Wood a Golden bet in small-field handicap
The 15:05 at Meydan on Thursday is a 12f turf handicap with an unusually small field as just six go to post. Best Solution aims to reverse form with Golden Wood from January 11 when the French challenger proved too good when coming with a late and wide run under the Midas touch of Christophe Soumillion to win handily from a potentially useful sort in Gold Star (who has gone on to frank the form subsequently).
Although Golden Wood is 3lbs worse off at the weights, I fully expect him to confirm the form.
The smaller field will likely mean that the pace is somewhat tepid but Golden Wood proved a moderately run race was no issue when winning the last day and looking at the sectional data of that race, I don't think a 3lb swing will be enough to prevent the Nicholas Caullery charge from extending his perfect record at Meydan to three from three.
Best Solution may well come on for his reappearance but I was disappointed he couldn't convert a guilt edged opportunity given the advantage of track position so the prospect of the same scenario unfolding is less of a concern than it would normally be. I think Golden Wood is a solid bet at around 2.77/4.
Jordan can be a good Sport in sprint handicap
The 6f sprint run at 16:15 features plenty of household names and is likely to be another quickly run race.
The Fawzi Nass-trained Jordan Sport (who was with David Simcock and Richard Fahey in the UK) has excelled throughout the 2018 carnival and is unlucky not to be coming in here off the back of two wins. He ran a fine race under the circumstances on his stable debut, three runs back, when drawn on the wrong side and shaping better than the bare form when 5l behind the speedball that is Ertijaal.
He was then an unlucky loser when badly hampered at the gates and just failing by a neck to get to the re-opposing Dutch Masterpiece before making no mistake up to this trip when beating a solid yardstick in Steady Pace.
A 2lb increase from the handicapper is more than fair, he is well drawn and should be able to grab the lead and make his own pace, if he gets away with decent fractions, he should take a fair bit of catching and at 5.04/1 or bigger he appeals as a decent proposition.
Scenery the Natural selection in two mile handicap
The 17.25 is a turf handicap over two miles. Natural Scenery should prove very hard to beat here, he shaped like the best horse in the race when beaten just 2l behind Los Barbados and Prince Of Aran over 14f last time.
He was given too much to do in a slowly run race but was finishing best of all and with the extra trip, benefit of a run under his belt and a rider upgrade with Soumillion taking over, I fully expect him to turn the tables. He will likely be plenty short enough given connections but at 2.111/10 he should deliver.