Fairyhouse Betting: Tips for this weekend's Hatton's Grace meeting

Has Tony Keenan persuaded you into a bet at Fairyhouse?

Tony Keenan provides his weekly missive from across the Irish Sea with an in-depth look at Sunday's action at Fairyhouse

"Dedigout remains with potential over hurdles, his only defeat over smaller obstacles coming when a sick horse, and while perhaps flattered by other horses making their effort too soon on the Lismullen, he should improve for that run. There's not much between him and some of the rest and there are fewer doubts surrounding his chance." 

You'll see a rare bird at Fairyhouse this weekend with the Hatton's Grace card due to be run on ground described as good to yielding, yielding in places, at time of writing. The meeting has been described as attritional by some trainers in the past, particularly the Drinmore, but it shouldn't prove so this time.

Last season's Supreme was the strongest in many a year and its form will be tested in open company this weekend with My Tent Or Yours running at Newcastle and Jezki a short price for the Hatton's Grace. He looks tight at around 2.01/1 as the step up to two-and-a-half miles may not suit; there is some stamina in his pedigree (half to three-miler Jetson but also faster types) but he has looked all about speed so far. It was a poor call not to run in the Morgiana with Hurricane Fly below form and while he is my long-term Champion Hurdle fancy, he is one to oppose now. 

Zaidpour won the race last year but it was a weaker renewal and good ground is against him. Rule The World has his chance but it is a concern that he has missed a race since his last win given his history of injury and that form hasn't worked out. Preference is for Dedigout who looks a big price at 9.08/1. He remains with potential over hurdles, his only defeat over smaller obstacles coming when a sick horse, and while perhaps flattered by other horses making their effort too soon on the Lismullen, he should improve for that run. There's not much between him and some of the rest and there are fewer doubts surrounding his chance. 

Gigginstown has a big chance of taking the Drinmore too though it could be with the second string Road To Riches - hopefully he won't be one of their multiple declarations that is taken out on the day. Don Cossack could be a little shorter than his current price and will like coming back in trip, but the ground may not suit and more importantly he looked to throw it in last time having gone much the best. 

Sizing Rio is another that is too short while Art Of Logistics has won a pair of poor races albeit impressively. Road To Riches, on the other hand, won a deep race at Naas earlier this monthand looks one to hit early in the season when his stable strikes hot. If there is to be an upset, it could be Gold Bullet. He jumped brilliantly on debut and is one that has improved for fences, backed as if that was the case last time, and while not so good as some of these over hurdles, it looks more a case that he wasn't given a chance to do so. He's worth a saver. 

If you wanted to back graded novice hurdle winners this autumn, the Champion Bumper at Punchestown was the place to start, both The Liquidator and Apache Stronghold emerging from that race to win such events easily. I expect that trend to continue with Gilt Shadow in the Royal Bond. He simply looks the best horse in the race, shaping really well on hurdles debut, winning impressively and better than the bare form, trapped wide and keen throughout. 

The For Auction form, represented by Minella Foru and Very Wood, looks weak and the former really should have won further given the latter did everything wrong. Gambling Girl is interesting, but her main market rival disappointed last time and that race may not have taken much winning while the Willie Mullins contingent have to step up on what they've done, but will be priced as if they've already done so.

Ireland has a dismal record in the Hennessy but Lord Windermere has his chance on Saturday and given how he idled in the RSA there could be improvement in him. There are doubts with him however: the RSA form is poor, his jockey has no experience of riding the track and his trainer talking him up has made him plenty short enough in recent days.

Preference is for Merry King who shaped well on his return at Ascot and looks ripe for the extended three miles here. He ran a cracker when second as a novice to the course specialist Cannington Brook in Haydock's Tommy Whittle and his form with Rolling Aces at this track reads well. He may be more of a National type but few will be staying on better.

Recommended Bets
Back Dedigout in the Hatton's Grace
Back Road To Riches and Gold Bullet in the Drinmore
Back Gilt Shadow in the Royal Bond
Back Merry King in the Hennessy

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