Ryan Moore on the York Ebor Festival: A look ahead to the key races on Ladies Day
Thursday is Ladies Day at York, with the big race being the Yorkshire Oaks, and here with his exclusive views on that contest and some of the key supporting races is Betfair Ambassador Ryan Moore...
"She has been running well against the boys, has already been second in three Group 1s this season, and nothing in here has been in that deep. She is a Breeders' Cup Turf winner and the track will suit her, and if she runs to her best then I would expect her to win."
- Ryan Moore on Found in the Yorkshire Oaks
14:30 York - Lowther Stakes
Fair Eva will clearly be very difficult to beat here. I rode her when she beat Nations Alexander on her debut at Haydock and I was suitably impressed, and she did what I expected her to do at Ascot last time. She looked every inch a high-class filly there in winning that race in a fast time - the runner-up, Kilmah, was beaten 4 lengths and she wasn't far behind Roly Poly in the Cherry Hinton before that, so it is clearly very strong form - and it is hard to see her getting beaten.
But this is a better race, and in Queen Kindly she meets an exciting filly in her own right. She ran an excellent race when a close third in the Albany at Royal Ascot, and 6f suits her.
Roly Poly is tough and improving, and she keeps on coming back for more. She dug it out well when beating Magical Fire, Nations Alexander and Kilmah in the Cherry Hinton last time, and fast ground suits her best. But she has a 3lb penalty for that win, and it is hard to see her, or anything else, troubling the favourite to be honest.
15:40 York - Yorkshire Oaks
Found brings the best form into the race. She has been running well against the boys, has already been second in three Group 1s this season, and nothing in here has been in that deep. She is a Breeders' Cup Turf winner and the track will suit her, and if she runs to her best then I would expect her to win.
However, Aidan has said that this is just a starting point back for her after she was given a break after her second in the Prince Of Wales's Stakes at Ascot two months ago - she had a pretty busy start to the season - and she is unlikely to be cherry ripe and at her best. She will be ready to start back, but Aidan will have left a bit to work on, so that gives her rivals hope.
Even Song wasn't herself for whatever reason in the Irish Oaks last time and I would put a line through that form. She is a filly that I have rated all season and if she comes to back to that Ribblesdale form, a race she won pretty easily, then you can't write her off at all.
But I think if Found does underperform to a significant degree then Seventh Heaven and Queen's Trust are the most likely beneficiaries.
Seventh Heaven travelled well when winning the Irish Oaks in emphatic style last time, and I think this flatter track will suit her, too. She doesn't have the best draw in 10 but she will be ridden with restraint so that's not such a big issue. We may still not have seen the best of her.
Queen's Trust is another filly who I have a lot of time for. She didn't get the best of luck in running when I rode her at Newbury first time out, and she again didn't get the run of the race when a strong-finishing fourth in the Ribbesdale.
She confirmed that she was a filly still coming forward when an excellent second to Minding in the Nassau and the step back up to 1m4f will definitely suit. She is also in good order at home.
Found at her best will take a lot of beating, but if she does need this after a break then I think Seventh Heaven and Queen's Trust are the two most likely to benefit. Below the favourite though, it is quite a deep and competitive race, so a few will be fancying their chances.
16:20 York - Galtres Stakes
This looks a winnable race and a good opportunity for Abingdon. It is competitive but there is no one horse in here that sets too daunting a form standard, and she could be the one to stamp her authority on the race.
The problem is that she carries a 4lb penalty for her Listed win over 1m2f at Newbury for me in June, but she is lightly-raced and confirmed that she was progressing when a good second to Fireglow over this trip at Newmarket last time.
The boss's horses are in great nick and I also think this flatter track will suit her, too. Like Queen's Trust, she is in good form at home and fast ground clearly suits.