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Strictly Come Dancing Betting: Nicky The Next One To Go

Singer Nicky Byrne - great hair, lousy samba

The bottom two market looks fairly simple, with Nicky Byrne maybe coming to the end of his stay. He was supposed to play 'Bond' last weekend with an Argentine tango, but unfortunately looked more 'Basildon Bond' than James. The singer has already been in red zone twice, and was lucky to be drawn against Michael Vaughan in the dance off last week. 

Following Michael Vaughan's exit last weekend, our Strictly Come Dancing expert Alan Dudman is hoping Nicky Byrne can follow the cricketer out of the exit door this Saturday. 

Readers of this column will know I am somewhat of a 'Northern Soul' fan, and the collective words often used in those circles are 'keep the faith'. Although that can also be applied to fans of Bon Jovi, who had a hit with the same song title in 1992, an altogether more recognisable tune than Jo Dee Messina's 'Keep The Faith' - which I am slightly sketchy on. 

Louis Smith's top score Charleston last Saturday rewarded those who have been keeping the faith with the gymnast, and I mentioned last week how crucial that routine was. He finally got the personality in a dance and Bruno described him as a 'true contender'. There were loads of tricks with some amazing moves, and Smith is back in the ball game, with huge market support now back as 1.9210/11 favourite in the winner market. 

I have kicked myself several times in my life, none more so than failing to back Louis for a Charleston. I regularly trot out the line of Chris Hollins and the routine that clinched his title, but it works. This dance gets the points, but I couldn't quite see the Olympian pulling it off. He was a tasty price seven days ago, and is still pretty big for this weekend at 3.505/2 for highest scorer, but his show time effort has gone. More on him later. 

With only six remaining contestants, the standard is extremely high. Scores of 30-32 are not really of quarter-final standard, and the layers believe the final three will be Smith, Denise Van Outen and Dani Harmer. 

Saturday's live show is an intriguing prospect, as the dancers are tackling a fusion of two routines, thus making life quite tough. I often fuse dances when strutting my stuff on the dance floors of London. My seamless link of 'Dirty Cash'(a fabulous Stevie V song) to Tight Fit's 'Fantasy Island is something to behold - seen in Ashtons Nightclub in Cricklewood circa 1997. 

With me waxing lyrical about that bloody Charleston, it's only right to spot the celeb with that routine this week. Step forward Dani Harmer

The pocket rocket was joint second on the leaderboard with 34 points recently and will dance to the 'Happy feet' song. Her fusion is the 'C' dance mixed with a quickstep, which has the potential to be fantastic. Professional dancer Iain Waite awarded them his crown on the midweek BBC 'It Takes Two' programme, and it might be worth taking a chance on her finally hitting the highest scorer at 3.505/2

Meanwhile, the Denise Van Outen fan club have been suffering this week following her 32 point salsa. That scoreline was just one point ahead of Lisa Riley, which is quite frankly ridiculous. Her dance was good with some brilliant spins, but her pro partner James Jordan made an error - which blew their chances. In truth, the salsa has been a bit of a graveyard dance this series, and Jordan isn't particularly fond of the boogie. 

The presenter is sure to bounce back according to the market this week and trades at 1.758/11 for the highest scorer, but has drifted again in the winner marker to 3.55n/a. Her routine this Saturday will comprise a jive and a quickstep. Her jive was brilliant earlier in the series and was one of her best dances. She'll be dancing to Jackie Wilson's 'Reet Petite' which should gain some hefty marks for the former part. 

Louis has the tango and the rumba, but the latter is a really tough dance for the man. On the plus side he has great arms and can produce a trick or two, but I still am a layer in the winner market at 1.9210/11

Meanwhile Kimberley is fast becoming the 34 woman, as she always gets 34 points. Her jive last weekend was hot, with loads of solo and style, and once again it's worth highlighting her partner Pasha - who always produces stunning choreography. Kimbles will tackle a cha cha cha and tango, with the latter her strong part as she was very good recently with that Latin. The question is can she gain a 36? Her winner market price of 21.0020/1 suggests perhaps not, for highest scorer she is 5.509/2 this Saturday. 

The bottom two market looks fairly simple, with Nicky Byrne maybe coming to the end of his stay. He was supposed to play 'Bond' last weekend with an Argentine tango, but unfortunately looked more 'Basildon Bond' than James. The singer has already been in red zone twice, and was lucky to be drawn against Michael Vaughan in the dance off last week. 

Nicky and his gorgeous partner Karen have the samba and American Smooth. He'll be alright in the latter, but male dancers dread the samba as it's a fairly horrible dance for the man. To add to the negative theme, they are dancing to an Olly Murs song entitled 'Troublemaker'. Urgh. 

Finally Lisa Riley, who gained just 31 points  recently having dressed herself like a giant canary. She is best in fast and furious dances, and will always produce great energy. However that energy card is becoming boring and she needs to leave. She is 4.707/2 for elimination but might be OK this Saturday if Nicky makes the bottom two.

And remember folks, back the Charleston. 

This week's recommendations: 
Back Dani Harmer for highest scorer @ 3.505/2
Back Nicky Byrne for elimination @ 2.1011/10

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06 December 2012

Strictly Come Dancing

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