Perth will feel a long way from home for Australia, says Geoffrey Riddle, who is sweet on South Africa's chances of landing a Rugby Championship win
"A fortnight ago Australia showed they could defend well, and with South Africa failing to beat the Wallabies by 12 points away from home before a narrow verdict looks a decent investment."
• Australia are unbeaten in Perth against every other Test team other than South Africa.
• Australia have won just two of the six Tests staged in Perth between the two teams.
• Australia have won four of the last five Tests between the two teams, including two in South Africa.
• South Africa have never beaten Australia by a margin of more than 12 points in Australia.
• Both teams boast inexperienced back-row units, with the six players sharing only 48 caps between them.
South Africa have a good record playing Australia in Perth and they look fair value to gain a narrow success at Paterson´s Stadium, formerly the Subicao Oval, once again on Saturday.
Perth is so far from the East Coast of Australia that it is basically an away game for the Wallabies anyway and with the large South African expatriate community based there it is double in the Springboks' favour.
Australia were hopeless a fortnight ago against New Zealand without David Pocock at the breakdown and they put in a commendable effort to not go down by more than 22 points against the All Blacks.
South Africa will not produce the continuous waves of attacks that the All Blacks are capable of, but I would back Springbok openside flanker Willem Alberts every time at the breakdown over the Brumbies' Michael Hooper.
Of course the breakdown is of crucial importance in any game, but South Africa field players in the form of Morne Steyn and Francois Steyn, who both have a massive range with the boot, and Australia could well find themselves hemmed in if Alberts does prevail.
A fortnight ago Australia showed they could defend well, and with South Africa failing to beat the Wallabies by 12 points away from home before a narrow verdict looks a decent investment.
1pt South Africa to win by under 12.5 points.