Batley and Spen By-Election Odds: Tories backed to take another chunk of 'red wall'

  • Max Liu
  • 3:00 min read
UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson
The Conservatives are the early favourites in Batley and Spen

There's no let-up in the UK politics betting with a by-election on the horizon in the Yorkshire constituency of Batley and Spen. Max Liu updates us on the early odds...

"The Tories are 1.321/3 to win the seat with the incumbent party Labour 3.39/4 to hold on to it."

The Conservatives are the early favourites on the Betfair Exchange to win the Batley and Spen by-election.

Bettors are confident that Boris Johnson's party can follow up its by-election success in Hartlepool last week and cause more pain for embattled Labour leader Keir Starmer.

The Tories are 1.321/3 to win the seat with the incumbent party Labour 3.39/4 to hold on to it.

The by-election has been called because the constituency's MP, Tracey Brabin, was elected as the West Yorkshire Metro Mayor last week.

A win for the Conservatives in Batley and Spen, which has been Labour since 1997, would add to the sense that the party are changing the political map of Britain and are capable of winning anywhere.

Labour won by around 3,500 votes from the Tories at the 2019 general election - a similar majority to the one they held in Hartlepool until last week. That was obliterated by a 16% swing from Labour to Conservative.

Keir Starmer Labour 956.jpg

These are dark times for Labour. The party was thrown into internal warfare at the weekend when Starmer sacked his deputy Angela Rayner as party chair. On Monday, he was forced to concede power to Rayner after an outcry among shadow cabinet members and the wider party.

She is 6.25/1 to be the next Labour leader behind current favourite Andy Burnham 4.67/2 - although Burnham, who was re-elected as Mayor of Manchester last week with an emphatic victory, said yesterday he has no desire to return to Westminster.

The Tories, meanwhile, are confident that they can consolidate their grip on power. They're 2.0811/10 to win another majority at the next general election.

No date has been set for the by-election in Batley and Spen yet although 22 July has been talked about. We will have more updates and analysis in the build-up as well as our regular politics betting coverage.

UK - By-Elections: UK - By-Elections (Batley and Spen By-Election)

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