Internationals: South Africa set to claim another victory over Wales

 Alun Wyn Jones tackles Francois Louw during last week's first Test
Alun Wyn Jones tackles Francois Louw during last week's first Test

Simon Mail previews the second Test between South Africa and Wales where the Springboks are fancied to clinch another win. He also weighs up Scotland's chances against Argentina...

"Warren Gatland's side should be stronger than the first match, assuming they can get off to a sharper start, and look worth backing with a 16-point handicap advantage."

South Africa v Wales
Saturday June 21, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports 1

Wales were well beaten in their first Test in South Africa as they went down 38-16 last weekend in Durban. Warren Gatland's side paid the price for getting off to a slow start as they found themselves 28-9 down at half-time. The visitors steadied the ship in the second half but the damage was done early on against the Springboks.

The talk coming out of the Welsh camp remains upbeat though and Gatland believes his team will be much better in the second Test this weekend. There was certainly evidence of this two years ago in the tour of Australia when they narrowed the gap significantly in the second and third matches so a closer contest could be on the cards in Nelspruit. 

Gatland has decided to drop veteran prop Adam Jones after a below par performance last week. Samson Lee gets his chance to impress in the front row while Josh Turnbull comes in at open-side for Aaron Shingler. The Springboks will see captain Victor Matfield become the most capped South African Test player when he makes his 112th appearance.

Prior to last weekend's defeat, the margin of victory in the previous five matches for South Africa has been no bigger than nine points. The Springboks should maintain their record and claim a 16th successive win over Wales. But Gatland's side should be stronger than the first match, assuming they can get off to a sharper start, and look worth backing with a 16-point handicap advantage. At the prices, it is also more appealing to take South Africa to win by a narrow margin.  

Recommended Bets:
Back Wales +16 in the Sportsbook at 2.1511/10
Back South Africa to win by under 12.5 points at 2.427/5

Argentina v Scotland
Friday June 20, 20:10
Live on Sky Sports 3

Scotland will attempt to extend their winning record under new head coach Vern Cotter when they face Argentina. It was certainly far from convincing from the Scots last week when they scrapped their way to a 19-17 win in Canada. But it is a much changed team as Scotland drafted in a new squad to play against the Pumas and South Africa.

Edinburgh lock Grant Gilchrist captains a side which features just four players that started against Canada. It is an inexperienced team which will see first starts for scrum-half Grayson Hart, lock Jonny Gray and back-row forward Kieran Low. It is difficult to predict how this new look line-up will fare but Scotland do have a decent record in Argentina. 

Although Scotland lost the last meeting between the sides, three years ago at the World Cup, they have won their last three matches played in Argentina. The Pumas are certainly not at their strongest either with nine changes from the side narrowly beaten by Ireland last week. It looks set to be a tight contest in Cordoba between two teams experimenting with their line-ups.

Argentina have been installed as the narrow favourites for the match. This is probably due to home advantage and the fact Scotland have made so many changes to their squad. But the newcomers will have real motivation to perform and impress Cotter. The Scots look the value at the prices and look worth backing to grind out a win over the Pumas. 

Recommended Bets:
Back Scotland to win at 2.747/4
Back Scotland/Scotland in the Half Time/Full Time market at 2.942/1

Follow Simon's bets on Twitter @watfordtipster

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