Galway Day Five Tips: Mine Now well handicapped for chasing test
Another packed evening ahead at Ballybrit and Alan Dudman is on hand to preview the Flat action and the feature handicap over fences...
"He went on to win a Pertemps Qualifier at Leopardstown last December from 135. The fact he runs over fences in a handicap for the first time from 125 makes him a serious contender from that rating - especially with Galway form."
17:10 Galway - Target O'Brien filly for low trade
Reverting back to an evening for Friday and we start with a 2yo Maiden on a real varied day. And whilst I understand betting in these sorts of races is not for everyone - we might just have a chance to lay something at a really short price.
Coral Beach is the name and finishing second seems to be her game. The filly is 0-6 so far and is racking up the In-Play losses with defeats at 1.50, 1.30 and 1.23. For good measure she was done by a nose last month at Fairyhouse at the basement price of 1.01.
She looked thoroughly ungenuine in that race and she doesn't convince at all with the way she carries her head. Placing in some ultra-short cheap lays would be my recommendation despite the fact she has plenty in her favour - including the draw and her official rating of 80.
Coral Beach comes out of the same race at Fairyhouse in which Arabic Channel and Pepperoni Pete finished fourth and fifth respectively. I fancy Pepperoni Pete to turn the tables on those two as he shaped very well on his debut at 6f. The extra furlong will suit as he stayed on quite nicely, and Lyons has enjoyed a couple of winners this week with Espere and Zander.
17:45 Galway - Draw unkind once again
The Galway draw gods have been turning their thumbs down to Dermot Weld this week - yet again one of his fillies is parked out wide for this 1m Handicap. There was the great Donna Summer song "Love's Unkind" (so much better than Sophie Lawrence's version), soon we might have Weld's song for this week as "Draw's Unkind".
Hasimiyya is the latest, and she'll do well to win from stall 13. It's an open race at a low grade, but this Aga Khan filly is the most interesting in the field by some way and she is worth backing. Weld had a winner too on Thursday.
She held an Irish Oaks entry earlier in the season, but hasn't looked up to that sort of standard at all and was well and truly beaten in the Oaks Trial at Naas in June. She appeared there after running in a couple of races at the top tracks Leopardstown and the Curragh.
Weld has gone for the visor for her handicap debut today, and 67 is such a low mark that I would be surprised if she couldn't figure here. It's just a shame about that draw again.
Another notebook filly is William McCreery's Mountjubilee. She has shaped well in two starts at Bellewstown and Limerick and certainly has ability. She is drawn low and goes handicapping for the first time from 65.
18:15 Galway - Queen looks vulnerable to a pair of dangers
Another Maiden race, this time over 1m4f, and another race to have a look at laying an Aidan O'Brien filly.
Queen Iseult sets a fair standard at 75, but is surely beatable judged on her six runs to date. She usually makes the running and has been racing over 1m2f and 1m4f, but she's had six chances to win, yet she still hasn't got her head in front.
If I see a horse in these sort of races with a mid-70 rating, my first thought is what can we beat them with?
Dermot Weld has an obvious contender in Lure Of The Sea. She has an impeccable pedigree and shaped well on quick ground last month on her first start. The step up in trip should be in her favour and she is drawn in 7.
She's well found in the market, though, at [2.08].
The other to note is She Got Fast, and she caught the eye over 1m4f for her debut at the Curragh. It was a bit of a stop-start race but she stayed on well once she got the hang of things. Those two could make Queen Iseult work hard and test her mettle - especially if O'Brien's filly makes the running again.
18:50 Galway - Mawaany the play for Lyons and Keane
Plenty of decent handicap form comes to the table for this cracker over 1m4f - as you would expect for a Premier one. Once again Willie Mullins has an ultra-strong hand with Limini and Gustavus Vassa. The former turns out again after her fine comeback in the Amateur Riders' race on Tuesday and gets to run off the same mark of 89. She looked miles ahead of that rating and wasn't short of pace either, so there are no problems with the drop down in trip to 1m4f for this.
That was her first outing for over year, and that's enough to shy away from backing her at 6/4. It's worth noting the final couple of furlongs in that 2m contest on Tuesday produced some quick sectionals for the winner Uradel. Not bad for stayers in yielding ground.
My selection here is the thoroughly likeable Mawaany, and he surely has got to go close following his second in the race 12 months ago.
He finished behind Whiskey Sour on that occasion but absolutely tanked through the race from stall 14 and sat handy for the whole way. Indeed, that travelling style of his is the main feature of how he races - and he travels like he is still well handicapped from his current mark in the 90s.
Mawaany improved nearly 20lb last term with a string of solid runs in decent handicaps so he deserves to pick up a decent pot.
The Ger Lyons' 5yo was a little unlucky last time behind the 101-rated Lucius Tiberius at Leopardstown as he met a bit of trouble and once again travelled very well off a steady pace, but nonetheless it was a fine run and he's clearly in good nick in carrying over his form of last season.
He's versatile with the going and he is adaptable from 1m2f to 1m4f. It will be interesting to see what jockey Colin Keane does here from stall 10, as he might need delivering at the very last moment as he was committed too early in this race in 2017.
19:55 Galway - Mine Now to make amends after last year
These races are fiercely competitive and ever-so-tough to win, for not only punters, but also the owners. So imagine the hard luck for connections of Mine Now who went agonisingly close at Galway in 2017 when he finished second in a big handicap hurdle. His jockey put up 2lb overweight and he hit the penultimate flight. Had it not been for those two factors, he probably would have won.
He ran over hurdles on that occasion from 130 and he went on to win a Pertemps Qualifier at Leopardstown last December from 135. The fact he runs over fences in a handicap for the first time from 125 makes him a serious contender from that rating - especially with Galway form.
His Leopardstown win was boosted by the third Glenloe - who went on to finish second at Cheltenham last March - unfortunately Mine Now didn't fire at all in the same Pertemps Final.
The 10yo is only small - which might be the reason why he only cost connections 750 euros. However, he's a real fighter and scrapper with a great attitude, and I rate his chances at 10/1. He might not have the chaser's physique, but his nimble nature could serve him well whizzing around the bends, and he has no problems staying 3m.
Minimum Bet Guarantee for ALL races from Galway and Goodwood
Betfair's 'minimum bet guarantee' on all Class 1 and 2 races in the UK and Ireland - which means all customers are able to bet to win a minimum of £500 - has been extended to cover all races from Galway and Goodwood this week. T&Cs apply.
Lay Coral Beach @ [1.11] in-running in the 17:10 at Galway
Back Hasimiyya @ [10.0] in the 19:45 at Galway
Back Mawaany @ [10.0] in the 18:50 at Galway
Back Mine Now @ [11.0] in the 19:55 at Galway