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The French Connection: Over-priced Bury can complete Saturday's treble

The French Connection RSS / Andrew French / 04 February 2010 /

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Martin Taylor has swapped his Birmingham City colours for the yellow of Watford, and his presence could be just what the Hornets' defence needs

Martin Taylor has swapped his Birmingham City colours for the yellow of Watford, and his presence could be just what the Hornets' defence needs

Back Watford @ [3.55]; Back Leyton Orient @ [2.32]; Back Bury @ [2.67]; The Treble pays approximately 23.4

Andrew French is back with another helping of Multiples betting advice, and this week he can see wins for Watford in the Championship, Orient in League One, and 'over-priced' Bury in League Two.


Leg 1: Watford at [3.55] to beat Barnsley

The key to betting in the Championship is spotting when teams are either entering or exiting a run - seldom does any side maintain either good or bad form for too long. Therefore, I think now might be the time to get with Watford, who have finally acquired the missing cog in their back four by signing giant Birmingham centre half Martin Taylor. He made his debut as the Hornets beat Sheffield United 3-0 in midweek, ending a six-game winless run.

The Hornets have not won on the road since mid-October, but such was their need for a defensive presence that the arrival of Taylor could be the key to ending that run. They visit Barnsley on Saturday who have improved significantly on their early-season form but are still erratic - they followed a 1-0 defeat at fellow strugglers Reading with a resounding 4-1 win at Preston in midweek. At [3.55], Watford are worth chancing.


Leg 2: Leyton Orient at [2.32] to beat Brighton

Leyton Orient fans were eulogising on radio phone-ins after their side had hammered Bristol Rovers 5-0 in midweek. It was a win that stretched their undefeated run to four games and gave them back-to-back home successes. They host Brighton at the weekend, who had suggested they might be able to pull clear of the League One danger zone with a couple of good away wins, but since then they have only managed a draw at basement boys Stockport and were then beaten at home by Millwall. Hopefully the O's fans are right and that midweek romp is a sign of what is about to follow - at [2.32], I'm happy to include them.


Leg 3: Bury at [2.67] to beat Bradford

Every now and then you spot a match where the odds just look wrong, and that is how I am feeling about the Bradford v Bury game in League Two. Bradford have not won at home since October 24, and the six league games at Valley Parade since then have seen them draw three and lose three. Only a fortnight ago they lost 2-1 at Bury in the reverse of this fixture, a result that helped the Shakers build a run of four consecutive wins.

Alan Knill's side are unbeaten in three away games and two of those were wins, including a fine success at promotion-chasing Bournemouth. Considering all that, for Bradford to be favourites seems peculiar - but that means we can back Bury at [2.67], which I will be doing to complete the treble.


*The Treble pays around 23.4