Ryan has two rides on the Friday at Santa Anita for the Breeders' Cup, and here he gives Betfair his exclusive thoughts on them both...
"You could argue that he hasn’t really gone on from his excellent July Stakes second to Mehmas, but he could no more than win his Group 3 by four lengths and he looked as if he was ready for a step up in trip when fourth in the Middle Park. His pedigree suggests 1m on fast ground will play to his strengths, and he should give me a good spin here."
- Ryan on Intelligence Cross
21:25 Santa Anita
The Europeans have a good record in this race, and I have been lucky enough to win it three times in the past five years. It is always very competitive though, with the usual luck in running around here playing a huge part in a 16-runner field of mostly inexperienced 2yos, and this year is no different. In fact, this does look the stronger of the two juvenile turf races, and I think the visitors have to step up to win this.
The home team will obviously be fancying their chances with the likes of Good Samaritan (though Woodbine form doesn't always work out here) and Oscar Performance - and Wellabled has been impressive on the dirt - but Aidan looks to have decent claims with Lancaster Bomber and Intelligence Cross, even if both have to improve to win. Lancaster Bomber needs to jump well from stall one here but he breaks smartly from the gates and goes from the front at home and, not surprisingly for a War Front, he improved for better ground when second to Churchill in the Dewhurst last time. The faster conditions, and extra furlong, make him a danger to all. He is exactly the kind of juvenile that Aidan keeps on eking unexpected improvement out of.
Intelligence Cross is another War Front who I have rated all season ever since he won his maiden for me in June. You could argue that he hasn't really gone on from his excellent July Stakes second to Mehmas, but he could no more than win his Group 3 by four lengths and he looked as if he was ready for a step up in trip when fourth in the Middle Park. His pedigree suggests 1m on fast ground will play to his strengths, and he should give me a good spin here.
22:50 Santa Anita
Unlike the Juvenile Turf, this race tends to stay at home more often than that, though the French took it in 2012 and Chriselliam was a stunning winner here three years ago. But I don't think this is as good as the colts' race this year. It obviously helps the Americans that they have acquired the likes of impressive Rockfel winner Spain Burg and the tough Madame Dancealot - La Coronel, drawn just outside me, could be the pick of the Americans - but I think Aidan and Joseph have a pretty strong hand to play here.
Joseph didn't take long to announce himself on the Group 1 stage when Intricately beat Hydrangea by a short-head in what was a messy Moyglare, and Roly Poly keeps on surprising me. The improvement that Aidan has got out of her is unbelievable. She won her Group 2 and was obviously just an inch or two away from her Group 1 when just touched off by stablemate Brave Anna in the Cheveley Park. She loves fast ground, and is tough, and has a good chance but the question mark for her is stamina - and her draw in 13. She is certainly not short on speed and the extra 2f is a concern, but on pedigree you would have to say she could actually improve for it, as she is a War Front and her dam Misty For Me won a Pretty Polly over 1m2f by 6 lengths in the soft. But I am equally worried about her draw in 13, and I'd be much more confident with a better stall.