I'm A Celebrity Get Me Out Of Here 2010: The early verdict

I'm a Celebrity / Andrew Gordon / 15 November 2010 / 4

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Don't back Stacey at the current low prices

"Stacey Solomon is not worth backing. Firstly, the price is too skinny considering we haven't even seen the happy campers properly interact with each other yet. And more importantly, I'm A Celebrity winners are normally male."

IACGMOOH is back so heat up the roo's testicles and grab a plate of witchetty grubs while reading Andrew Gordon's verdict on the early betting

Stacey Solomon (Current Odds [2.44]): The Dagenham diva heads the early market and it's easy to see why punters are keen on supporting her. Viewers are sure to connect with her dippy personality and as a popular X Factor finalist from last year, her claim to fame is still fresh in the memory. However, she is not worth backing. Firstly, the price is too skinny considering we haven't even seen the happy campers properly interact with each other yet. And more importantly, I'm A Celebrity winners are normally male. The last four successive champions, and seven of nine in total, have been a man - the only exceptions are Carol Thatcher (2005) and Kerry Katona (2004). So by splitting the camps up by sex, she could be undermined by spending her time with the rest of the girls. Furthermore, at 21 years of age, she would also be youngest winner in the history of the show. Her favouritism is understandable but your hard-earned cash is best spent elsewhere.

Nigel Havers (Current Odds [6.2]): Could be a dark horse. At 60 years of age, he is right on the limit from a trends perspective (the previous oldest champion was Tony Blackburn, who was 59), but he should more than make up for it with his long-standing popularity as an actor. We saw with George Hamilton (2009) and George Takei (2008) how camp-mates can warm to established stars of the screen - the only worry is that he won't get stuck into enough bush-tucker trials (a very important factor in getting the public onside early doors). Seems to have developed an early spat with Lembit - though being the gentleman that he is, he should come off favourably.

Shaun Ryder (Current Odds [9.6]): Will be hoping to follow in the footsteps of fellow Happy Mondays band-mate Mark 'Bez' Berry, who won Celebrity Big Brother in 2005. Hasn't been up to much in recent years but we have seen musicians win in the past - if you count Matt Willis and Kerry Katona in that category. A flamboyant character who will almost certainly be either a huge hit or massively unpopular - the question is whether his price is good enough to take a chance on. The other big unknown is whether he will last the distance, with one fixed odds firm having him as favourite to walk first. Though based on first impressions, he should develop a decent following.

Linford Christie (Current Odds [9.6]): Sprinting legend Linford will be looking to become the first ex-sportsman since Phil Tufnell in series 2 to be crowned King of the Jungle. It will be interesting to see if his doping controversies have an effect on the public - and I am not sure he is in the media enough to get the early bush-tucker trials under his belt. Will probably be well liked but his price is fair as he could fade into obscurity - and you need big characters on your side in this market.

Aggro Santos (Current Odds [20.0]): Without doubt one of the biggest Z-listers ever to appear on I'm A Celebrity. A rapper who has only ever released two singles (the best of which got to number #5 in the UK charts), he is instantly at a disadvantage against the rest of the slightly-more-famous contestants. Difficult to gauge his personality at this stage but his best hope is that everyone instantly dislikes him and he gets stuck straight into the bush-tucker trials - where a face full of kangaroo testicles may help his standing. Either way, it's hard to see how such an unknown can be part of your betting portfolio.

Sheryl Gascoigne (Current Odds [23.0]): Could get some sympathy for the way she was treated by Gazza during their marriage but that's pretty much the only positive for Sheryl heading into the jungle. Is that by itself worth a small speculative wager? Possibly, but we really need to see how she gets on with everyone else in the camp before getting involved. Given she is only really famous for her surname, it would take a big early impact to add her to your staking plan.

Lembit Opik (Current Odds [29.0]): His line of work instantly makes him unappealing from a betting perspective. Politicians have an awful record on the show - remember Robert Kilroy-Silk in series 8? - and his role in the Parliamentary expenses scandal will surely not be over-looked by voters. His life away from Westminster is unlikely to go down well - with rumours of alcoholism and affairs, coupled with his bizarre engagement to a Cheeky Girl among other things. Even if he was the nicest guy in the world (which he isn't), he's still a politician, which makes him unbackable.

Britt Ekland (Current Odds [29.0]): Another contestant who is impossible to support, but for different reasons. The biggest problem with the former Bond girl is her age - she's 68 now, and historically the older contestants struggle to come to terms with the rigours of the jungle. Only two people over the age of 60 have made the top three in the history of the show so it's going to be a mighty ask for Britt to stay to the end. Will probably be popular with the other contestants but given her main claims to fame were in the 70s, it may be hard for the public to make a connection with her. Furthermore, she may be spared most of the bush-tucker trials because of her age, which would be a huge negative.

Kayla Collins (Current Odds [55.0]): Yes, she's a Playboy model, but the market is not keen on Kayla and rightly so. We've seen plenty of former glamour models on the show - think Katie Price, Sam Fox and Nicola McLean - and none of them have even come close to winning. Even if she turns out to have an amicable personality, she still has the terrible record of female champions to buck - and the last such winner, Carol Thatcher, was the polar opposite of Kayla.

Gillian McKeith (Current Odds [130.0]): Being best known for hosting dieting programme 'You Are What You Eat', Gillian will be expected to critique the culinary standards of the camp-mates. This probably won't be a good thing as it will be hard for her to get across a fun side, which is essential if you harbour any serious thoughts of winning I'm A Celebrity. Her phobia of anything and everything will ensure she gets a healthy portion of bush-tucker trials. Surely too annoying to consider.

Verdict: It's tough to analyse the field when we have yet to see the celebs properly interact with each other. Getting a few early bush-tucker trials under the belt is normally crucial and we will learn a lot more about the likely winner when we see which celebrities are nominated to undertake this year's gruesome tasks. Stacey Solomon is an understandable favourite but cannot be supported at the current prices, while the trends would indicate that men are normally the sex worth backing. Based on this, I would be looking at Shaun Ryder and Nigel Havers - the former because he his 'love him or hate him' personality is worth taking a chance on, and the latter because of his likely popularity with the female viewers (who are, of course, far more likely to vote than men). It's fair to say most of the outsiders have no chance - politicians and glamour models, in particular, normally go down like a lead balloon in the jungle - so stick to the favourites unless anything dramatic develops over the first few days.

Recommended Bets:
Back Shaun Ryder Winner Market at [9.6]
Back Nigel Havers Winner Market at [7.0]

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sophie glen | 15 November 2010

i deffo think that aggro and stacey sould get with each other <3

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stacey & aggro to win!
Anonymous | 18 November 2010

anybody who dont do trials should be kick off so far who you get a winging women who is a drama queen she knew what it was about and anyone else who dont do or at least try or do they think its a holiday
ashleigh | 20 November 2010

i think gillian should stop screamin nd complainin nd jst get on with the trials....she's tryin to win sympathy from the public but really we all dislike her and keep choosin her to do the trials its her own fault even the camp mates are gettin sick of her u see it on there faces....so she should really grow a pair nd stop actin like a attention seekin child!
ashleigh | 20 November 2010

i think gillian should stop screamin nd complainin nd jst get on with the trials....she's tryin to win sympathy from the public but really we all dislike her and keep choosin her to do the trials its her own fault even the camp mates are gettin sick of her u see it on there faces....so she should really grow a pair nd stop actin like a attention seekin child!