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Lincoln Handicap: How the race may unfold

Simon Rowlands examines the pace angles in the Lincoln

The indications are that there are fewer pace-forcers than might be expected (3 as opposed to about 5 customarily for a field of this size) and that what "pace" there is may be concentrated in the mid-to-high stalls...

As a result of the draw for the Lincoln Handicap at Doncaster on Saturday, connections and punters may be wondering how the shape of the race is likely to be affected...

The following represents the predicted run styles of the horses - sorted by draw - based on their prominence or otherwise in recent races. 
 
The conclusions are given numerically as EPFs (early position figures) and graphically. A figure of 1 would indicate a dyed-in-the-wool front runner, while a figure of 5 would indicate a horse that habitually races at the back. 
 
lincoln pace map.png
 The indications are that there are fewer pace-forcers than might be expected (3 as opposed to about 5 customarily for a field of this size) and that what "pace" there is may be concentrated in the mid-to-high stalls.
 
There are doubts as to whether racing at Doncaster will go ahead on Saturday, due to the threat of snow and frost, with a cancellation currently trading at 1.7 on Betfair. 

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Simon Rowlands

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