Ryan Moore: My views on Happily in the Irish 1,000 Guineas and the rest of my Curragh runners
Another day, another Classic ride for Ryan as he is charged with steering Happily to Irish 1,000 Guineas glory. Read his views on Happily and the rest of his rides here...
"Happily is a dual Group 1 winner who is expected to come on for that run, and I think she has very solid claims here."
Can't tell you too much about my first runner
He is by first-season sire Magician, a Breeders' Cup Turf winner among other successes, and out of a mare who won over 7f. I don't know anything other than that at the moment, and there is no pretending otherwise.
Track and trip suit Cliffs of Moher
Cliffs of Moher
He clearly didn't go on from his Derby second last season, so it was good to see him back winning at Naas last time. He ran a promising race on his reappearance, despite finishing last of five, and then he stepped forward a good deal to beat Success Days convincingly in the Mooresbridge last time. I think 1m2f around here will suit him.
Defoe's only recent blemish on his record has been his St Leger run and he has looked very good in his two victories this season. He could be a tough nut to crack but he is stepping back in trip on faster ground, so that may not be ideal for him. Lancaster Bomber ran another great race when getting his conditions in the Lockinge last Saturday - namely, a mile on fast ground - and he is a horse who takes his racing well. Form-wise, he is not far off the front two in the market, but of course the extra 2f here is the issue for him. And don't forget Success Days, who is very good around here.
Trip should suit this Deep Impact colt
He is rated only 82, so you can't go overboard about his chances, but you would expect this Deep Impact colt to improve a good deal for the step up to 1m2f.
Deep race with plenty of competition for Happily
I wouldn't make the mistake of downplaying the form of the Guineas because it had a shock winner; all the form horses like Laurens, Happily and Wild Illusion - all Group 1 winners - followed her home. Saying that, my filly would have probably preferred a stronger gallop as she was sticking on really well again at the finish. She is a dual Group 1 winner who is expected to come on for that run, and I think she has very solid claims here.
I do think it is a competitive race though, perhaps a lot more open than the betting suggests. For example, Clemmie was a high-class two-year-old and she would probably be the one to beat on that form. Aidan has made no secret that she is expected to improve for the run after missing Newmarket - it was nothing serious, she just didn't come to herself in time - but I wouldn't be underestimating her myself. Soliloquy was ridden with more restraint when sixth in the Guineas than she had been when making all in the Nell Gwyn, and perhaps they will resort to more forcing tactics again, and there are a few Irish fillies that catch my eye. Who's Steph kept her winning run intact when taking the trial at Leopardstown, but the Moyglare Stud filly Chiara Luna met a lot of trouble in fourth and it wouldn't take a lot to see her turning the form around and running us all close. Yes, I think it is a deeper race than many think.
Blinkers on Babylon may make a difference
Gardens Of Babylon
He has run a couple of fair races on testing going so far, but hopefully the step up to 1m2f on better ground, and a pair of blinkers, will see him step forward. He probably needs to.