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class="entry_header"> <h1 class="entry_header__title">UK By-Elections: Tories odds-on to hold Mid Beds as Labour win Tamworth</h1> <ul class="entry_header__meta"> <li><a href="https://betting.betfair.com/authors/max-liu/">Max Liu</a></li> <li><time datetime="2023-10-18">18 October 2023</time></li> <li>3:00 min read</li> </ul> <script type="application/ld+json"> { "@context": "http://schema.org", "@type": "NewsArticle", "headline": "UK By-Elections: Tories odds-on to hold Mid Beds as Labour win Tamworth", "name": "UK By-Elections: Tories odds-on to hold Mid Beds as Labour win Tamworth", "description": "Get the latest odds for Thursday's by-elections as the Betfair Exchange markets deliver good and bad news for both the Conservatives and Labour...", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/politics/uk-politics/uk-by-elections-odds-latest-tories-odds-on-to-hold-mid-bedfordshire-and-labour-to-win-tamworth-181023-204.html", "mainEntityOfPage": "https://betting.betfair.com/politics/uk-politics/uk-by-elections-odds-latest-tories-odds-on-to-hold-mid-bedfordshire-and-labour-to-win-tamworth-181023-204.html", "datePublished": "2023-10-18T16:27:00+01:00", "dateModified": "2023-10-18T15:28:00+01:00", "articleBody": "Get the latest odds for Thursday's by-elections as the Betfair Exchange markets deliver good and bad news for both the Conservatives and Labour... Mid Beds to stay Blue say Betfair odds Tamworth to fall to Labour in bellwether by-election Thursday's results will hold clues to next GE result The Conservatives will hold Mid Bedfordshire but lose Tamworth to Labour in Thursday's by-elections, according to the Betfair Exchange markets. The results of both votes in Tory-held constituencies will be eagerly-awaited and carefully-dissected as we could be exactly one year from the next general election. October to December 2024 is [1.45] on the Betfair Exchange as the period when Britons will next go to the polls. Who will win the Mid Bedfordshire by-election? Mid Bedfordshire could offer Rishi Sunk a glimmer of hope in an autumn that has so far been miserable for the prime minister. The Conservatives are [1.75] to retain the seat that Nadine Dorries vacated with her protracted resignation. The Tories have held the constituency for more than a century but, with voters there let down by Dorries, the party languishing in the national polls and out to [11.5] to win a majority at the next general election, this had looked like an opportunity for the Liberal Democrats or Labour. Part of the problem for the other parties, according to reports, is that voters who are prepared to abandon the Tories are split between Labour [3.4] and the Lib Dems [5.4]. That means the Tories may cling on with a reduced majority and give Sunak something to celebrate come Friday morning. Labour 80% chance to win Tamworth by-election The news from Tamworth is expected to be worse for the Conservatives as Labour are [1.25] on the Exchange with less than 24 hours to go before polling stations open in the Staffordshire constituency. If those odds are correct the victory will strengthen Keir Starmer's belief that his party are on the road to power in next year's general election. They are [1.41] to win a majority. The Tories have held Tamworth since 2010, the year the returned to power in Westminster, so losing it would be a symbol as well as a mathematical indication that their reign is coming to an end across the country. The Conservatives won Tamworth in 2019 with a majority of nearly 20,000 so this is the largest, in terms of vote percentage, that Labour have had to overturn in the recent run of by-elections. The Liberal Democrats [4.0] have pulled into second in the market, pushing the Tories [4.2] out to third by a small margin. Now read Paul Krishnamurty's guides to Mid Bedfordshire and Tamworth.", "image":[ "https://betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Rishi Sunak outside 10 Downing St.728x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Rishi Sunak outside 10 Downing St.547x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Rishi Sunak outside 10 Downing St.410x410.jpg" ], "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Betting.Betfair", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://betting.cdnppb.net/assets/img/betfairlogoblack.ea48b4e0.png" }, "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/" }, "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Max Liu", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/authors/max_liu" } } </script> </header> <div class="two_column_layout"> <main class="entry_main"> <div class="entry_img"> <img src="//betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Rishi Sunak outside 10 Downing St.728x410.jpg" srcset="//betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Rishi Sunak outside 10 Downing St.450x253.jpg 450w, //betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Rishi Sunak outside 10 Downing St.600x338.jpg 600w, //betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Rishi Sunak outside 10 Downing St.728x410.jpg 728w" alt="UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak"> <figcaption class="entry_img__caption">Rishi Sunak's party look set to hold one seat but lose another on Thursday</figcaption> </div> <div class="entry_actions"> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBGC01B10G30A&prod=90&rfr=2573">Join</a> </div> <div> <a class="button btn--market" data-market_full="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.215148472" href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.215148472">View market</a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--twitter"> <a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet/?text=UK%20By-Elections%3A%20Tories%20odds-on%20to%20hold%20Mid%20Beds%20as%20Labour%20win%20Tamworth&url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fpolitics%2Fuk-politics%2Fuk-by-elections-odds-latest-tories-odds-on-to-hold-mid-bedfordshire-and-labour-to-win-tamworth-181023-204.html" target="_blank" title="Twitter"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--twitter">Twitter</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--facebook"> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fpolitics%2Fuk-politics%2Fuk-by-elections-odds-latest-tories-odds-on-to-hold-mid-bedfordshire-and-labour-to-win-tamworth-181023-204.html" target="_blank" title="Facebook"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--facebook">Facebook</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--reddit"> <a 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href="https://t.me/share/url?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fpolitics%2Fuk-politics%2Fuk-by-elections-odds-latest-tories-odds-on-to-hold-mid-bedfordshire-and-labour-to-win-tamworth-181023-204.html&text=UK%20By-Elections%3A%20Tories%20odds-on%20to%20hold%20Mid%20Beds%20as%20Labour%20win%20Tamworth" target="_blank" title="Telegram"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--telegram">Telegram</span></a> </div> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="#betslip">View the Betslip</a> </div> </div> <div class="entry_body has-odds"> <div class="entry_body__intro"><p>Get the latest odds for Thursday's by-elections as the Betfair Exchange markets deliver good and bad news for both the Conservatives and Labour...</p></div> <div class="entry_body__content"> <div class="editor"> <ul> <li> <h3><strong>Mid Beds to stay Blue say Betfair odds</strong></h3> </li> <li> <h3><strong>Tamworth to fall to Labour in bellwether by-election</strong></h3> </li> <li> <h3><strong>Thursday's results will hold clues to next GE result</strong></h3> </li> <hr><p>The Conservatives will hold Mid Bedfordshire but lose Tamworth to Labour in Thursday's by-elections, according to the Betfair Exchange markets.</p><p>The results of both votes in Tory-held constituencies will be eagerly-awaited and carefully-dissected as we could be exactly one year from the next general election.</p><p><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.218024805"><strong>October to December 2024 is <b class="inline_odds" title="4/9"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.45</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">4/9</span></b></strong></a> on the Betfair Exchange as the period when Britons will next go to the polls.</p><h2>Who will win the Mid Bedfordshire by-election?</h2><p></p><p>Mid Bedfordshire could offer Rishi Sunk a glimmer of hope in an autumn that has so far been miserable for the prime minister. <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.215148472"><strong>The Conservatives are <b class="inline_odds" title="8/11"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.75</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">8/11</span></b></strong></a> to retain the seat that Nadine Dorries vacated with her protracted resignation.</p><p>The Tories have held the constituency for more than a century but, with voters there let down by Dorries, the party languishing in the national polls and <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.167249195"><strong>out to <b class="inline_odds" title="21/2"><span class="inline_odds__main">11.5</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">21/2</span></b> to win a majority at the next general election</strong></a>, this had looked like an opportunity for the Liberal Democrats or Labour.</p><p>Part of the problem for the other parties, according to reports, is that voters who are prepared to abandon the Tories are split between <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.215148472"><strong>Labour <b class="inline_odds" title="12/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">3.4</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">12/5</span></b> and the Lib Dems <b class="inline_odds" title="9/2"><span class="inline_odds__main">5.4</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">9/2</span></b></strong></a>.</p><p>That means the Tories may cling on with a <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.218054021"><strong>reduced majority</strong></a> and give Sunak something to celebrate come Friday morning.</p><h2>Labour 80% chance to win Tamworth by-election</h2><p></p><p>The news from Tamworth is expected to be worse for the Conservatives as <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.218056777"><strong>Labour are <b class="inline_odds" title="1/4"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.25</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">1/4</span></b> on the Exchange</strong></a> with less than 24 hours to go before polling stations open in the Staffordshire constituency.</p><p><img alt="Keir Starmer canvassing.jpg" src="//betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir%20Starmer%20canvassing.600x338.jpg" width="956" height="538" class="mt-image-none" loading="lazy"></p><p>If those odds are correct the victory will strengthen Keir Starmer's belief that his party are on the road to power in next year's general election. They are <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.167249195"><strong><b class="inline_odds" title="2/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.41</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">2/5</span></b> to win a majority</strong></a>.</p><p>The Tories have held Tamworth since 2010, the year the returned to power in Westminster, so losing it would be a symbol as well as a mathematical indication that their reign is coming to an end across the country.</p><p>The Conservatives won Tamworth in 2019 with a majority of nearly 20,000 so this is the largest, in terms of vote percentage, that Labour have had to overturn in the recent run of by-elections.</p><p><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.218056777"><strong>The Liberal Democrats <b class="inline_odds" title="3/1"><span class="inline_odds__main">4.0</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">3/1</span></b></strong></a> have pulled into second in the market, pushing <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.218056777"><strong>the Tories <b class="inline_odds" title="16/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">4.2</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">16/5</span></b></strong></a> out to third by a small margin.</p><hr><h3>Now read Paul Krishnamurty's guides to <a href="https://betting.betfair.com/politics/uk-politics/mid-bedfordshire-by-election-betting-preview-odds-and-analysis-171023-171.html">Mid Bedfordshire</a> and <a href="https://betting.betfair.com/politics/uk-politics/tamworth-by-election-betting-preview-odds-and-analysis-141023-171.html">Tamworth</a>.</h3></ul> </div> </div> <section class="betting_copy"> <div class="editor"> <h2 class="promo-name bf-sportsbook" data-qa="promo-name">New customers can get £20 in free bets!</h2> <p>New customers can earn £20 in free bets when they place a £5 bet on the Sportsbook after signing up. <a href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBHC01B5G20">T&Cs apply.</a></p> 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Most read stories
Horse Racing Tips and Predictions
Saturday Racing Tips: Tony Calvin backs 33/1 Sandown bet to shock doubters
Horse Racing Tips and Predictions
Paul Nicholls: Iceo has nice chance in Betfair Henry VIII Chase among my 12 Saturday runners
Horse Racing Tips and Predictions
Kevin Blake's Big Races Verdicts: Goshen and Edwardstone can challenge in Betfair Grade 1s at Sandown
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