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class="entry_header"> <h1 class="entry_header__title">Next General Election: Labour firm favourites and Starmer odds-on to be next PM</h1> <ul class="entry_header__meta"> <li><a href="https://betting.betfair.com/authors/max-liu/">Max Liu</a></li> <li><time datetime="2023-10-09">09 October 2023</time></li> <li>3:00 min read</li> </ul> <script type="application/ld+json"> { "@context": "http://schema.org", "@type": "NewsArticle", "headline": "Next General Election: Labour firm favourites and Starmer odds-on to be next PM", "name": "Next General Election: Labour firm favourites and Starmer odds-on to be next PM", "description": "The Betfair Exchange next general election markets make encouraging reading for the Labour leader as he prepares to make his party conference speech...", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/politics/uk-politics/who-will-win-the-next-general-election-labour-firm-favourites-and-starmer-odds-on-to-be-next-pm-091023-204.html", "mainEntityOfPage": "https://betting.betfair.com/politics/uk-politics/who-will-win-the-next-general-election-labour-firm-favourites-and-starmer-odds-on-to-be-next-pm-091023-204.html", "datePublished": "2023-10-09T16:32:00+01:00", "dateModified": "2023-10-10T14:13:00+01:00", "articleBody": "The Betfair Exchange next general election markets make encouraging reading for the Labour leader as he prepares to make his party conference speech... Keir Starmer odds-on to be next PM General election next year is Labour's to lose Bettors back autumn 2024 election A Labour majority at the next general election is [1.45] on the Betfair Exchange and Keir Starmer is even shorter in the next prime minister betting ahead of his conference speech. Starmer will address the Labour conference on Tuesday in a speech that could be his last before Britain goes to the polls. There is palpable excitement within the party after their stunning victory in last week's by-election in Scotland. Bettors back Autumn 2024 election The general election is all but certain to be next year and Betfair have opened Exchange markets on when in 2024 it will happen. Initially, a spring election looked likely in May but April - June is out to [4.7]. That is because of the growing belief among political commentators that Rishi Sunak will drag out his premiership in the hope of reversing his dire polling. So we could be in for an autumn 2024 election and October to December is the current favourite at [1.47]. Either way, Labour will be confident of winning at the same time as knowing that history shows that they must take nothing for granted. A Tory majority is [11.0] on the Betfair Exchange and, while cutting a polling deficit of around 20 points is an enormous challenge, stranger things have happened in electoral politics of the past decade or so. The Betfair Exchange markets make miserable reading for Tories, however, with record losses of over 200 seats trading as short as [3.05]. Labour aims to win back Scotland after by-election Labour achieved probably their most important by-election victory of the past four years last week in Rutherglen and West Hamilton. Taking the seat back from the SNP, with a 24% swing to Labour, indicated that Labour could make significant inroads in Scotland at the next general election. Over the past decade, Scotland has proved to be a difficullt place for Labour to win, thanks in part to the popularity of the SNP's campaign for independence. In 2019, at the last general election, Labour were left with just one seat in Scotland. Now they have doubled that tally and must be optimistic about their chances of adding the kind of total north of the border that would help them win a majority at Westminster. Starmer has benefited from the implosion of the Tories in England and the SNP in Scotland. As he makes what could be his last conference speech as leader of the opposition, bettor punters think his party is on the way to winning power comfortably next year.", "image":[ "https://betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer canvassing.728x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer canvassing.547x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer canvassing.410x410.jpg" ], "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Betting.Betfair", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://betting.cdnppb.net/assets/img/betfairlogoblack.ea48b4e0.png" }, "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/" }, "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Max Liu", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/authors/max_liu" } } </script> </header> <div class="two_column_layout"> <main class="entry_main"> <div class="entry_img"> <img src="//betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer canvassing.728x410.jpg" srcset="//betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer canvassing.450x253.jpg 450w, //betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer canvassing.600x338.jpg 600w, //betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer canvassing.728x410.jpg 728w" alt="Labour leader Keir Starmer"> <figcaption class="entry_img__caption">Starmer is heavy odds-on to be Britain's next prime minister</figcaption> </div> <div class="entry_actions"> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBGC01B10G30A&prod=90&rfr=2573">Join</a> </div> <div> <a class="button btn--market" data-market_full="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.167249195" href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.167249195">View market</a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--twitter"> <a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet/?text=Next%20General%20Election%3A%20Labour%20firm%20favourites%20and%20Starmer%20odds-on%20to%20be%20next%20PM&url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fpolitics%2Fuk-politics%2Fwho-will-win-the-next-general-election-labour-firm-favourites-and-starmer-odds-on-to-be-next-pm-091023-204.html" target="_blank" title="Twitter"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--twitter">Twitter</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--facebook"> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fpolitics%2Fuk-politics%2Fwho-will-win-the-next-general-election-labour-firm-favourites-and-starmer-odds-on-to-be-next-pm-091023-204.html" target="_blank" title="Facebook"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--facebook">Facebook</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--reddit"> <a 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href="https://t.me/share/url?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fpolitics%2Fuk-politics%2Fwho-will-win-the-next-general-election-labour-firm-favourites-and-starmer-odds-on-to-be-next-pm-091023-204.html&text=Next%20General%20Election%3A%20Labour%20firm%20favourites%20and%20Starmer%20odds-on%20to%20be%20next%20PM" target="_blank" title="Telegram"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--telegram">Telegram</span></a> </div> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="#betslip">View the Betslip</a> </div> </div> <div class="entry_body has-odds"> <div class="entry_body__intro"><p>The Betfair Exchange next general election markets make encouraging reading for the Labour leader as he prepares to make his party conference speech...</p></div> <div class="entry_body__content"> <div class="editor"> <ul> <li> <h3><strong>Keir Starmer odds-on to be next PM</strong></h3> </li> <li> <h3><strong></strong><strong>General election next year is Labour's to lose</strong></h3> </li> <li> <h3><strong>Bettors back autumn 2024 election</strong></h3> </li> <hr><p><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.167249195"><strong>A Labour majority at the next general election is <b class="inline_odds" title="4/9"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.45</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">4/9</span></b></strong></a> on the Betfair Exchange and Keir Starmer is even shorter in the <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.205534101"><strong>next prime minister betting</strong></a> ahead of his conference speech.</p><p>Starmer will address the Labour conference on Tuesday in a speech that could be his last before Britain goes to the polls.</p><p>There is palpable excitement within the party after their stunning victory in last week's <a href="https://betting.betfair.com/politics/uk-politics/rutherglen-and-hamilton-west-by-election-betting-preview-odds-and-analysis-comfortable-win-for-labour-031023-171.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">by-election in Scotland</a>.</p><p><a href="//betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Betfair%20Exchange%20-%20next%20election%20-%20overall%20majority.600x337.png"><img alt="Betfair Exchange - next election - overall majority.png" src="//betting.cdnppb.net/politics/assets_c/2023/10/Betfair%20Exchange%20-%20next%20election%20-%20overall%20majority-thumb-1280xauto-200958.600x338.png" width="1280" height="720" class="mt-image-none" loading="lazy"></a></p><h2>Bettors back Autumn 2024 election</h2><p></p><p>The general election is all but certain to be next year and Betfair have opened Exchange markets on when in 2024 it will happen. Initially, a spring election looked likely in May but <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.218024805"><strong>April - June is out to <b class="inline_odds" title="7/2"><span class="inline_odds__main">4.7</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">7/2</span></b></strong></a>.</p><p>That is because of the growing belief among political commentators that Rishi Sunak will drag out his premiership in the hope of reversing his dire polling. So we could be in for an autumn 2024 election and <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.218024805"><strong>October to December is the current favourite at <b class="inline_odds" title="40/85"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.47</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">40/85</span></b></strong></a>.</p><p>Either way, Labour will be confident of winning at the same time as knowing that history shows that they must take nothing for granted.<a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.167249195"><strong> </strong></a></p><p><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.167249195"><strong>A Tory majority is <b class="inline_odds" title="10/1"><span class="inline_odds__main">11.0</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">10/1</span></b> on the Betfair Exchange</strong></a> and, while cutting a polling deficit of around 20 points is an enormous challenge, stranger things have happened in electoral politics of the past decade or so.</p><p>The Betfair Exchange markets make miserable reading for Tories, however, with <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.219172883"><strong>record losses of over 200 seats trading as short as <b class="inline_odds" title="2/1"><span class="inline_odds__main">3.05</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">2/1</span></b></strong></a>.</p><h2>Labour aims to <span class="highlight-back">win back</span> Scotland after by-election</h2><p></p><p>Labour achieved probably their most important by-election victory of the past four years last week in Rutherglen and West Hamilton. Taking the seat back from the SNP, with a 24% swing to Labour, indicated that<a href="https://betting.betfair.com/politics/uk-politics/who-will-win-the-next-general-election-bettors-back-record-losses-for-rishi-sunaks-conservatives-031023-204.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><strong> Labour could make significant inroads in Scotland at the next general election</strong></a>.</p><p>Over the past decade, Scotland has proved to be a difficullt place for Labour to win, thanks in part to the popularity of the SNP's campaign for independence.</p><p>In 2019, at the last general election, Labour were left with just one seat in Scotland. Now they have doubled that tally and must be optimistic about their chances of adding the kind of total north of the border that would help them win a majority at Westminster.</p><p>Starmer has benefited from the implosion of the Tories in England and the SNP in Scotland. As he makes what could be his last conference speech as leader of the opposition, bettor punters think his party is on the way to winning power comfortably next year.</p></ul> </div> </div> <section class="betting_copy"> <div class="editor"> <h2 class="promo-name bf-sportsbook" data-qa="promo-name">New customers can get £20 in free bets!</h2> <p>New customers can earn £20 in free bets when they place a £5 bet on the Sportsbook after signing up. <a href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBHC01B5G20">T&Cs apply.</a></p> <section class="promo__desc"> <div class="description "> <section class="promo__desc"> <div class="description"></div> </section> </div> </section> </div> </section> <div id="betslip" class="entry_body__extras"> <script id="bet_row_tmpl" type="text/x-custom-template"> <tr class="${idx} bet-row"> <td><span class="betting__remove" data-idx="${idx}">Remove</span></td> <td> ${label} <input type="hidden" name="instructions[${idx}][selection_id]" value="${selection_id}"> <input type="hidden" name="instructions[${idx}][side]" value="${side}"> </td> <td> <input type="number" min="1.0" step="0.01" name="instructions[${idx}][price]" value="${price}" class="betting__price" required> </td> <td><input type="number" min="" name="instructions[${idx}][size]" placeholder="0" value="${size}" class="betting__stake" required></td> <td><span class="betting__profit">0.00</span></td> </tr> </script> <script id="liability_row_tmpl" type="text/x-custom-template"> <tr class="${idx} liability-row"> <td colspan="5"><strong>Liability:</strong> <span class="betting__liability">0.00</span></td> </tr> </script> <script id="sportsbook_bet_row_tmpl" type="text/x-custom-template"> <tr class="${idx} bet-row"> <td><span class="betting__remove" data-idx="${idx}">Remove</span></td> <td> ${label} <input type="hidden" name="instructions[${idx}][selection_id]" value="${selection_id}"> </td> <td> <input type="hidden" name="instructions[${idx}][price]" value="${price}" class="betting__price"> ${display_price} </td> <td><input type="number" min="" name="instructions[${idx}][size]" placeholder="0" value="${size}" class="betting__stake" required></td> <td><span class="betting__profit">0.00</span></td> </tr> </script> <section class="live-betting"> <span id="gobet" class="gobet-anchor"></span> <article class="bet-now"> <span id="gobet-1.167249195" class="gobet-anchor"></span> <header class="bet-now__header"> <h3>UK - Next General Election: UK - Next General Election (Overall Majority)</h3> <span class="bet-slip-toggle"> <span class="bet-slip-toggle__show">Show</span> <span class="bet-slip-toggle__hide">Hide</span> </span> </header> <div class="bet-now__event"> <p>Thursday 2 May, 7.00am</p> <p><a href="https://www.betfair.com/www/GBR/en/aboutUs/Rules.and.Regulations/">Market rules</a></p> </div> <div class="bet-now__market bet-now__market__no-user"> <table> <thead> <tr> <th></th> <th>Back</th> <th>Lay</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>Labour Majority</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Labour Majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="1.3" data-side="back" data-selection_id="1405187">1.3</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Labour Majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="1.32" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="1405187">1.32</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>No Overall Majority</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="No Overall Majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="6.4" data-side="back" data-selection_id="1076592">6.4</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="No Overall Majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="6.6" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="1076592">6.6</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Conservative Majority</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Conservative Majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="12.5" data-side="back" data-selection_id="1405188">12.5</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Conservative Majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="13" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="1405188">13</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Liberal Democrat majority</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Liberal Democrat majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="500" data-side="back" data-selection_id="12793562">500</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Liberal Democrat majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="1000" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="12793562">1000</button> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div> <div class="bet-now__controls"> <div class="bet-now__controls_up bet-now__controls_up--off">Up</div> <div class="bet-now__controls_down">Down</div> </div> <div class="bet-slip"> <header 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Most read stories
Football Betting Tips
Premier League Big Match Focus: How to back a 7/2 Bet Builder in Tottenham v Newcastle
Horse Racing Tips and Predictions
Paul Nicholls: Iceo has nice chance in Betfair Henry VIII Chase among my 12 Saturday runners
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South Africa v India First T20 Tips: India overrated in weakest format
Horse Racing Tips and Predictions
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