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class="entry_header"> <h1 class="entry_header__title">UK General Election: Labour majority backed after West Lancs by-election</h1> <ul class="entry_header__meta"> <li><a href="https://betting.betfair.com/authors/max-liu/">Max Liu</a></li> <li><time datetime="2023-02-10">10 February 2023</time></li> <li>3:00 min read</li> </ul> <script type="application/ld+json"> { "@context": "http://schema.org", "@type": "NewsArticle", "headline": "UK General Election: Labour majority backed after West Lancs by-election", "name": "UK General Election: Labour majority backed after West Lancs by-election", "description": "Labour majority at the next general shortens on Betfair after West Lancashire by-election sees 10% swing to Keir Starmer's party...", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/politics/general-election/uk-general-election-odds-labour-majority-backed-after-west-lancs-by-election-100223-204.html", "mainEntityOfPage": "https://betting.betfair.com/politics/general-election/uk-general-election-odds-labour-majority-backed-after-west-lancs-by-election-100223-204.html", "datePublished": "2023-02-10T13:20:00+00:00", "dateModified": "2023-02-14T15:37:00+00:00", "articleBody": "Labour majority at the next general shortens on Betfair after West Lancashire by-election sees 10% swing to Keir Starmer's party... Labour odds-on to win majority By-election swing spells wipeout for Tories Sunak 4/1 to leave this year Labour were [1.61] on the Betfair Exchange to win a majority at the next general election after a dramatic swing to them in Thursday's West Lancashire by-election. It was the third by-election Labour have won since Rishi Sunak became prime minister and, while it was a safe Labour seat, the 10.2% swing to the party will ring alarm bells on Tory benches. Labour are [1.22] on the Exchange to win the most seats at the next general election, which is heavy odds-on to take place next year, and Keir Starmer is [1.44] to be the UK's next prime minister. Tories heading for election disaster After the win, Starmer said: "The message from West Lancashire today is clear - after 13 years of Tory decline, it's time for a Labour government." With the UK potentially just 15 months away from a general election it is difficult to argue with Starmer's view. With Labour polling at around 20 points ahead of the Conservatives our politics expert Paul Krishnamurty wrote this week that the Tories are heading for a worse result than in 1997 at the next election. No let up in Sunak's struggles Last night's result adds to the pressure on Sunak as he grapples to connect with the electorate. He is [5.0] to be replaced as Conservative leader this year (they had two changes of leader in 2022) and evens to go in 2024. The price on a Labour majority has shortened since the beginning of 2023 as a series of scandals have hit the Tory party, resulting in the resignation of Nadhim Zahawi and an investigation into the deputy prime minister Dominic Raab.", "image":[ "https://betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer thumbs up.728x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer thumbs up.547x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer thumbs up.410x410.jpg" ], "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Betting.Betfair", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://betting.cdnppb.net/assets/img/betfairlogoblack.ea48b4e0.png" }, "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/" }, "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Max Liu", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/authors/max_liu" } } </script> </header> <div class="two_column_layout"> <main class="entry_main"> <div class="entry_img"> <img src="//betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer thumbs up.728x410.jpg" srcset="//betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer thumbs up.450x253.jpg 450w, //betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer thumbs up.600x338.jpg 600w, //betting.cdnppb.net/politics/Keir Starmer thumbs up.728x410.jpg 728w" alt="Labour leader Keir Starmer"> <figcaption class="entry_img__caption">Labour are odds-on to win the next general election</figcaption> </div> <div class="entry_actions"> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBGC01B10G30A&prod=90&rfr=2573">Join</a> </div> <div> <a class="button btn--market" data-market_full="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.167249195" href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.167249195">View market</a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--twitter"> <a 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href="https://t.me/share/url?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Fpolitics%2Fgeneral-election%2Fuk-general-election-odds-labour-majority-backed-after-west-lancs-by-election-100223-204.html&text=UK%20General%20Election%3A%20Labour%20majority%20backed%20after%20West%20Lancs%20by-election" target="_blank" title="Telegram"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--telegram">Telegram</span></a> </div> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="#betslip">View the Betslip</a> </div> </div> <div class="entry_body has-odds"> <div class="entry_body__intro"><p>Labour majority at the next general shortens on Betfair after West Lancashire by-election sees 10% swing to Keir Starmer's party...</p></div> <div class="entry_body__content"> <div class="editor"> <ul> <li> <h3><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.167249195"><strong>Labour odds-on to win majority</strong></a></h3> </li> <li> <h3><strong>By-election swing spells wipeout for Tories</strong></h3> </li> <li> <h3><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.205534173"><strong>Sunak 4/1 to leave this year</strong></a></h3> </li> <hr><p><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.167249195"><strong>Labour were <b class="inline_odds" title="8/13"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.61</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">8/13</span></b> on the Betfair Exchange to win a majority</strong></a> at the next general election after a dramatic swing to them in Thursday's West Lancashire by-election.</p><p>It was the third by-election Labour have won since <strong>Rishi Sunak</strong> became prime minister and, while it was a safe Labour seat, the <strong>10.2% swing</strong> to the party will ring alarm bells on Tory benches.</p><p><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.167249009"><strong>Labour are <b class="inline_odds" title="2/9"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.22</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">2/9</span></b> on the Exchange to win the most seats</strong></a> at the next general election, which is heavy odds-on to take place next year, and <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.205534101">Keir Starmer is <b class="inline_odds" title="4/9"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.44</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">4/9</span></b></a> to be the UK's next prime minister.</p><h2>Tories heading for election disaster</h2><p></p><p>After the win, Starmer said: "<span>The message from West Lancashire today is clear - after 13 years of Tory decline, it's time for a Labour government."</span></p><p><span>With the UK <strong>potentially just 15 months away from a general election</strong> it is difficult to argue with Starmer's view. </span></p><p><span>With Labour polling at around 20 points ahead of the Conservatives our politics expert Paul Krishnamurty wrote this week that the <a href="https://betting.betfair.com/politics/uk-politics-sunaks-tories-are-on-course-for-a-disaster-worse-than-1997-050223-171.html">Tories are heading for a worse result than in 1997</a> at the next election.</span></p><h2><span>No let up in Sunak's struggles</span></h2><p><span></span></p><p><span>Last night's result adds to the pressure on Sunak as he grapples to connect with the electorate. </span></p><p><span><img alt="RishiSunakSpeach1280.jpg" src="//betting.cdnppb.net/politics/RishiSunakSpeach1280.600x338.jpg" width="1280" height="720" class="mt-image-none" loading="lazy"></span></p><p><span><a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.205534173"><strong>He is <b class="inline_odds" title="4/1"><span class="inline_odds__main">5.0</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">4/1</span></b> to be replaced as Conservative leader this year</strong></a> (they had two changes of leader in 2022) and evens to go in 2024.</span></p><p><span>The price on a <strong>Labour majority has shortened since the beginning of 2023 </strong>as a series of scandals have hit the Tory party, resulting in the resignation of Nadhim Zahawi and an investigation into the deputy prime minister Dominic Raab.</span></p></ul> </div> </div> <section class="betting_copy"> <div class="editor"> <h2 class="promo-name bf-sportsbook" data-qa="promo-name">New customers can get £20 in free bets!</h2> <p>New customers can earn £20 in free bets when they place a £5 bet on the Sportsbook after signing up. <a href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBHC01B5G20">T&Cs apply.</a></p> <section class="promo__desc"> <div class="description "> <section class="promo__desc"> <div class="description"></div> </section> </div> </section> </div> </section> <div id="betslip" class="entry_body__extras"> <script id="bet_row_tmpl" type="text/x-custom-template"> <tr class="${idx} bet-row"> <td><span class="betting__remove" data-idx="${idx}">Remove</span></td> <td> ${label} <input type="hidden" name="instructions[${idx}][selection_id]" value="${selection_id}"> <input type="hidden" name="instructions[${idx}][side]" value="${side}"> </td> <td> <input type="number" min="1.0" step="0.01" name="instructions[${idx}][price]" value="${price}" class="betting__price" required> </td> <td><input type="number" min="" name="instructions[${idx}][size]" placeholder="0" value="${size}" class="betting__stake" required></td> <td><span class="betting__profit">0.00</span></td> </tr> </script> <script id="liability_row_tmpl" type="text/x-custom-template"> <tr class="${idx} liability-row"> <td colspan="5"><strong>Liability:</strong> <span class="betting__liability">0.00</span></td> </tr> </script> <script id="sportsbook_bet_row_tmpl" type="text/x-custom-template"> <tr class="${idx} bet-row"> <td><span class="betting__remove" data-idx="${idx}">Remove</span></td> <td> ${label} <input type="hidden" name="instructions[${idx}][selection_id]" value="${selection_id}"> </td> <td> <input type="hidden" name="instructions[${idx}][price]" value="${price}" class="betting__price"> ${display_price} </td> <td><input type="number" min="" name="instructions[${idx}][size]" placeholder="0" value="${size}" class="betting__stake" required></td> <td><span class="betting__profit">0.00</span></td> </tr> </script> <section class="live-betting"> <span id="gobet" class="gobet-anchor"></span> <article class="bet-now"> <span id="gobet-1.167249195" class="gobet-anchor"></span> <header class="bet-now__header"> <h3>UK - Next General Election: UK - Next General Election (Overall Majority)</h3> <span class="bet-slip-toggle"> <span class="bet-slip-toggle__show">Show</span> <span class="bet-slip-toggle__hide">Hide</span> </span> </header> <div class="bet-now__event"> <p>Thursday 2 May, 7.00am</p> <p><a href="https://www.betfair.com/www/GBR/en/aboutUs/Rules.and.Regulations/">Market rules</a></p> </div> <div class="bet-now__market bet-now__market__no-user"> <table> <thead> <tr> <th></th> <th>Back</th> <th>Lay</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>No Overall Majority</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="No Overall Majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="5.4" data-side="back" data-selection_id="1076592">5.4</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="No Overall Majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="5.8" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="1076592">5.8</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Conservative Majority</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Conservative Majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="12" data-side="back" data-selection_id="1405188">12</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Conservative Majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="12.5" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="1405188">12.5</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Labour Majority</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Labour Majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="1.35" data-side="back" data-selection_id="1405187">1.35</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Labour Majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="1.36" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="1405187">1.36</button> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Liberal Democrat majority</td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--back" data-label="Liberal Democrat majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="500" data-side="back" data-selection_id="12793562">500</button> </td> <td> <button type="button" class="betnow betnow--lay" data-label="Liberal Democrat majority" data-market_id="1.167249195" data-price="1000" data-side="lay" data-selection_id="12793562">1000</button> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </div> <div class="bet-now__controls"> <div class="bet-now__controls_up bet-now__controls_up--off">Up</div> <div class="bet-now__controls_down">Down</div> </div> <div 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