Aviva Premiership: Champions Exeter can repeat final win over Wasps

Exeter defeated Wasps in their last meeting after a dramatic Premiership final at Twickenham
Exeter defeated Wasps in their last meeting after a dramatic Premiership final at Twickenham

Simon Mail thinks Exeter can claim a victory over Wasps in a repeat of last season's Premiership final this weekend...

"Exeter have lost one of the last six clashes between the sides and Wasps have failed to win on all ten visits to Sandy Park."

Gloucester v Worcester
Friday, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1

Gloucester have failed to build on an excellent opening day win over Exeter Chiefs. The Cherry and Whites upset the champions at Kingsholm in a dramatic clash but have lost their last two matches against Harlequins and Leicester. Gloucester will be glad to get back in front of their own supporters this weekend and are firm favourites to overcome their struggling opponents.

It may only be three games into the campaign but Worcester are already in a worrying position at the bottom of the Premiership. Gary Gold's side are the only team in the competition yet to record a win this season and the Warriors will not want the gap to widen between them and the teams above them. Worcester followed an opening loss at Newcastle with home defeats to Wasps and Exeter.

Gloucester are fancied to prove too strong for Worcester and hammered them 55-19 back in January's home clash. Whether it will be by this margin is debatable but the hosts can cover a 13-point handicap this weekend. The Warriors have lost each game by at least 14 points this season and their latest match could also prove a tough evening for them. The Cherry and Whites are worth supporting to pile the pressure on a Worcester side without an away league win since March.

Recommended Bet
Back Gloucester -13 to win @ Evens (Sportsbook)

Harlequins v Leicester
Saturday, 15:00
Live on BT Sport 3

Harlequins come into this match off the back of a huge scalp after winning at Wasps last weekend. Quins ended the Premiership finalists' run of 20 consecutive league victories at the Ricoh Arena after a 24-21 victory. A result like this could have a major impact on their season and John Kingston's side have responded positively to a setback against London Irish with wins over Gloucester and Wasps.

Leicester made an unconvincing start to the season after losing their opening two matches against Bath and Northampton. All the pressure was on the Tigers last weekend but they finally got off the mark with a 24-10 win over Gloucester at Welford Road. It was a step in the right direction for Leicester but there is still plenty of room for improvement for a side that have struggled away from home in recent years.

Quins' home form last season was strong, losing just twice, so if they can combine this with the odd away win the side will have a realistic shot of challenging for the top four. Leicester were beaten five times away last season and could find it difficult at the Stoop. Both of Harlequins' wins have been by no more than 12 points and the home side are backed to edge past their opponents in another tight victory.

Recommended Bet
Back Harlequins to win by 1-12 points @ 2/1 (Sportsbook)

Exeter v Wasps
Sunday, 15:00
Live on BT Sport 1

The game of the weekend is a repeat of last season's dramatic Premiership final where Exeter edged past Wasps after extra time. The Chiefs have been in blistering form since a slow start to the previous campaign and have only lost once in the league since October after defeat at Gloucester in their opener this year. But Rob Baxter's side have responded strongly with convincing wins over London Irish and Worcester.

Wasps' unbeaten start to the season was ended last weekend after their outstanding record at the Ricoh Arena was halted by Harlequins. Dai Young's side suffered their first setback of the campaign and another blow this week came after fly-half Danny Cipriani was ruled out for three months with a knee injury. After winning their first two games, it is the first test of character for the squad especially heading into such a difficult fixture.

Exeter have lost one of the last six clashes between the sides and Wasps have failed to win on all ten visits to Sandy Park. The momentum appears to be with the champions and the visitors could struggle to end their barren run at the Chiefs. But the last four meetings have been settled by a maximum of 11 points so a narrow Exeter win could be the most likely outcome.

Recommended Bet
Back Exeter to win by 1-12 points at 2.89/5


Follow Simon's bets on Twitter @watfordtipster

2017/18 Rugby P/L

Staked: 12pts
Returned: 3.8pts
P/L: -4.2pts

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