation of the night came in the form of one of the hilarious comedy VTs before Debbie McGee's dance with Gio. We found out that the magic woman has a boat called... wait for it...

"The Lovely Debbie McGee."

Debs gleaned 34 points from a Waltz to take her to the top of the leaderboard for a combined two week score. However, it was singer Alexander Burke who blew everyone away with her 36 point Paso Doble. There was standing ovation from the judges following her scores of 9,9,9 and 9. Her and Debbie are big players in the Winner market now at [5.30] and [5.0] respectively.

Burke needs to get herself a boat ASAP.

And what about Aston Merrygold? Well, he was our pick last week, and his 32 point Salsa was seriously under-marked. No bitterness here, but a 7 from Craig Revell-Horwood was ridiculous. Even Bruno said it was one of the most difficult sequence of lifts he'd ever seen. Yes, a 7 from Craig!

Aston is still the favourite at [4.40], but I am worrying now if he has the curse of the professional dancer. He really was rather good. But so were Danny Mac and Ricky Whittle.

It wasn't all doom and gloom, though. Our first elimination bet of Chizzy Akudolu came up trumps at a tasty [7.20]. Her exit to an Abba song was all rather awkward, and she can certainly feel hard done by to be beaten by Brian Conley.

The latter only got 19 points and scraped through thanks to head judge Shirley Ballas (who is excellent by the way), with the reasons of musicality and content, something that left about 10 million people puzzled.

Exit songs are never good with Abba. I remember seeing an Abba tribute band many years ago. Pretty good they were, in fact, better than Abba.

In other news, Mollie King's 25 points proved she isn't going to win this, and at [12.50] for the Winner market, you can double that and add 20. She's not good enough.

Who Dances What This Week?

It's the dreaded Movie Week, and a chance for some of the great films and their soundtracks to be aired. Star Wars, Indian Jones, My Fair Lady and the Doberman Gang. OK, the last one hasn't made it on to the song list yet, but I've been banging the drum for that film for nearly ten years of previews here.

If you don't tire of it, I certainly won't.

Shall we start with the boat owner? Glorified dinghy more like. Anyway, the lovely Debbie McGee has got a good one here with a Fred and Ginger Quickstep to Let's Call The Whole Thing Off - a routine packed with running and speed. Expect a price of around [3.50] to [4.0] for Highest Scorer - and I think that's fair. She's clearly very good. You'll like it, not a lot.

Burke's upcoming routine is an American Smooth to a My Fair Lady number. Ian Waite highlighted on "It Takes Two" this week the high stakes of choreography and content, so she's clearly a player again.

The judges keep banging on about Aston's feet. His Cha Cha Cha for Saturday is to Can't Stop The Feeling dressed as Trolls. I have no idea what any of that means, but hopefully the judges will rectify a couple of weeks of under-marking.

A likely improver could be Gemma Atkinson, and her upcoming Charleston. There are three routines that score well: Charlestons, the Jive and the Paso. Or in football lingo: "You've got your Charlestons, you've got your Jives and your Pasos."

The TV star and huge radio personality has picked The Jungle Book for her film - which should in theory release the shackles. She's looked too nervous, now is the time. Anything around [7.0] might be an outside bet.

Saturday is time for Indiana Jones. Step forward Jonnie Peacock - who has a Paso Doble to dance following his 29-pointer last week. Whilst world-famous Joe McFadden needs to get over his few hiccups following an under-par 22 Tango.

When I think of Indiana Jones, I think of the giant boulder chasing Harrison Ford. Reminiscent of the giant tumbleweeds that continue to chase all of Tess Daly's 'comic' material.

Ruth Langsford and Anton Du Beke will Rumba to James Bond for movie week, which is shame. There was a golden opportunity to pick Beke To The Future.

Who Faces Elimination This Week?

The routines for "The Rev" and Susan Calman should guarantee safety from elimination this week. Richard Coles (I prefer "The Rev") will be moving to the Flash Gordon theme tune. The beauty of Richard's dancing is that no matter what the routine or discipline, every one is exactly the same; pretty dull, quite boring, but deemed hilarious because he is a 50-year-old with no moves.

It has worked for Ed Balls, and it's the tried and trusted formula. I really hope Brian Blessed appears on Saturday. Please, please say "Gordon's alive."

Meanwhile Calman will go down the Samba route dressed as Wonder Woman. Again, it's a comedy routine that should ensure a safe passage to week four. If you are a brave layer, consider taking them both on to lay in the Bottom Two market, they should be safe.

Talking of funny and comedy, it's not something that goes with Simon Rimmer. On my notes I had written Simon, and for one moment I genuinely didn't know which Simon he was.

He only earned 18 points last week, and his Quickstep planned for Saturday is to Toy Story and You've Got A Friend In Me. It doesn't sound the most dynamic, and he clearly hasn't got the "funnies" that Coles and Calman possess.

Coles was a big star of course in The Communards back in the 1980s. Rimmer cooks a lamb tangine on Sundays. As tasty as that dish is, revenge is best served cold. Does that work? Who cares, back him for Bottom Two.

No one can out-funny the funnyman Brian Conley, and his Wizard Of Oz routine for Saturday (in Ballroom) might just be a saver. He'll dance to If I Only Had A Brain, which could improve his score of 19 last weekend to at least 21. He was on ITT this week and pleaded with the viewers by saying: "Please vote, I'm dying here." And as pleas go, it's right up there.

Week Three Recommended Bet

Back Simon Rimmer in Bottom Two @ around [1.80]

*Strictly airs this Saturday on BBC One at 18:35 to 20:40, with the results show Sunday at 19:15 to 20:00

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