UK Politics

UK General Election: Labour majority 4/6 as Boris Johnson ally warns of Tory "civil war"

  • Max Liu
  • 3:00 min read
Boris Johnson and Rishi Sunak
Boris Johnson wants revenge against Rishi Sunak

UK General Election Betting Odds: Labour majority 4/6 as Boris Johnson ally warns of Tory "civil war"


A Labour majority at next year's UK general election is 1.695/7 on the Betfair Exchange after Boris Johnson's resignation sparked more Conservative in-fighting.

A hung parliament is 3.185/40 and a majority for the Conservatives, who won an 80-seat majority at the last general election, is out to 10.09/1.

The Labour leader Keir Starmer is as short as 1.261/4 to be the UK's next prime minister. Only the implosion of Rishi Sunak's premiership before the next election is likely to up-end those odds.

As a sign of his confidence, Starmer said at the weekend that Prime Minister Sunak had "failed to end... the Tory chaos" that began under Johnson and called for a snap general election.

Exchange bettors think that's unlikely, with a 2023 election 21.020/1 and 2024 1.031/33.

Johnson resignation puts pressure on Sunak

Johnson resigned as the MP for Uxbridge and South Ruislip on Friday over the investigation into Partygate. There will be a by-election in Johnson's former constituency and in those vacated by two of his Tory allies who also resigned.

While Labour toast their extraordinary luck at the Tories' demise over the past couple of years, many people are wondering what will be next for Johnson who, just three-and-a-half years ago, lead his party to their best election result for over three decades.

Boris Johnson pint 1280.jpg

The tense atmosphere and divisions in the party were encapsulated when the Johnson loyalist Conservative MP Jacob Rees-Mogg warned over the weekend that there would be a "Tory civil war" if the leadership tied to stop the former-prime minister standing in another parliamentary constituency at the next general election.

Rees-Mogg said that if Johnson did choose to return as an MP, the former-PM would be "in pole position" to be the next Conservative leader.

Kemi Badenoch 5.04/1 is the favourite to succeed Sunak as leader but the Exchange market is not writing off Johnson's chances of a sensational return at 14.5.

Johnson believes he has been the victim of a witch-hunt over the investigation into allegations that he broke lockdown rules and misled parliament. He blames Sunak for betraying him.

Read Paul Krishnmurty on our live politics betting blog to find out what he thinks Johnson's resigation means for the Conservative Party.

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