Super Rugby: Back tries in Japan and an upset in Argentina

Sam Cane training with the All Blacks
Will Sam Cane be among the try-scorers this weekend?
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Last time out, Angus Watt picked out two winners from three tips - at 10/11 and 11/5 - so pay attention as our man explains why he's expecting tries in Japan and a possible upset in Argentina...

"Sam Cane is a quick, loose-forward who will find himself at the back of mauls. He's also a potent finisher from close range. I'd have expected him to be around even money as he's already scored a couple of tries this year."

Chiefs to Cane the Sunwolves in Japan

Sunwolves v Chiefs, Saturday 04:15, Sky Sports Action

On the evidence of the games involving the Sunwolves so far, we should expect a bucket-load of points here. Living up to the attacking reputation of the national team, matches involving the Japanese side have averaged 65 points so far.

I'm therefore looking to back try-scorers and have found a couple at decent prices. Sam Cane is a quick, loose-forward who will find himself at the back of mauls. He's also a potent finisher from close range. I'd have expected him to be around even money as he's already scored a couple of tries this year.

The second pick is the rapid Hosea Saumaki, who himself boasts three tries this campaign. When the game has been put to bed, I expect the Chiefs will take their foot off the gas and Saumaki can benefit by scoring at a good price.

Is an upset on the cards in Argentina?

Jaguares v Lions, Saturday 19:40, Sky Sports Mix

The Jags have been something of an enigma in Super Rugby since their inception in 2016. Seemingly, an incredibly talented squad, but struggling to get a run of results together. I'd attribute a lot of this to the travel.

This game will be the fourth home game in a row for the Jags. Whilst their form is far from encouraging, I think that this sustained period without travel will stand them in good stead.

The Lions were beaten at home by the Bulls last week and have looked far from convincing so far. At the prices, I'd rather side with the unpredictable Jaguares.

P&L

Profit (from £10 stakes): +£19.47

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