Next Tory Leader Odds: Boris drifts, Gove lurks and Rory walks

Boris Johnson and Michael Gove
Johnson (left) and Gove are the leading candidates

Has Boris Johnson been struck with the curse of the front-runner? Is Michael Gove poised to usurp him? And, erm, have you smoked opium, Rory Stewart? Max Liu updates us on the Tory leadership odds.

"Michael Gove's odds have shortened and he's now second favourite at 4.94/1. Andrea Leadsom and Dominic Raab are both next in the betting at 7.87/1."

The odds on Boris Johnson becoming the next leader of the Conservative Party are on the drift and, while he still remains the favourite, the prices on other candidates are shortening.

Johnson is 3.613/5 to get the job he's coveted all his life, having drifted from 2.56/4 a week ago. The former-Mayor of London is regarded by many in his party as being the only candidate with the kind of star quality that could help them win the next general election.

However, there's been a concerted effort from his rivals - including Sajid Javid 40.039/1 and Jeremy Hunt 19.5 - this week to undermine him.

Michael Gove - recommended by both Paul Krishnamurty and I - has seen his odds shorten and he's now second favourite at 4.94/1. Andrea Leadsom and Dominic Raab are both next in the betting at 7.87/1.

Bettors unmoved by #RoryWalks

Arguably the story of the Tory leadership contest so far has been Rory Stewart's #RoryWalks bid to get out into the country, talk with and, crucially, listen to members of the public. The international development secretary has got a lot of attention on Twitter, although on Thursday he was forced to say he regretted smoking opium at a wedding in Iran. "I shouldn't have done it," said Stewart who seems like an interesting and amiable guy (for a Tory).

Unfortunately for Stewart, bettors are so far unconvinced that Stewart's walking tour will improve his chances of becoming Prime Minister. At the weekend, Stewart was 19.5 to win the contest whereas now he's 20.019/1. Still, the road is long.

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