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Timeform UK SmartPlays: Friday 4 October

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Timeform pick out their best back, lay and smart stat bets on Friday...

"...in a close-knit contest could be one to oppose on value grounds..."

Timeform on Herculean

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Mubakker - 16:55 Ascot

Handicap debutant Mubakker could have been let in lightly after a couple of impressive victories, including a wide-margin success at Kempton last month. The $500,000 purchase looked a smart prospect on his first start of the year, making up for lost time with an eight-length victory. He travelled strongly, quickened clear and it would be little surprise were he capable of competing at a higher level than this.

Lay
Herculean - 14:00 Ascot

This race is restricted to horses with a mark of 90 or lower, and Herculean is one of six to creep into the contest on the ceiling rating. He has at times looked like he could be better than a mark of 90, but he is starting to develop a disappointing profile, losing on all three starts this season despite being sent off at a top price of 13-8. He had a big reputation, which meant being sent off at prohibitive odds, and in a close-knit contest could be one to oppose on value grounds, for all the latent ability is there.

Smart Stat
Into The Zone - 19:00 Southwell

£106.90 - Simon Crisford's profit to a £1 level stake when having one runner at a Flat meeting

Simon Crisford boasts a staggering level-stake profit of £106.90 when sending only one runner to a Flat meeting, which makes his handicap debutant Into The Zone of even greater interest. A mark of 70 is not especially generous based on what Into The Zone has shown in maidens, but he did shape with a degree of promise at Chelmsford on his penultimate start, has a decent pedigree and his trainer has a £16 level-stake profit at Southwell.

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