Improvement needed to figure
14:30 - Precious Moments
She shaped really nicely for me on her debut at the Curragh last month. I think the form is fair enough - the runner-up ran well in the Queen Mary on Wednesday - and you always expect Aidan's 2yos to improve a good amount for their first run. She clearly needs to improve a good deal to be winning in what is another huge 2yo field, and I imagine her price will reflect that, but the potential is there.
Derby third will take plenty of beating
15:05 - Japan
There are a few promising and unexposed 3yos against him, but Japan is the clear form pick going into the race and we may not have seen the best of him yet, either. A Group 2 winner at two, he had a rushed preparation to get him to the Dante, so we were happy enough with his run there. And, of course, he ran a superb race when a close third in the Derby last time. He should take a fair bit of beating, I'd have thought.
15:40 - Ten Sovereigns
Step down to sprinting can suit
I thought he ran a great race in the Guineas given the way the race panned out. We were always playing catch-up on the far side and I basically had to make my own running. He only got caught late on by Skardu and Madhmoon, and that form doesn't look too bad, especially given the way the latter ran at Epsom. He was obviously a high-class and very quick juvenile, winning the Middle Park, so hopefully he can take the step back to 6f in his stride.
My filly deserves to be a short-priced favourite
16:20 - Hermosa
She gives me the feel of a top-class horse. She was obviously a very good 2yo, placed in Group 1 company three times, but she has taken it up another level this season. She was impressive at Newmarket but I was really taken by the manner in which she did it at the Curragh.
I wouldn't fancy many, colts or fillies, to beat her over a mile at the moment, and she probably deserves to be one of the shortest-priced favourites of the week. Mind you, this is no gimme at all and it will be a different set-up here than in Ireland.
The French 1000 Guineas winner Castle Lady looks good, and I have a lot of time for Jubiloso. If Hermosa wasn't in here, I would give her a massive chance as she really impressed me when winning on her debut at Chelmsford and she sauntered home at Newbury last time. This is obviously a big step up in class, but I wouldn't underestimate her.
Should go well in deep handicap
17:00 - Coral Beach
She improved with her racing at two, and this is clearly her easiest task of the campaign after taking in the French and Irish 1000 Guineas. I think a mark of 100 is pretty fair on her Longchamp run and I can see her going well enough, for all this is a very deep handicap and there other clearly plenty of other less-exposed fillies in here.
Strong claims with drying ground a plus
17:35 - Baghdad
This is a good ride to pick up. He won the King George V handicap at this meeting last year and he did it well at Newmarket last time. He is 4lb higher here and maybe he would prefer quicker ground - though it will probably be drying out quickly if the rain stays away - but he looks to have strong claims.