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url('//betting.cdnppb.net/Parliament.220x145.jpg');"> <div><h4>Politics Live Blog</h4></div> </a> </div> </div> <header class="entry_header"> <h1 class="entry_header__title">Next Conservative Leader Betting: Paul Krishnamurty rates the 11 candidates</h1> <ul class="entry_header__meta"> <li><a href="https://betting.betfair.com/authors/paul-krishnamurty/">Paul Krishnamurty</a></li> <li><time datetime="2022-07-12">12 July 2022</time></li> </ul> <script type="application/ld+json"> { "@context": "http://schema.org", "@type": "Article", "headline": "Next Conservative Leader Betting: Paul Krishnamurty rates the 11 candidates", "name": "Next Conservative Leader Betting: Paul Krishnamurty rates the 11 candidates", "description": "Ahead of tonight's cut-off point for nominations, Paul Krishnamurty analyses the chances of the 11 candidates so far entered in the Tory leadership contest...", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/politics/uk-politics/next-conservative-leader-betting-paul-krishnamurty-rates-the-11-candidates-120722-171.html", "mainEntityOfPage": "https://betting.betfair.com/politics/uk-politics/next-conservative-leader-betting-paul-krishnamurty-rates-the-11-candidates-120722-171.html", "datePublished": "2022-07-12T11:27:00+01:00", "dateModified": "2022-07-12T10:50:00+01:00", "thumbnailURL": "https://betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Penny Mordaunt 1280.320x180.jpg", "articleBody": "Ahead of tonight's cut-off point for nominations, Paul Krishnamurty analyses the chances of the 11 candidates so far entered in the Tory leadership contest... Historically, the golden rule of betting on Tory leadership races was to lay the early favourite. Only in 2019 - a contest set amid unique circumstances - did that favourite deliver, with Boris Johnson. These races invariably take many twists and turns, involving various tactical manoeuveres. The parliamentary party has been described as the most sophisticated electorate in the world. Whoever leads after tomorrow's first round ballot is by no means certain to stay there. RISHI SUNAKLatest odds: [2.94] So should we be laying Rishi Sunak? He was a short-odds favourite long before the vacancy became open. Despite a major drift to double-figure odds when his reputation took multiple hits, the gamble restarted in earnest after last week's resignation. The campaign launch was predictably slick and doubtless prepared for months. Team Sunak have already announced 39 nominations to take a clear lead. This is the standard for a front-runner, as ambitious colleagues jump aboard in hope of a good job. This is only stage one, however. Sunak has to address two big problems. First, every other candidate is running on tax cuts, against the tax rises he already imposed. This is a terrible position to hold among any Conservative electorate. It partly explains why he fell so sharply in the ConservativeHome ratings. Second, weekend press briefings made it clear that Boris Johnson's team blame Sunak for his demise. #Sunakthesnake and #NeverRishi were trending on Twitter. He's bound to struggle to win over Johnson supporters. The positive is that he polls better than the rest against Labour. Whether that trend survives through TV debates and a vicious campaign, remains to be seen. I expect Sunak to make the final, but lose. PENNY MORDAUNTLatest odds: [3.75] For months, Mordaunt has been my main pick. Despite never being truly in the frontline of government, she has soared up the members' polls on ConservativeHome. Last week they recorded her losing only one potential head-to-head run-off - against Ben Wallace, who is not running. In yesterday's poll, she led the field. That is seriously impressive given her scope for growth in recognisability. Critically, Mordaunt is less associated with Johnson. She didn't back him in 2019 and has only held minor roles in his government, well below her Defence Secretary status under Theresa May. She has been quietly making all the right moves for months, courting powerful US Conservative interests and nailing her colours to a Republican Party agenda. I wanted to learn about how @AllianceTexas has been created, a 27,000-acre development delivering $100bn for the region. Lessons for the UK to help us achieve the best border in the world and maximise Freeports. @HillwoodDevelop @UKinTX #DITStateSide pic.twitter.com/vtaaz1E5LF -- Penny Mordaunt (@PennyMordaunt) April 15, 2022 Never underestimate the ideological and financial crossover between UK and US Conservatives. Identifying those links worked a treat to pick both Iain Duncan Smith and David Cameron in past races. During the 2019 leadership contest, Donald Trump blatantly intervened, pushing Johnson and sleighting his principal rival, Michael Gove. Few complained. Many laughed. Mordaunt of course isn't the only candidate building those networks and the case to back her is much wider. She is an impressive speaker and has the perfect profile for a Tory contest. A young, strong woman who served in the Navy. A strong Brexiteer, on the Right of the party, with reported substantial support from the 2019 intake of MPs. LIZ TRUSSLatest odds: [5.0] Frequently derided by critics of the Tory party, yet evidently loved by the membership, as seen in approval ratings. Her Thatcher idolatry may be mocked on Twitter, but Truss knows how to appeal to her electorate. Six months ago, it was widely said that the contest would boil down to Sunak v Truss. She has been planning this run for years. Which makes her opening tally of 15 nominations appear a worryingly weak effort. Without dismissing Truss by any means - I think she could beat Sunak in a run-off - there is a danger she could suffer from overcrowding among right-wing candidates. Suella Braverman has stolen her thunder on the Northern Ireland Protocol. Kemi Badenoch too. Were Priti Patel to enter, it could leave three out of four candidates short of nominations. TOM TUGENDHATLatest odds: [12.5] The Chairman of the Foreign Affairs Committee has started well and is in third place regarding nominations. He's now very well positioned among the relatively moderate wing of the party, which was excluded by and often opposed to the Johnson administration. This veteran of the Afghanistan conflict oozes gravitas on the Parliamentary stage and has long struck me as very electable. His work exposing the Londongrad laundromat was outstanding and never more prescient. A problem could ultimately be his image as being a relative moderate, even on the Left of the party. That seems like a small minority nowadays, especially among members. He voted Remain in the 2016 referendum, which will be a disqualifier for many. That I like Tugendhat, probably implies Tory members won't be too keen. I think he'll start well but hit a ceiling and turn out to be a more competitive version of Rory Stewart's 2019 bid. The Tory that non-Tories, without a vote in the contest, want to win. KEMI BADENOCHLatest odds: [16.0] I must confess, in years of studying this market, Kemi Badenoch never crossed my mind. She's now up to fifth place in the betting, following the endorsement of Michael Gove. More dramatically, she ranked second in yesterday's ConservativeHome poll. Were she to win, it would rank as the biggest upset in political betting history, or at least on a par with Jeremy Corbyn winning the 2015 Labour contest. That proves outsiders can win these races, as David Cameron also proved a decade earlier. I have no doubt she has big potential as a Cabinet Minister, or that there is an audience for her libertarianism, or that she would make a useful weapon in the 'War on Woke'. But surely this is way too soon for the former Equalities Minister? She hasn't been scrutinised, or even road-tested as a candidate. Tory MPs do not take big gambles with their choice of leader. Again though, qualification for latter rounds would cause problems for others. JEREMY HUNTLatest odds: [50.0] Distant runner-up to Johnson in 2019 and that was perhaps only due to tactical swaps to block a stronger rival in Gove. Hunt has been poor value throughout. He's never fared well with members and any credentials rested on support from MPs. That this so-called 'Big Beast' has a mere 13 nominations suggests otherwise. Lay and lay again. He is not the winner. SAJID JAVIDLatest odds: [100.0] The former Health Secretary launched his bid today. He was immediately questioned about his former non-dom tax status, and failed to satisfactorily answer or kill the question. Is it too late anyway? On the latest count, with half of the parliamentary party declared, he has only 11 nominations and needs 20 by 6pm on Tuesday. I suspect he's chasing the same pool as Tugendhat and Hunt. To only have ten, Javid must be struggling. He's long been expected to run, as in 2019, especially after triggering Johnson's downfall by resigning. His ConHome ratings aren't encouraging either. NADHIM ZAHAWILatest odds: [55.0] Likewise the new Chancellor's late entry, amid a stream of allegations about his finances and tax affairs, looks like a bad plan, too late. Zahawi has been close to Johnson for years, so he could appeal to the remaining loyalists. He's on 15 nominations, so 20 by tomorrow is not impossible. If he does get in, there is scope for improvement as he handles the media well. SUELLA BRAVERMANLatest odds: [120.0] The Attorney General was first out of the blocks in declaring a bid. She swiftly earned the considerable endorsement of Steve Baker - defacto head of the ERG and now her campaign manager. He is a very shrewd, effective operator. She's on 11 nominations and probably won't qualify. However if she does, I think the membership will love her and her presence in later rounds could make life very difficult for Truss and even Mordaunt. GRANT SHAPPS Latest odds: [200.0] If ability to handle the media, and speak in a conversational style, were the sole criteria, Shapps would be favourite. Yet he has only seven nominations. He's a former arch-Remainer and has stated that he's not the man for the 'war on woke'. That explains why he's a rank outsider. REHMAN CHISTI Latest odds: [500.0] Just as people started complaining about too many candidates, the MP for Gillingham and Rainham entered the fray. This, and the fact he's a junior Foreign Office Minister, are all I know for sure about Chisti. I've seen him on TV a few times, without ever thinking about leadership potential. It will be an enormous shock if he merely gets enough nominations. Back Penny Mordaunt @ [3.75]", "image": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Penny%20Mordaunt%201280.jpg", "height": 720, "width": 1280 }, "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Betting.Betfair", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://betting.cdnppb.net/_v2/img/betfairlogoblack.png" }, "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/" }, "author": "Paul Krishnamurty" } </script> </header> <div class="two_column_layout"> <main class="entry_main"> <div class="entry_img"> <img src="//betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Penny Mordaunt 1280.728x410.jpg" srcset="//betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Penny Mordaunt 1280.450x253.jpg 450w, //betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Penny Mordaunt 1280.600x338.jpg 600w, //betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Penny Mordaunt 1280.728x410.jpg 728w" alt="Conservative Party leadership candidate Penny Mordaunt"> <figcaption class="entry_img__caption">Is Penny Mordaunt the next PM?</figcaption> </div> <div class="entry_actions"> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBGC01B10G30A">Join</a> </div> <div> <a class="button btn--market" data-market_full="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.160663234" data-contextual_info='{"blog_name":"Politics Betting Tips & Predictions","category_label":"UK Politics","market_id":"https:\/\/www.betfair.com\/exchange\/plus\/politics\/market\/1.160663234","entry_title":"Next Conservative Leader Betting: Paul Krishnamurty rates the 11 candidates"}' href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.160663234">View market</a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--twitter"> <a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet/?text=Next%20Conservative%20Leader%20Betting%3A%20Paul%20Krishnamurty%20rates%20the%2011%20candidates&url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fpolitics%2Fuk-politics%2Fnext-conservative-leader-betting-paul-krishnamurty-rates-the-11-candidates-120722-171.html" target="_blank" title="Twitter"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--twitter">Twitter</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--facebook"> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fpolitics%2Fuk-politics%2Fnext-conservative-leader-betting-paul-krishnamurty-rates-the-11-candidates-120722-171.html" target="_blank" title="Facebook"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--facebook">Facebook</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--reddit"> <a href="https://www.reddit.com/submit/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fpolitics%2Fuk-politics%2Fnext-conservative-leader-betting-paul-krishnamurty-rates-the-11-candidates-120722-171.html" target="_blank" title="Reddit"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--reddit">Reddit</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--whatsapp"> <a href="https://api.whatsapp.com/send?text=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fpolitics%2Fuk-politics%2Fnext-conservative-leader-betting-paul-krishnamurty-rates-the-11-candidates-120722-171.html" target="_blank" title="WhatsApp"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--whatsapp">WhatsApp</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--telegram"> <a href="https://t.me/share/url?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fpolitics%2Fuk-politics%2Fnext-conservative-leader-betting-paul-krishnamurty-rates-the-11-candidates-120722-171.html&text=Next%20Conservative%20Leader%20Betting%3A%20Paul%20Krishnamurty%20rates%20the%2011%20candidates" target="_blank" title="Telegram"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--telegram">Telegram</span></a> </div> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="#betslip">View the Betslip</a> </div> </div> <div class="entry_body has-odds"> <div class="entry_body__intro"><p>Ahead of tonight's cut-off point for nominations, Paul Krishnamurty analyses the chances of the 11 candidates so far entered in the Tory leadership contest...</p></div> <div class="entry_body__quote"> <blockquote>"Last week ConHome recorded Mordaunt losing only one potential head-to-head run-off - against Ben Wallace, who is not running. In yesterday's poll, she led the field...That is seriously impressive given her scope for growth in recognisability."</blockquote> </div> <div class="entry_body__content"> <div class="editor"> <p>Historically, the <strong>golden rule of betting on Tory leadership races</strong> was to lay the early favourite. Only in 2019 - a contest set amid unique circumstances - did that favourite deliver, with Boris Johnson.<p>These races invariably take many <strong>twists and turns</strong>, involving various tactical manoeuveres. The parliamentary party has been described as the most sophisticated electorate in the world. Whoever leads after tomorrow's first round ballot is by no means certain to stay there.</p><h2>RISHI SUNAK<br>Latest odds: <b class="inline_odds" title="2/1"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">2.94</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">2/1</span></b></h2><p></p><p>So should we be laying Rishi Sunak? He was a short-odds favourite long before the vacancy became open. Despite a major drift to double-figure odds when his reputation took multiple hits, the gamble restarted in earnest after <strong>last week's resignation</strong>.</p><p>The campaign launch was predictably slick and doubtless prepared for months. Team Sunak have already announced 39 nominations to take a clear lead. This is the standard for a front-runner, as ambitious colleagues jump aboard in hope of a good job. This is only stage one, however.</p><p>Sunak has to address two big problems. First, every other candidate is running on tax cuts, against the tax rises he already imposed. This is a <strong>terrible position</strong> to hold among any Conservative electorate. It partly explains why he fell so sharply in the ConservativeHome ratings.</p><p>Second, weekend press briefings made it clear that Boris Johnson's team blame Sunak for his demise. #Sunakthesnake and #NeverRishi were trending on Twitter. He's bound to struggle to win over Johnson supporters.</p><p>The positive is that he polls better than the rest against Labour. Whether that trend survives through TV debates and a vicious campaign, remains to be seen. I expect Sunak to make the final, but lose.</p><h2>PENNY MORDAUNT<br>Latest odds: <b class="inline_odds" title="11/4"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.75</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">11/4</span></b></h2><p></p><p>For months, Mordaunt has been my main pick. Despite never being truly in the frontline of government, she has soared up the members' polls on <strong><a href="https://conservativehome.com/2022/07/12/our-latest-next-tory-leader-survey-mordaunt-leads-badenoch-by-under-ten-votes-in-over-eight-hundred/">ConservativeHome</a></strong>. Last week they recorded her losing only one potential head-to-head run-off - against Ben Wallace, who is not running. In yesterday's poll, she led the field.</p><p>That is seriously impressive given her scope for growth in <strong>recognisability</strong>. Critically, Mordaunt is less associated with Johnson. She didn't back him in 2019 and has only held minor roles in his government, well below her Defence Secretary status under Theresa May.</p><p>She has been quietly making all the right moves for months, courting powerful US Conservative interests and nailing her colours to a Republican Party agenda.<br><br></p><blockquote class="twitter-tweet"> <p lang="en" dir="ltr">I wanted to learn about how <a href="https://twitter.com/alliancetexas?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@AllianceTexas</a> has been created, a 27,000-acre development delivering $100bn for the region. Lessons for the UK to help us achieve the best border in the world and maximise Freeports. <a href="https://twitter.com/HillwoodDevelop?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@HillwoodDevelop</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/UKinTX?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@UKinTX</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/DITStateSide?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#DITStateSide</a> <a href="https://t.co/vtaaz1E5LF">pic.twitter.com/vtaaz1E5LF</a></p> -- Penny Mordaunt (@PennyMordaunt) <a href="https://twitter.com/PennyMordaunt/status/1514775342556200968?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 15, 2022</a></blockquote><p> <script async="" src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script> </p><p>Never underestimate the <strong>ideological and financial crossover</strong> between UK and US Conservatives. Identifying those links worked a treat to pick both Iain Duncan Smith and David Cameron in past races. During the 2019 leadership contest, Donald Trump blatantly intervened, pushing Johnson and sleighting his principal rival, Michael Gove. Few complained. Many laughed.</p><p>Mordaunt of course isn't the only candidate building those networks and the case to back her is much wider. She is an <strong>impressive speaker</strong> and has the perfect profile for a Tory contest. A young, strong woman who served in the Navy. A <strong>strong Brexiteer</strong>, on the Right of the party, with reported substantial support from the 2019 intake of MPs.</p><h2>LIZ TRUSS<br>Latest odds: <b class="inline_odds" title="4/1"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">5.0</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">4/1</span></b></h2><p></p><p>Frequently derided by critics of the Tory party, yet evidently loved by the membership, as seen in approval ratings. Her <strong>Thatcher idolatry</strong> may be mocked on Twitter, but Truss knows how to appeal to her electorate.</p><p>Six months ago, it was widely said that the contest would boil down to Sunak v Truss. She has been planning this run for years. Which makes her opening tally of 15 nominations appear a worryingly <strong>weak effort</strong>.</p><p>Without dismissing Truss by any means - I think she could beat Sunak in a run-off - there is a danger she could suffer from <strong>overcrowding</strong> among right-wing candidates. Suella Braverman has stolen her thunder on the Northern Ireland Protocol. Kemi Badenoch too. Were Priti Patel to enter, it could leave three out of four candidates short of nominations.</p><h2><br>TOM TUGENDHAT<br>Latest odds: 12.5</h2><p></p><p>The Chairman of the Foreign Affairs Committee has started well and is in third place regarding nominations. He's now very well positioned among the <strong>relatively moderate wing</strong> of the party, which was excluded by and often opposed to the Johnson administration.</p><p>This veteran of the Afghanistan conflict oozes <strong>gravitas</strong> on the Parliamentary stage and has long struck me as very electable. His work exposing the Londongrad laundromat was outstanding and never more prescient.</p><p>A problem could ultimately be his image as being a relative moderate, even on the Left of the party. That seems like a small minority nowadays, especially among members. <strong>He voted Remain in the 2016 referendum</strong>, which will be a disqualifier for many.</p><p>That I like Tugendhat, probably implies Tory members won't be too keen. I think he'll start well but hit a ceiling and turn out to be a more competitive version of Rory Stewart's 2019 bid. The Tory that non-Tories, without a vote in the contest, want to win.</p><h2>KEMI BADENOCH<br>Latest odds: <b class="inline_odds" title="15/1"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">16.0</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">15/1</span></b></h2><p></p><p>I must confess, in years of studying this market, Kemi Badenoch never crossed my mind. She's now up to fifth place in the betting, following the endorsement of Michael Gove. More dramatically, she ranked <strong>second in yesterday's ConservativeHome poll</strong>.</p><p>Were she to win, it would rank as the <strong>biggest upset in political betting history</strong>, or at least on a par with Jeremy Corbyn winning the 2015 Labour contest. That proves outsiders can win these races, as David Cameron also proved a decade earlier.</p><p>I have no doubt she has big potential as a Cabinet Minister, or that there is an audience for her libertarianism, or that she would make a useful weapon in the '<strong>War on Woke</strong>'. But surely this is way too soon for the former Equalities Minister? She hasn't been scrutinised, or even road-tested as a candidate. Tory MPs do not take big gambles with their choice of leader.</p><p>Again though, qualification for latter rounds would cause problems for others.</p><h2>JEREMY HUNT<br>Latest odds: <b class="inline_odds" title="49/1"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">50.0</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">49/1</span></b></h2><p></p><p>Distant runner-up to Johnson in 2019 and that was perhaps only due to tactical swaps to block a stronger rival in Gove.</p><p>Hunt has been <strong>poor value</strong> throughout. He's never fared well with members and any credentials rested on support from MPs. That this so-called 'Big Beast' has a mere 13 nominations suggests otherwise. Lay and lay again. He is not the winner.</p><h2>SAJID JAVID<br>Latest odds: <b class="inline_odds" title="99/1"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">100.0</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">99/1</span></b></h2><p></p><p>The former Health Secretary launched his bid today. He was immediately questioned about his former non-dom tax status, and failed to satisfactorily answer or kill the question.</p><p>Is it too late anyway? On the latest count, with half of the parliamentary party declared, he has only 11 nominations and needs 20 by 6pm on Tuesday. I suspect he's chasing the same pool as Tugendhat and Hunt.</p><p>To only have ten, Javid must be struggling. He's long been expected to run, as in 2019, especially after triggering Johnson's downfall by resigning. His ConHome ratings aren't encouraging either.</p><h2>NADHIM ZAHAWI<br>Latest odds: <b class="inline_odds" title="54/1"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">55.0</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">54/1</span></b></h2><p></p><p>Likewise the new Chancellor's late entry, amid a <strong>stream of allegations about his finances and tax affairs</strong>, looks like a bad plan, too late.</p><p>Zahawi has been close to Johnson for years, so he could appeal to the remaining loyalists. He's on 15 nominations, so 20 by tomorrow is not impossible. If he does get in, there is scope for improvement as he handles the media well.</p><h2>SUELLA BRAVERMAN<br>Latest odds: <b class="inline_odds" title="119/1"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">120.0</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">119/1</span></b></h2><p></p><p>The Attorney General was first out of the blocks in declaring a bid. She swiftly earned the considerable endorsement of <strong>Steve Baker</strong> - defacto head of the ERG and now her campaign manager. He is a very shrewd, effective operator.</p><p>She's on 11 nominations and probably won't qualify. However if she does, I think the membership will love her and her presence in later rounds could make life very difficult for Truss and even Mordaunt.</p><h2>GRANT SHAPPS</h2><h2>Latest odds: <b class="inline_odds" title="199/1"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">200.0</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">199/1</span></b></h2><p></p><p>If ability to handle the media, and speak in a <strong>conversational</strong> style, were the sole criteria, Shapps would be favourite. Yet he has only seven nominations.</p><p>He's a former arch-Remainer and has stated that he's not the man for the 'war on woke'. That explains why he's a rank outsider.</p><h2>REHMAN CHISTI</h2><h2>Latest odds: <b class="inline_odds" title="499/1"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">500.0</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">499/1</span></b></h2><p></p><p>Just as people started complaining about too many candidates, the MP for Gillingham and Rainham entered the fray. This, and the fact he's a junior Foreign Office Minister, are all I know for sure about Chisti. I've seen him on TV a few times, without ever thinking about leadership potential. It will be an enormous shock if he merely gets enough nominations.</p><p></p><p><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.160663234" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Back Penny Mordaunt @ <b class="inline_odds" title="11/4"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.75</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">11/4</span></b></a></p></p> </div> </div> <section class="betting_copy"> <div class="editor"> <h2>Use your Betfair Boost for enhanced prices on ACCAs</h2> <p>We're giving you two free OddsBoosts to use every day on the Betfair Sportsbook. <a href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=THEBFBOOST">T&Cs apply</a>.</p> </div> </section> <div class="recommended_bets betslip_goto auto_banners" data-banner_cta="Join"> <h3>Recommended bets</h3> <div class="editor editor--reversed"> <p> <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.160663234" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Back Penny Mordaunt @ <b class="inline_odds" title="11/4"><span class="inline_odds__decimal">3.75</span><span class="inline_odds__fractional inline_odds__tooltip">11/4</span></b></a> </p> </div> </div> <div id="betslip" class="entry_body__extras"> <script id="bet_row_tmpl" type="text/x-custom-template"> <tr class="${idx} bet-row"> <td><span class="betting__remove" data-idx="${idx}">Remove</span></td> <td> ${label} <input type="hidden" name="instructions[${idx}][selection_id]" value="${selection_id}"> <input type="hidden" name="instructions[${idx}][side]" value="${side}"> </td> <td> <input type="number" min="1.0" step="0.01" name="instructions[${idx}][price]" value="${price}" class="betting__price" required> </td> <td><input type="number" min="" name="instructions[${idx}][size]" placeholder="0" value="${size}" class="betting__stake" required></td> <td><span class="betting__profit">0.00</span></td> </tr> </script> <script id="liability_row_tmpl" type="text/x-custom-template"> <tr class="${idx} liability-row"> <td colspan="5"><strong>Liability:</strong> <span class="betting__liability">0.00</span></td> </tr> </script> <script id="sportsbook_bet_row_tmpl" type="text/x-custom-template"> <tr class="${idx} bet-row"> <td><span class="betting__remove" data-idx="${idx}">Remove</span></td> <td> ${label} <input type="hidden" name="instructions[${idx}][selection_id]" value="${selection_id}"> </td> <td> <input type="hidden" name="instructions[${idx}][price]" value="${price}" class="betting__price"> ${display_price} </td> <td><input type="number" min="" name="instructions[${idx}][size]" placeholder="0" value="${size}" class="betting__stake" required></td> <td><span class="betting__profit">0.00</span></td> </tr> </script> <section class="live-betting"> <span id="gobet" class="gobet-anchor"></span> <article class="bet-now"> <span id="gobet-1.160663234" class="gobet-anchor"></span> <header class="bet-now__header"> <h3>UK - Party Leaders: UK - Party Leaders (Next Conservative Leader.)</h3> <span class="bet-slip-toggle"> <span class="bet-slip-toggle__show">Show</span> <span class="bet-slip-toggle__hide">Hide</span> </span> </header> <div class="bet-now__event"> <p>Sunday 31 July, 5.00pm</p> <p><a href="https://www.betfair.com/www/GBR/en/aboutUs/Rules.and.Regulations/">Market rules</a></p> </div> <div class="bet-now__market bet-now__market__no-user"> <table> <thead> <tr> <th></th> <th>Back</th> <th>Lay</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>Liz Truss</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Liz Truss" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1.07" data-side="back" data-selection_id="9475671">1.07</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Liz Truss" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1.08" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="9475671">1.08</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Rishi Sunak</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Rishi Sunak" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="13.5" data-side="back" data-selection_id="15684319">13.5</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Rishi Sunak" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="14" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="15684319">14</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Penny Mordaunt</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Penny Mordaunt" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1000" data-side="back" data-selection_id="11148977">1000</button> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Kemi Badenoch</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Kemi Badenoch" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1000" data-side="back" data-selection_id="15305626">1000</button> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Sajid Javid</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Sajid Javid" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1000" data-side="back" data-selection_id="8498834">1000</button> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Jacob Rees-Mogg</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Jacob Rees-Mogg" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1000" data-side="back" data-selection_id="5914388">1000</button> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Rory Stewart</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Rory Stewart" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1000" data-side="back" data-selection_id="4519424">1000</button> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>James Cleverly</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="James Cleverly" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1000" data-side="back" data-selection_id="4758163">1000</button> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Jeremy Hunt</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Jeremy Hunt" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1000" data-side="back" data-selection_id="4519444">1000</button> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Tom Tugendhat</td> <td> <button 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data-label="Gavin Williamson" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1000" data-side="back" data-selection_id="13260061">1000</button> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Matt Hancock</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Matt Hancock" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1000" data-side="back" data-selection_id="16745899">1000</button> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Michael Gove</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Michael Gove" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1000" data-side="back" data-selection_id="4519440">1000</button> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Priti Patel</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Priti Patel" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1000" data-side="back" data-selection_id="10393242">1000</button> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Ruth Davidson</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Ruth Davidson" 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Kwarteng</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Kwasi Kwarteng" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1000" data-side="back" data-selection_id="6762719">1000</button> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Suella Braverman</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Suella Braverman" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1000" data-side="back" data-selection_id="19629302">1000</button> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Nadhim Zahawi</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Nadhim Zahawi" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1000" data-side="back" data-selection_id="40980942">1000</button> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Jesse Norman</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Jesse Norman" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1000" data-side="back" data-selection_id="4519442">1000</button> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Theresa May</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Theresa May" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1000" data-side="back" data-selection_id="1136035">1000</button> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Nadine Dorries</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Nadine Dorries" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1000" data-side="back" data-selection_id="11434913">1000</button> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Tobias Ellwood</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Tobias Ellwood" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1000" data-side="back" data-selection_id="12760551">1000</button> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Steve Barclay</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Steve Barclay" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1000" data-side="back" data-selection_id="25173209">1000</button> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Julian Smith</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow 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data-price="1000" data-side="back" data-selection_id="46532571">1000</button> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Helen Whately</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Helen Whately" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1000" data-side="back" data-selection_id="4519453">1000</button> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Lucy Frazer</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Lucy Frazer" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1000" data-side="back" data-selection_id="46510396">1000</button> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Bim Afolami</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Bim Afolami" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1000" data-side="back" data-selection_id="20842078">1000</button> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Graham Brady</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Graham Brady" data-market_id="1.160663234" data-price="1000" data-side="back" 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