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class="entry_header"> <h1 class="entry_header__title">Next General Election: Labour majority 73% chance after Keir Starmer's speech</h1> <ul class="entry_header__meta"> <li><a href="https://betting.betfair.com/authors/max-liu/">Max Liu</a></li> <li><time datetime="2023-10-11">11 October 2023</time></li> <li>3:00 min read</li> </ul> <script type="application/ld+json"> { "@context": "http://schema.org", "@type": "NewsArticle", "headline": "Next General Election: Labour majority 73% chance after Keir Starmer's speech", "name": "Next General Election: Labour majority 73% chance after Keir Starmer's speech", "description": "Bettors backed Labour on the Betfair Exchange to win a majority after Keir Starmer's speech at the party conference...", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/politics/uk-politics/who-will-win-the-next-general-election-labour-majority-73-chance-after-keir-starmers-speech-111023-204.html", "mainEntityOfPage": "https://betting.betfair.com/politics/uk-politics/who-will-win-the-next-general-election-labour-majority-73-chance-after-keir-starmers-speech-111023-204.html", "datePublished": "2023-10-11T12:40:00+01:00", "dateModified": "2023-10-11T11:41:00+01:00", "articleBody": "Bettors backed Labour on the Betfair Exchange to win a majority after Keir Starmer's speech at the party conference... Betfair Exchange Bettors back Labour majority in to [1.37] Starmer short odds-on at [1.2] to be next PM Autumn 2024 election odds-on Keir Starmer rarely sparkles but yesterday the Labour leader brushed off a protestor who covered him in glitter and went on to deliver what could be a pivotal conference speech. Betfair Exchange certainly punters think so after they backed Labour in to [1.37] to win a majority (a 73% chance) at the next general election following the speech. More than £3m has been traded on the Betfair Exchange's next election markets, and it's one way traffic at the moment, with Labour heavily favoured to shake things up at Westminster. Labour were [1.45] at the start of the week but bettors think Starmer did enough in his conference speech to improve his party's chances of winning what is likely to be an autumn 2024 election. October to December next year is [1.45] in the date of next general election market. Starmer appeals to Tory voters to switch Starmer appealed to people who voted Conservative in 2019 and have lost faith in the party under Rishi Sunak. Instead of merely abstaining at the next general election Starmer urged them to vote for Labour. He vowed that a Labour government would solve the cost of living crisis, keep the United Kingdom together and be pro-business. He is [1.2] on the Betfair Exchange to be the UK's next prime minister. Conference season has done nothing to improve the Conservatives' chances of reversing their fortunes, according to the betting. A Tory majority is 11.5 on the Betfair Exchange and record losses of over 200 seats trading as short as 3.05. Damage limitation may be the Conservatives' priority at the next election as they try to avert a Labour landslide.", "image":[ "https://betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer conference speech.728x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer conference speech.547x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer conference speech.410x410.jpg" ], "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Betting.Betfair", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://betting.cdnppb.net/assets/img/betfairlogoblack.ea48b4e0.png" }, "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/" }, "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Max Liu", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/authors/max_liu" } } </script> </header> <div class="two_column_layout"> <main class="entry_main"> <div class="entry_img"> <img src="//betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer conference speech.728x410.jpg" srcset="//betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer conference speech.450x253.jpg 450w, //betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer conference speech.600x338.jpg 600w, //betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer conference speech.728x410.jpg 728w" alt="Labour leader Keir Starmer at the party conference in Liverpool"> <figcaption class="entry_img__caption">Labour were backed to win the general election after Starmer's speech</figcaption> </div> <div class="entry_actions"> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBGC01B10G30A&prod=90&rfr=2573">Join</a> </div> <div> <a class="button btn--market" data-market_full="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.167249195" href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.167249195">View market</a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--twitter"> <a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet/?text=Next%20General%20Election%3A%20Labour%20majority%2073%25%20chance%20after%20Keir%20Starmer%27s%20speech&url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fpolitics%2Fuk-politics%2Fwho-will-win-the-next-general-election-labour-majority-73-chance-after-keir-starmers-speech-111023-204.html" target="_blank" title="Twitter"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--twitter">Twitter</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--facebook"> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fpolitics%2Fuk-politics%2Fwho-will-win-the-next-general-election-labour-majority-73-chance-after-keir-starmers-speech-111023-204.html" target="_blank" title="Facebook"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--facebook">Facebook</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--reddit"> <a 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href="https://t.me/share/url?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fpolitics%2Fuk-politics%2Fwho-will-win-the-next-general-election-labour-majority-73-chance-after-keir-starmers-speech-111023-204.html&text=Next%20General%20Election%3A%20Labour%20majority%2073%25%20chance%20after%20Keir%20Starmer%27s%20speech" target="_blank" title="Telegram"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--telegram">Telegram</span></a> </div> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="#betslip">View the Betslip</a> </div> </div> <div class="entry_body has-odds"> <div class="entry_body__intro"><p>Bettors backed Labour on the Betfair Exchange to win a majority after Keir Starmer's speech at the party conference...</p></div> <div class="entry_body__content"> <div class="editor"> <ul> <li> <h3><strong>Betfair Exchange </strong><strong>Bettors back Labour majority in to <b class="inline_odds" title="4/11"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.37</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">4/11</span></b> </strong></h3> </li> <li> <h3><strong>Starmer short odds-on at <b class="inline_odds" title="1/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.2</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">1/5</span></b> to be next PM</strong></h3> </li> <li> <h3><strong>Autumn 2024 election odds-on</strong></h3> </li> <hr><p>Keir Starmer rarely sparkles but yesterday the Labour leader brushed off a protestor who covered him in glitter and went on to deliver what could be a pivotal conference speech.</p><p>Betfair Exchange certainly punters think so after they backed <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.167249195"><strong>Labour in to <b class="inline_odds" title="4/11"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.37</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">4/11</span></b> to win a majority (a 73% chance)</strong></a> at the next general election following the speech.</p><p><span>More than £3m has been traded on the Betfair Exchange's next election markets, and it's one way traffic at the moment, with Labour heavily favoured to shake things up at Westminster.</span></p><p><img alt="Thumbnail image for Betfair Exchange - next election - overall majority.png" src="//betting.cdnppb.net/politics/assets_c/2023/10/Betfair%20Exchange%20-%20next%20election%20-%20overall%20majority-thumb-1280xauto-200958.600x338.png" width="1280" height="720" class="mt-image-none" loading="lazy"></p><p>Labour were <b class="inline_odds" title="4/9"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.45</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">4/9</span></b> at the start of the week but bettors think Starmer did enough in his conference speech to improve his party's chances of winning what is likely to be an autumn 2024 election.</p><p><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.218024805"><strong>October to December next year is <b class="inline_odds" title="4/9"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.45</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">4/9</span></b></strong></a> in the date of next general election market.</p><h2>Starmer appeals to Tory voters to switch</h2><p></p><p>Starmer appealed to people who voted Conservative in 2019 and have lost faith in the party under Rishi Sunak. Instead of merely abstaining at the next general election Starmer urged them to vote for Labour.</p><p>He vowed that a Labour government would solve the cost of living crisis, keep the United Kingdom together and be pro-business.</p><p><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.205534101">He is <b class="inline_odds" title="1/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.2</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">1/5</span></b> on the Betfair Exchange to be the UK's next prime minister</a>.</p><p>Conference season has done nothing to improve the Conservatives' chances of reversing their fortunes, according to the betting.</p><p><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.167249195" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><strong>A Tory majority is<span> </span><b class="inline_odds" title="10/1"><span class="inline_odds__main">11.5</span></b><span> </span>on the Betfair Exchange</strong></a><span> </span>and<span> </span><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.219172883" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><strong>record losses of over 200 seats trading as short as<span> </span><b class="inline_odds" title="2/1"><span class="inline_odds__main">3.05</span></b></strong></a>.</p><p>Damage limitation may be the Conservatives' priority at the next election as they try to avert a Labour landslide.</p></ul> </div> </div> <section class="betting_copy"> <div class="editor"> <h2 class="promo-name bf-sportsbook" data-qa="promo-name">New customers can get £20 in free bets!</h2> <p>New customers can earn £20 in free bets when they place a £5 bet on the Sportsbook after signing up. <a href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBHC01B5G20">T&Cs apply.</a></p> <section class="promo__desc"> <div class="description "> <section class="promo__desc"> <div class="description"></div> </section> </div> </section> </div> </section> <div id="betslip" class="entry_body__extras"> <script 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class="betting__remove" data-idx="${idx}">Remove</span></td> <td> ${label} <input type="hidden" name="instructions[${idx}][selection_id]" value="${selection_id}"> </td> <td> <input type="hidden" name="instructions[${idx}][price]" value="${price}" class="betting__price"> ${display_price} </td> <td><input type="number" min="" name="instructions[${idx}][size]" placeholder="0" value="${size}" class="betting__stake" required></td> <td><span class="betting__profit">0.00</span></td> </tr> </script> <section class="live-betting"> <span id="gobet" class="gobet-anchor"></span> <article class="bet-now"> <span id="gobet-1.167249195" class="gobet-anchor"></span> <header class="bet-now__header"> <h3>UK - Next General Election: UK - Next General Election (Overall Majority)</h3> <span class="bet-slip-toggle"> <span class="bet-slip-toggle__show">Show</span> <span class="bet-slip-toggle__hide">Hide</span> </span> </header> <div class="bet-now__event"> <p>Thursday 2 May, 7.00am</p> <p><a href="https://www.betfair.com/www/GBR/en/aboutUs/Rules.and.Regulations/">Market rules</a></p> </div> <div class="bet-now__market bet-now__market__no-user"> <table> <thead> <tr> <th></th> <th>Back</th> <th>Lay</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>No Overall Majority</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="No Overall Majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="5.7" data-side="back" data-selection_id="1076592">5.7</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="No Overall Majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="5.9" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="1076592">5.9</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Conservative Majority</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Conservative Majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="12" data-side="back" data-selection_id="1405188">12</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Conservative Majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="12.5" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="1405188">12.5</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Labour Majority</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Labour Majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="1.34" data-side="back" data-selection_id="1405187">1.34</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Labour Majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="1.35" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="1405187">1.35</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Liberal Democrat majority</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Liberal Democrat majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="500" data-side="back" data-selection_id="12793562">500</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Liberal Democrat majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="1000" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="12793562">1000</button> </td> </tr> 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