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class="entry_header"> <h1 class="entry_header__title">Next General Election: Labour long odds-on at 4/11 after seismic by-election wins</h1> <ul class="entry_header__meta"> <li><a href="https://betting.betfair.com/authors/max-liu/">Max Liu</a></li> <li><time datetime="2023-10-20">20 October 2023</time></li> <li>3:00 min read</li> </ul> <script type="application/ld+json"> { "@context": "http://schema.org", "@type": "NewsArticle", "headline": "Next General Election: Labour long odds-on at 4/11 after seismic by-election wins", "name": "Next General Election: Labour long odds-on at 4/11 after seismic by-election wins", "description": "The odds on a Labour majority at the next general election shortened again after they won two by-elections in Tory-held seats in stunning style...", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/politics/uk-politics/who-will-win-the-next-general-election-labour-cut-to-4-11-after-by-election-wins-in-mid-bedfordshire-and-tamworth-201023-204.html", "mainEntityOfPage": "https://betting.betfair.com/politics/uk-politics/who-will-win-the-next-general-election-labour-cut-to-4-11-after-by-election-wins-in-mid-bedfordshire-and-tamworth-201023-204.html", "datePublished": "2023-10-20T08:18:00+01:00", "dateModified": "2023-10-20T09:07:00+01:00", "articleBody": "The odds on a Labour majority at the next general election shortened again after they won two by-elections in Tory-held seats in stunning style... Lab majority [1.36] after by-election wins Tories were odds-on but lost Mid Beds Tamworth also goes Red on great night for Starmer A Labour majority at the next general election was backed in to [1.36] on the Betfair Exchange after they took two seats from the Conservatives in bellwether by-elections. The 23.9% swing from the Tories to Labour in Tamworth was the second highest in post-war by-election history and the first time a government has lost such a safe a seat to the main opposition party. In Mid-Bedfordshire, the seated vacated by Nadine Dorries after she resigned, the swing from Conservative to Labour was 20.5%. Labour were favourites to win in Tamworth but the Tories were odds-on in Mid Bedfordshire where Labour were as long as [3.4] on the eve of the vote. In the end, however, Labour got the job done in Tamworth and upset the odds in Mid Bedfordshire, causing a political earthquake that will be registered across the UK. By-election results indicate Tories heading for disaster under Sunak The latest results are deeply concerning for Rishi Sunak and indicate that his party is heading for electoral meltdown next year. They are [3.1] to lose more than 200 seats. For Keir Starmer there was delight and further proof that he is destined to enter Downing Street to be Labour's first prime minister since 2010. Starmer is [1.18] to be the UK's next PM and the only reason to oppose that is the possibility that Tory MPs may look at last night's results, as well as Sunak's dismal personal polling, and decide they cannot go into a general election with him as their leader. That seems unlikely, however, and Sunak looks set to lead the Tories to a defeat on the scale of the one they endured under John Major in 1997. Starmer said today that voters were "crying out for change." The Conservatives look determined to cling to power for as long as possible and October to December next year is [1.43] in the Exchange's date of next general election market. This week's by-election results are further evidence that it is a question of when not if the Conservatives suffer a catstrophic defeat. ", "image":[ "https://betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer thumbs up.728x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer thumbs up.547x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer thumbs up.410x410.jpg" ], "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Betting.Betfair", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://betting.cdnppb.net/assets/img/betfairlogoblack.ea48b4e0.png" }, "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/" }, "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Max Liu", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/authors/max_liu" } } </script> </header> <div class="two_column_layout"> <main class="entry_main"> <div class="entry_img"> <img src="//betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer thumbs up.728x410.jpg" srcset="//betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer thumbs up.450x253.jpg 450w, //betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer thumbs up.600x338.jpg 600w, //betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer thumbs up.728x410.jpg 728w" alt="Labour leader Keir Starmer"> <figcaption class="entry_img__caption">Starmer is heavy odds-on to be Britain's next prime minister</figcaption> </div> <div class="entry_actions"> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBGC01B10G30A&prod=90&rfr=2573">Join</a> </div> <div> <a class="button btn--market" data-market_full="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.167249195" href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.167249195">View market</a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--twitter"> <a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet/?text=Next%20General%20Election%3A%20Labour%20long%20odds-on%20at%204%2F11%20after%20seismic%20by-election%20wins&url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fpolitics%2Fuk-politics%2Fwho-will-win-the-next-general-election-labour-cut-to-4-11-after-by-election-wins-in-mid-bedfordshire-and-tamworth-201023-204.html" target="_blank" title="Twitter"><span class="sprite_icon 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class="entry_body__intro"><p>The odds on a Labour majority at the next general election shortened again after they won two by-elections in Tory-held seats in stunning style...</p></div> <div class="entry_body__content"> <div class="editor"> <ul> <li> <h3><strong>Lab majority <b class="inline_odds" title="4/11"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.36</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">4/11</span></b> after by-election wins</strong></h3> </li> <li> <h3><strong>Tories were odds-on but lost Mid Beds</strong></h3> </li> <li> <h3><strong>Tamworth also goes Red on great night for Starmer</strong></h3> </li> <hr><p><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.167249195"><strong>A Labour majority at the next general election was backed in to <b class="inline_odds" title="4/11"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.36</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">4/11</span></b></strong></a> on the Betfair Exchange after they took two seats from the Conservatives in bellwether by-elections.</p><div data-component="text-block" class="ssrcss-11r1m41-RichTextComponentWrapper ep2nwvo0"> <div class="ssrcss-7uxr49-RichTextContainer e5tfeyi1"> <p class="ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10">The 23.9% swing from the Tories to Labour in Tamworth was the second highest in post-war by-election history and the first time a government has lost such a safe a seat to the main opposition party.</p> <p class="ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10"><img alt="image002.png" src="//betting.cdnppb.net/politics/image002.600x337.png" width="4269" height="2400" class="mt-image-none" loading="lazy"></p> </div> </div><div data-component="text-block" class="ssrcss-11r1m41-RichTextComponentWrapper ep2nwvo0"> <div class="ssrcss-7uxr49-RichTextContainer e5tfeyi1"> <p class="ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10">In Mid-Bedfordshire, the seated vacated by Nadine Dorries after she resigned, the swing from Conservative to Labour was 20.5%.</p> <p class="ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10">Labour were favourites to win in Tamworth but <a href="https://betting.betfair.com/politics/uk-politics/uk-by-elections-odds-latest-tories-odds-on-to-hold-mid-bedfordshire-and-labour-to-win-tamworth-181023-204.html">the Tories were odds-on in Mid Bedfordshire</a> where Labour were as long as <b class="inline_odds" title="12/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">3.4</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">12/5</span></b> on the eve of the vote.</p> <p class="ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10">In the end, however, Labour got the job done in Tamworth and upset the odds in Mid Bedfordshire, causing a political earthquake that will be registered across the UK.</p> <h2 class="ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10">By-election results indicate Tories heading for disaster under Sunak</h2> <p class="ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10"></p> <p class="ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10">The latest results are deeply concerning for Rishi Sunak and indicate that his party is heading for electoral meltdown next year. <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.219172883"><strong>They are <b class="inline_odds" title="85/40"><span class="inline_odds__main">3.1</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">85/40</span></b> to lose more than 200 seats</strong></a>.</p> <p class="ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10">For Keir Starmer there was delight and further proof that he is destined to enter Downing Street to be Labour's first prime minister since 2010.</p> <p class="ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10"><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.205534101"><strong>Starmer is <b class="inline_odds" title="2/11"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.18</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">2/11</span></b> to be the UK's next PM</strong></a> and the only reason to oppose that is the possibility that Tory MPs may look at last night's results, as well as Sunak's dismal personal polling, and decide they cannot go into a general election with him as their leader.</p> <p class="ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10"><img alt="Rishi Sunak looks down 1280.jpg" src="//betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Rishi%20Sunak%20looks%20down%201280.600x338.jpg" width="1280" height="720" class="mt-image-none" loading="lazy"></p> <p class="ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10">That seems unlikely, however, and Sunak looks set to lead the Tories to a defeat on the scale of the one they endured under John Major in 1997.</p> <p class="ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10">Starmer said today that voters were "crying out for change." The Conservatives look determined to cling to power for as long as possible and <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.218024805"><strong>October to December next year is <b class="inline_odds" title="4/9"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.43</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">4/9</span></b></strong></a> in the Exchange's date of next general election market.</p> <p class="ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10">This week's by-election results are further evidence that it is a question of when not if the Conservatives suffer a catstrophic defeat.</p> </div> </div></ul> </div> </div> <section class="betting_copy"> <div class="editor"> <h2 class="promo-name bf-sportsbook" data-qa="promo-name">New customers can get £20 in free bets!</h2> <p>New customers can earn £20 in free bets when they place a £5 bet on the Sportsbook after signing up. <a href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBHC01B5G20">T&Cs apply.</a></p> <section class="promo__desc"> <div class="description "> <section class="promo__desc"> <div class="description"></div> </section> </div> </section> </div> </section> <div id="betslip" class="entry_body__extras"> <script id="bet_row_tmpl" type="text/x-custom-template"> <tr class="${idx} bet-row"> <td><span class="betting__remove" data-idx="${idx}">Remove</span></td> <td> ${label} <input type="hidden" name="instructions[${idx}][selection_id]" value="${selection_id}"> <input type="hidden" name="instructions[${idx}][side]" value="${side}"> </td> <td> <input type="number" min="1.0" step="0.01" name="instructions[${idx}][price]" value="${price}" class="betting__price" required> </td> <td><input type="number" min="" name="instructions[${idx}][size]" placeholder="0" value="${size}" class="betting__stake" required></td> <td><span class="betting__profit">0.00</span></td> </tr> </script> <script id="liability_row_tmpl" type="text/x-custom-template"> <tr class="${idx} liability-row"> <td colspan="5"><strong>Liability:</strong> <span class="betting__liability">0.00</span></td> </tr> </script> <script id="sportsbook_bet_row_tmpl" type="text/x-custom-template"> <tr class="${idx} bet-row"> <td><span class="betting__remove" data-idx="${idx}">Remove</span></td> <td> ${label} <input type="hidden" name="instructions[${idx}][selection_id]" value="${selection_id}"> </td> <td> <input type="hidden" name="instructions[${idx}][price]" value="${price}" class="betting__price"> ${display_price} </td> <td><input type="number" min="" name="instructions[${idx}][size]" placeholder="0" value="${size}" class="betting__stake" required></td> <td><span class="betting__profit">0.00</span></td> </tr> </script> <section class="live-betting"> <span id="gobet" class="gobet-anchor"></span> <article class="bet-now"> <span id="gobet-1.167249195" class="gobet-anchor"></span> <header class="bet-now__header"> <h3>UK - Next General Election: UK - Next General Election (Overall Majority)</h3> <span class="bet-slip-toggle"> <span class="bet-slip-toggle__show">Show</span> <span class="bet-slip-toggle__hide">Hide</span> </span> </header> <div class="bet-now__event"> <p>Thursday 2 May, 7.00am</p> <p><a href="https://www.betfair.com/www/GBR/en/aboutUs/Rules.and.Regulations/">Market rules</a></p> </div> <div class="bet-now__market bet-now__market__no-user"> <table> <thead> <tr> <th></th> <th>Back</th> <th>Lay</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>Labour Majority</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Labour Majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="1.31" data-side="back" data-selection_id="1405187">1.31</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Labour Majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="1.32" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="1405187">1.32</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>No Overall Majority</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="No Overall Majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="6.2" data-side="back" data-selection_id="1076592">6.2</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="No Overall Majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="6.4" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="1076592">6.4</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Conservative Majority</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Conservative Majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="12.5" data-side="back" data-selection_id="1405188">12.5</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Conservative Majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="13" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="1405188">13</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Liberal Democrat majority</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Liberal Democrat majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="500" data-side="back" data-selection_id="12793562">500</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" 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