Ryan Moore on the 1,000 Guineas: My views on Bracelet and her main rivals

Ryan rides Bracelet for Aidan O'Brien in the 1,000 Guineas
Ryan rides Bracelet for Aidan O'Brien in the 1,000 Guineas

The first fillies classic of the season looks a very competitive affair says Ryan Moore, and here you can read the Betfair Ambassador's exclusive thoughts on his ride Bracelet and her main rivals...

Ryan Moore on Bracelet;

"Like Tapestry, she is bred to want further than a mile, and she needs to step up a lot on that reappearance win to take this, but she is unexposed, has class and gears, and I can see her going well."

It honestly wouldn't surprise me were I to name 10 runners in this year's 1,000 Guineas in this column, and fail to mention the winner, as it is easily the most competitive renewal that I can remember, even with the recent withdrawals of My Titania, Amazing Maria, J Wonder and Kiyoshi.

Kiyoshi, withdrawn due to lameness earlier this afternoon, is perhaps the most significant absentee given that her Albany win arguably made her the form horse in here. And I made her a big player.

But you still have to factor in 17 runners - the carnage that may cause, and the luck that you will need - and the pace angles and draw biases that will also result from such a big field.

So I better go through the whole lot.

I'll start with Rizeena, who I know well, having ridden her twice last season and in most of her work this spring.

She has been working well and has the best consistent level of form coming into this, so I think that she is entitled to be favourite, though I am surprised that she is as short as 3-1 given the depth of this race, to be honest.

And the main question mark that I have about her is how she will handle going downhill on quick ground, as I think that found her out last season. But overall I think that you have to be positive about her chances.

There is always the temptation to dismiss horses that have been excelling on a different surface out in Dubai, but that would be a mistake with Ihtimal.

She won as she liked in both her starts out in Meydan and, even though they went steady and it was a poor-ish race, she really impressed me when winning the May Hill at Doncaster last season. She came up short next time in the Fillies Mile here but this is one horse coming out of the desert who shouldn't be ignored.

The problem is that you find yourself saying that about every horse that you analyse in here.

Lucky Kristale obviously improved to beat Rizeena easily on the July Course and then take the Lowther, and has to be respected, but she has been off since August and her stamina is unproven.

A lot of people were quick to write off Miss France after her reappearance effort, but I took completely the opposite view and I quite like her chances at around the 6-1 mark.

I wasn't disappointed at all with her sixth in the Imprudence as I think Maxime was under orders to get her settled, and he simply couldn't get cover in a slowly-run race, and she was far too keen as a result. And getting cover won't be an issue here, though luck in running obviously will.

But go and take a look at the video of her in the last 100 yards at Maisons-Laffitte - the runner-up Vorda looks more like a sprinter to me - and she was finishing her race off very nicely.

Andre Fabre doesn't care in the least about getting beaten in trials, and he is a master of preparing one for the big day. I hear that he thinks a lot of her, and she is a big player to give him his first 1,000 Guineas success. She has course experience on fast ground and we know that she is a guaranteed stayer.

Sandiva won her trial well enough - the supplemented Euro Charline clearly ran a promising race in behind here too, as did Joyeuse in the Fred Darling - but I'd be slightly surprised if they were up to winning at this level.

And that leaves Aidan's pair of Tapestry and Bracelet.

I liked Tapestry last season and she was unlucky in the Moyglare. The step up to a mile will definitely suit her and, in fact, my only worry for her as a Galileo is that it isn't far enough and she could get done by something with more speed.

I ride Bracelet and I was quite taken by the manner of her Leopardstown win in March. Like Tapestry, she is bred to want further than a mile, and she needs to step up a lot on that reappearance win to take this, but she is unexposed, has class and gears, and I can see her going well.

It remains to be seen how her draw in 2 pans out as there isn't a lot of pace around there, but at least she has a lot of the fancied horses near her.

Rizeena is the likeliest winner in my book, if not the best bet at her current odds, with Miss France my idea of the biggest danger.

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