South Africa v England Betting: Another beating in store for tourists

Will it be another defeat for Chris Robshaw's England?

Geoffrey Riddle was unimpressed by England in the first Test and can see nothing but pain for Stuart Lancaster's men at Ellis Park on Saturday

"Including the total defeat at the hands of the British and Irish Lions in 2009, the Springboks have been handicap winners in five of their last seven fixtures at Ellis Park."

Back South Africa -9.5pts @ 1.9310/11

Last week I suggested England would be competitive and remain within 12.5 points of the Springboks but they were very lucky to stay within that head start and could be in line for a proper beating at altitude in Johannesburg on Saturday.

Heyneke Meyer followed in the footsteps of many fine Springbok coaches by delivering a victory in his maiden Test as coach. The 22-17 scoreline indicates it was a close affair, but for anyone who has watched the match there can be no doubt which was the better team.

England were comprehensively outpointed in Durban. As a result the handicap line has moved up two points and you must play at 9.5 on Betfair for the privilege of siding with the home team.
England's scrum was a shambles last week and once again Dan Cole took a beating at the hands of Tendai Mtawarira in their private prop battle. The tourists lost four scrums on their own feed, and when they did win the ball the Springbok eight put so much pressure on their rivals that the set piece either ended in a penalty or with the England pack smashed to smithereens.

South Africa's kick chase, heavily borrowed from the Blue Bulls template utilised by Meyer, was effective, especially with Bryan Habana showing glimpses of his old dash under the new regime. And what seems to be the most crucial aspect of the punting puzzle is that Jean De Villiers, the only player over 30 in the home side, and Francois Steyn ran the show in the centre of the park. Steyn scored the opening try of the match priced at 20-1, while De Villiers also touched down.

The two will blend superbly with the excellent running full-back Patrick Lambie, who likes to come into the line and that triumvirate are sure to create a real headache for Manu Tuilagi and the greenhorn Jon Joseph. The pair of 21-year-old centres look severely up against it in defence and Brad Barritt's absence due to a lacerated eyeball is a huge loss for the visitors.

Morne Steyn, the Springbok flyhalf, must have been the subject of some colourful language from South Africa handicap punters as he missed a total of seven points at goal - the difference between a payout and a loss.

Up on the high veld, however, Francois Steyn will be able to help out in the thin air, although as more chances at goal are taken, more will be missed.

Including the total defeat at the hands of the British and Irish Lions in 2009, the Springboks have been handicap winners in five of their last seven fixtures at Ellis Park. A win on Saturday would be South Africa's ninth consecutive success against England, who seem to be relying on the Leicester 9,10,12 axis of Ben Youngs, the recalled Toby Flood and Manu Tuilagi, to get them out of trouble. They may be Tigers, but you need to be Lions to win in Johannesburg and victory looks beyond England.

Recommended Bet (1-5 pt staking plan)
2pt Back South Africa -9.5pts @ 1.9310/11

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