Anthony Joshua might look unstoppable in the boxing ring but, when it comes to betting on the Sports Personality of the Year, Max Liu reckons Lewis Hamilton might have the beating of him...
"This year's title will be a arguably the high point of Hamilton's glittering career. Crucially, for our betting purposes, it will be fresh in fans' minds when it comes to voting for SPOTY... "
On the eve of his fight against Carlos Takam in Cardiff, Anthony Joshua is 2/51.41 favourite to be named Sports Personality of the Year in December. With the announcement of this year's winner of the BBC award now only seven weeks away, though, there are plenty of reasons why the world heavyweight champion Joshua could be worth laying at those odds.
Don't get us wrong - we take nothing away from Joshua. His achievements in the ring are phenomenal and outside of it, he's a credit to his sport and an excellent role model. But Joshua is 1/201.05 to beat Takam 22/123.0, who's stepped in after Kubrat Pulev pulled out, and fight is likely to be a little underwhelming.
That's not Joshua's fault, of course. He can only beat what's put in front of him, as the adage goes, but for the sake of who's likely to be in the voting public's mind when they vote on December 17, it's possible that Joshua could lose out to another key contender.
We're talking about Lewis Hamilton, who is 11/82.36 to win this Sunday's Mexican Grand Prix. Hamilton only needs a top five finish to seal the Formula One World Drivers' Championship for the fourth time in his career. And even if it doesn't happen on Sunday, the Brit is almost certain to be world champion.
This year's title will be a arguably the high point of Hamilton's glittering career. Crucially, for our betting purposes, it will be fresh in fans' minds when it comes to voting for SPOTY, which is why his current price is generous. And then there is the fact F1 fans are often keen voters when it comes to SPOTY - when Hamilton won in 2014, many thought the double major winning Rory McIlroy was a shoo-in.
Hamilton isn't the only other candidate, whose strong claims make a lay of Joshua appealing. Betting.Betfair columnist Ralph Ellis has long been sceptical of the boxer's chances and believes that cyclist Chris Froome 13.5 is in with a shout. So while we definitely wouldn't oppose Joshua in the ring Saturday, we do think he could be disappointed on December 17.