The Dubai World Cup Carnival continues on Thursday and our man John Sheeran returns with three recommended bets from the top class card at Meydan...
"He will likely be third favourite in the market but he is much better berthed this time up in stall three and I think he could sit a perfect trip and get first run on his aforementioned stablemates."
Adventurous worth chancing against hot pot
The 15:40 at Meydan on Thursday is likely to have a prohibitive favourite in the Doug Watson-trained Kimbear. He looks to have everything in his favour in what looks a relatively weak heat. However, it is a handicap and he has to give 11lbs and upwards away to the field so it may be worth looking elsewhere.
In what is a moderate race, the Saleem bin Ghadayer-trained Adventurous appeals for small stakes. The horse has everything to prove on dirt and has mixed messages on breeding as to whether or not he will act on it. He has been noticeably sharp from the gates on most of his starts and was tried over a mile on turf on his first UAE run and stable debut. He gets a rider upgrade with Mickael Barzalona taking over, has a turf to dirt angle and drops back to his optimum trip.
If he can break as he normally does, he should be able to grab the lead and at likely double figure prices, he has some upside. A saver in the betting without Kimbear market would also appeal.
Desert could be a Force against more-fancied stablemate
The 17.25 is the 95-104 8f dirt handicap. Drafted will be favoured and rightly so. He is progressing fast and although he has had two ideal trips behind speed duels, he has been well able to take advantage when the opportunities presented themselves. The only problem with him is he is likely to be around the 2/1 mark.
I'll look to oppose him with his stablemate Desert Force who at first look appears to be gone at the game. However, from a really good draw in stall four, he should be able to grab a prominent position and possibly grab the rail. He really is an all or nothing type so if he can't lead we are in big trouble but I expect Sam Hitchcott to be ultra-aggressive early and he could take them all the way if able to dominate through the early stages.
He looks a small bet at anything like his forecast odds of 33/1.
To a lesser extent Ross also appeals in this race as an each-way bet to nothing at double figures or above, he usually runs well enough second time up and can be forgiven a poor effort on reappearance behind the talented Boynton. If Drafted is able to get in to the race, then it should also set up well for Ross and under an expected typically astute ride from Adrie De Vries he should run well.
Walton can come out top of Godolphin runners
The last race on the card is the 18:00 and is a 12f turf handicap. As per usual, Godolphin hold the key with five of the first six in the betting. I couldn't put anyone off Gold Star or Eynhallow but their prices are not likely to offer any value.
I'll go against them with Walton Street who had a really poor draw when beaten just a short head by Gold Star last time. He will likely be third favourite in the market but he is much better berthed this time up in stall three and I think he could sit a perfect trip and get first run on his aforementioned stablemates.
He travelled noticeably well when wide throughout three weeks ago and although enjoying a much cleaner run that the others, he had to cover more ground than them and his much better draw could be enough to swing this race in his favour. He looks a solid bet at anything north of 3/1.
Back Kimbear @ 11.010/1 or bigger - 15:40 Meydan
Back Desert Force @ 34.033/1 or bigger - 17:25 Meydan
Back Walton Street @ 4.03/1 or bigger - 18:00 Meydan