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I'm A Celebrity Betting: The markets are rarely wrong

I'm a Celebrity RSS / Alan Dudman / 04 December 2009 /

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"You can back the chef at [1.18], a price that hasn't changed much over the last 48 hours. And one thing this series has rammed home has been the fact that the markets are very rarely wrong."

Gino is a dead cert to win tonight's final, according to the Betfair markets. What chance an upset? asks Alan Dudman.

Justin's departure from the bush late on Thursday evening (much to my chagrin), left us with our three celebrities competing for the CGMOOH 9 crown. His plea of: "I want to be King of the Jungle," sadly failed to push him into the Friday night's final. But he has lost nearly two stone in 20 days, and he was delighted.

Memo to self - two weeks in a bush does wonders for the weight.

Our finalists are Gino D'Acampo (chef), Kim Woodburn (cleaner), and Jimmy White (snooker player and Sydney Opera house fan), a select trio indeed. And for some time now, Gino to win has been signed, sealed and delivered judging by the market.

You can back the chef at [1.18], a price that hasn't changed much over the last 48 hours. And one thing this series has rammed home has been the fact that the markets are very rarely wrong. Players of short prices will be licking their lips at the price on offer. With such skinny odds and seemingly such a certain winner - we're getting hard pushed to find any value away from the likeable Italian. His epic efforts in Thursday's Bushtucker Trial 'Hell's Hill', really ought to have sealed the deal. He was like a little action man running up that slope.

I cannot fathom out how White is in the final trio, but the market has been positive about his chances for some time. I poo-pooed him ages ago, but can't see him usurping Gino - and wouldn't be persuaded by the odds of around [13.00]. White can be found in the 'without D'Acampo market' at about [2.12], although he still has Kim to beat and wouldn't touch him in that either.

The Whirlwind should be considered however as the first to go in the eighth elimination market - for which he is [1.50], which should give a bit of a trading option on the Queen of Clean...

And that's Kim Woodburn. Her support for the boys on Hell's Hill showed her to be a real trooper away from all the 'luvvies' and 'my babies'. Her price to win the final is as huge as her chest, she is now trading at [12.50]...equating to 40GG in lingerie terms. I still think it's worth a play (the price), but the market drift would lend to the fact Gino has it in the bag.

Suggested bets:

Back Jimmy White for 8th elimination @ [1.50]
Back Kim Woodburn in winner market @ [12.50]

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